web analytics
April 21, 2015 / 2 Iyar, 5775
At a Glance
Blogs
Sponsored Post


Syrian Crisis Not Serious (Yet)

President Obama feels boxed in by his ‘red line’ promise.
Hell’s Angels. Like Bashar al-Assad, their power of deterrence comes from their reputation for ruthlessness.

Hell’s Angels. Like Bashar al-Assad, their power of deterrence comes from their reputation for ruthlessness.

Predictions of an apocalyptic Middle East war following a US attack on Syria are premature. None of the players are interested in a serious confrontation.

President Obama feels boxed in by his ‘red line’ promise, and it appears that it will be impossible to pretend that the line was not crossed. So he will, with the cooperation of the UK and perhaps France, symbolically strike some assets of the Assad regime.

This will be coordinated in advance with the Russians, who will make a lot of noise in public, but in private will not be concerned as long as Assad’s hold on power is not threatened, which it will not be.

Assad’s threats to retaliate against Israel also fall in the category of noise. His overwhelming concern is to stay in power, and although he finds it advantageous to link Israel to the ‘terrorists’ he is fighting, he knows that Israel is in fact neutral in the conflict. Why upset this applecart and risk really painful reprisals?

Assad’s gamble to use chemical weapons has thus had the following effects:

It terrorized the Sunni civilians who are supporting the rebels. Remember, this is as much an ethnic war as a political one. Like the Hell’s Angels motorcycle club, much of Assad’s deterrence depends on his reputation for being ruthless, even ‘crazy’ (although he is actually quite rational).

It embarrassed Obama. The weak response that will follow will prove to Assad that Western opposition will not be a significant restraint on his freedom to do as he wishes.

The downside for the regime will be a few Tomahawk impacts, possibly on empty buildings, but certainly not enough to affect the outcome of the civil war.

I could be wrong, but I don’t think so.

Visit Fresno Zionism.

About the Author: Vic Rosenthal created FresnoZionism.org to provide a forum for publishing and discussing issues about Israel and the Mideast conflict, especially where there is a local connection. Rosenthal believes that America’s interests are best served by supporting the democratic state of Israel, the front line in the struggle between Western civilization and radical Islam. The viewpoint is not intended to be liberal or conservative — just pro-Israel.


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

2 Responses to “Syrian Crisis Not Serious (Yet)”

  1. NATO don't get involved is Syrian affairs, let they kill each other.

  2. NATO don't get involved is Syrian affairs, let they kill each other.

Comments are closed.

Current Top Story
President Rivlin delivers  Yom Ha'Atzmaut greetings to Jews in the Diaspora.
President Rivlin’s Independence Day Message Thanks Jews in the Diaspora
Latest Blogs Stories
Doug Goldstein

Is inflation always bad for the economy, and why is deflation not always an ideal situation?

Brudner-012414-Hollywood

It is the character of the individual that counts, not his sexual preferences.

Oron Shaul, Hadar Goldin, both murdered last summer by Arab terrorists from Gaza,

Bibi gives a great speech, especially when talking to foreigners, but on policy, he’s very weak.

Rav Aharon Lichtenstein

One of us had the chutzpah to ask him to join the ball game. He said okay and he played aggressively.

Watch this Doug Goldstein video to learn how easy it’s to open a US brokerage account from overseas.

An Israeli TV show about Holocaust Day asserted the Holocaust is/was a European not Jewish tragedy

“I am 100% convinced that she is not in any way anti-Semitic. She is in fact a philo-Semite”

Poverty has become a thriving business; Learn how the payday loan has affected many US households

Pressure by Pres. Rivlin for a monstrous “national unity government” has made things worse for Bibi

How do money managers take care of your money? And have you ever heard of “socially responsible” investing?

In the memory of loved ones, I commit to continue the fight for our survival in their blessed memory

The US Consulate in Israel should have people helping US citizens on various tax & benefits issues

This whole Arab Palestinian myth was concocted to prevent a viable Jewish state.

Teaching integrity is allowing family, friends, and associates see the business of living your life.

Chumros-YES! But when it comes to the Chilul HaShem described in the article they couldn’t care less

Yarmouk is the opportunity for “Pro-Palestinian” groups to prove they aren’t just anti-Israel.

More Articles from Vic Rosenthal
housefly-155460_1280

Oh, to be a fly-on-the-wall in the White House…

SynagogueMurders

No more ‘peace process’ envisioning sovereign ‘Palestine’ in YESHA; Arabs can call today “Nakba 2.0″

The extreme hypocrisy, contempt & vulgarity of the attacks indicate more than a policy disagreement

Expecting the IDF to mount a ground attack against Hamas in Gaza? There may be a better approach…

It looks from here like a really bad weekend in Israel. Some 40-odd rockets were fired from Gaza at southern Israel within 48 hours, as far as Beersheva. Arabs rioted throughout the country, throwing rocks and firebombs at any available Jewish target. They systematically destroyed the light rail tracks, stations and equipment in Arab neighborhoods […]

The problem is a culture whose essence is to negate ours.

The teenagers in the video, then, were either injured non-seriously by rubber bullets, or faking for the camera.

The liberal wing of the Jewish establishment in the US is following the same path as it did in the 1940s.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/blogs/fresno-zionism/syrian-crisis-not-serious-yet/2013/08/26/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: