web analytics
December 19, 2014 / 27 Kislev, 5775
 
At a Glance
InDepth
Sponsored Post
8000 meals Celebrate Eight Days of Chanukah – With 8,000 Free Meals Daily to Israel’s Poor

Join Meir Panim’s campaign to “light up” Chanukah for families in need.



The End of Oslo and a Glimmer of Hope

A return to the '49 armistice lines, which would mean abandoning the Jordan Valley and retreating from the mountain ridge, would be suicidal for Israel.
oslo

The Palestinians rush toward international recognition and Israel gnashes its teeth and does nothing to prevent it. The Palestinian Authority fights Israel in every international organization,and Israel thinks when it is spat upon that rain is falling.  The Palestinian Authority continues its wild incitement against Israel and its undermining of the legitimacy of Israel as the state of the Jewish people.

If a Palestinian state is established in Judea and Samaria, it will continue to be hostile to Israel, even if only because Israel will not allow the refugees of  from 1948 to return to Jaffa and Netanya. Such a state might become a Hamas state within a short time after its inception by means of elections as occurred in January 2006, or by means of a violent takeover as happened in Gaza in June 2007. Can anyone in the world promise that this scenario will not occur? Can anyone prevent a mutual defense pact with Iran for example?

The people who control the Palestinian Authority are not authentic leaders and therefore it is quite possible that a local movement such as Hamas might conquer it and overthrow it shortly after it becomes independent. The question that stands before Israel and the world is: should we be a party to a such a development? Can Israel function as a state when the kassams, the grads and the katyushas of Hamas are falling on Tel Aviv, Ramat Gan, Petach Tikva, Ra’anana, Kfar Saba, Netanya, Hadera, Afula and Haifa, not to mention Ben Gurion Airport, as they have been falling for years on Sderot, Ashkelon and the area surrounding  Gaza? And if we take defensive action against the missiles, will there not be another Goldstone waiting around the corner?

Clearly, the P.A. exists only due to these three things: the IDF, which protects the P.A. and subdues its opposition, the handouts that the world transfers to the P.A., which serve as the blood in its veins, and the economic treaty with Israel. Without these three components the P.A. would collapse within one day like a balloon that encounters a pin. The Arab public identifies with the P.A. only as long as it proves to be economically useful, and will get rid of it as soon as it ceases to be an employment agency, the largest provider of employment.

The Real Solution

The Arab public in Judea and Samaria remains basically faithful to the tribe, not to national Arab ethnicity or the Palestinian narrative. In this it is no different from the other Arab countries surrounding Israel, the “Lands of the Mashreq (Orient)”:  Jordan, Syria, Iraq and Lebanon. Every time the Palestinian police try to get involved with family disputes they are thrown out because they are “not one of us.” The large clans have much more meaningful control of the cities than the security organizations of the P.A., so it’s important to base any future arrangement on them. Contrary to the corrupt politicians of the P.A., clan leaders are legitimate, accepted and  welcome leaders, and therefore they will succeed precisely where the P.A. fails: To gain legitimacy and recognition in the hearts of the public and to be accepted by it as natural leaders.

For this reason Israel must encourage the local authentic leaders of the cities to establish political frameworks, or emirates, defined according to the known sociological divisions: The  Jabbari, Qasmi, Natasha, abu Snein and Tamimi  families in Hebron, who have known for hundreds of years how to function with one another and are accepted as legitimate local leaders of the Jabbari clan. In Nablus, the al-Masri family can stand at the head of a local coalition with the Tuqan and Shakah families, and thus with all the other Arab cities of Judea and Samaria: Jericho, Ramallah, Tul Karem, Qalqiliyya and Jenin. Israel must forever keep control of the rural area between the cities in order to ensure that the mountains will not become Hamas Mountains with missile launching stations dug into the rock, as they are in South Lebanon.

The fact that the Palestinian emirates in the cities will be based on local sociology and local leadership, not the illegitimate rule that Israel imported, will afford to these emirates social stability, and therefore also political and economic stability. These emirates will live in peace with one another because they will be separate; each one will deal with its own issues and leave the others alone. This model is the only model that can exist in the Middle East. The troubles in the other countries of the region stem mainly from the fact that groups that are different from one another and hostile to each other have been forced to live together. Also the fact that the regimes of the Middle East are mostly dictatorships stems from the fact that most of the population sees its ruler as illegitimate.

About the Author: Dr. Mordechai Kedar (Ph.D. Bar-Ilan U.) Served for 25 years in IDF Military Intelligence specializing in Arab political discourse, Arab mass media, Islamic groups and the Syrian domestic arena. A lecturer in Arabic at Bar-Ilan U., he is also an expert on Israeli Arabs.


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

2 Responses to “The End of Oslo and a Glimmer of Hope”

  1. The Lord has renewed work on the plebiscite to dissolve the nation. After 9 months of fruitless negotiation the voting buttons has been installed.

    During next couple of days voting system will be launched. Thanks to Internet people would decide if Israeli nation will be dissolved. Which have serious military, political and also economical consequences.

    Read more: http://tautur.tumblr.com/post/32510784799.
    Visit plebiscite site: http://plebiscite.net76.net/.

  2. What we really need is a plan B for those that will not accept the status quo.

    I don't imagine one so I support the status quo.

    Some have suggested paying Palestinians large sums of money in return for them leaving but I doubt that would succeed.

Comments are closed.

SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Current Top Story
Posted to Twitter in Ferguson, MO by St. Louis County Police: "Bricks thrown at police, 2 police cars burned, gun seized by police. Tonight was disappointing."  Their motto is, "To protect and serve."
Prosecutor in Ferguson Case: ‘Witnesses Lied Under Oath’
Latest Indepth Stories
The annual  Chabad menorah lighting in Sydney has been called off this year because of the murders in the Lindt cafe.

The decision to not publicly light the Menorah in Sydney, epitomizes the eternal dilemma of Judaism and Jews in the Diaspora.

Greiff-112814-Men

Am Yisrael is one family, filled with excruciating pain&sorrow for losing the 4 kedoshim of Har Nof

Two dreidels from the author’s extensive collection.

What is its message of the dreidel?” The complexity and hidden nature of history and miracles.

Keeping-Jerusalem

Police play down Arab terrorism as mere “violence” until the truth can no longer be hidden.

The 7 branches of the menorah represent the 7 pillars of secular wisdom, knowledge, and science.

Obama obtained NO verifiable commitments from Cuba it would desist from acts prejudicial to the US

No one would deny that the program subjected detainees to less than pleasant treatment, but the salient point is, for what purpose?

For the past six years President Obama has consistently deplored all Palestinian efforts to end-run negotiations in search of a UN-imposed agreement on Israel.

It’s not an admiration. It is simply a kind of journalist fascination. It stands out, it’s different from more traditional Orthodoxy.

For Am Yisrael, the sun’s movements are subservient to the purpose of our existence.

Israelis now know Arab terrorism isn’t caused by Israeli occupation but by ending Israeli occupation

Anti-Semitism is a social toxin that destroys the things that people most cherish and enjoy.

Amb. Cooper highlighted the impact of the Chanukah/Maccabee spirit on America’s Founding Fathers

Zealousness has its place and time in Judaism; Thank G-d for heroic actions of the Maccabees!

More Articles from Dr. Mordechai Kedar
Dual US-Israeli citizen Steven Sotloff was the second American journalist to be beheaded earlier this summer before ISIS turned its attention to victims from other Western nations.

The Islamic State has started a fashion trend among Middle East jihadists; beheading is rapidly becoming the murder method of choice.

The 5,829 Bedouin women listed as eligible for single mother benefits in the Negev, raising 23,855 children, are actually silent polygamous wives.

To date, all the Bedouins’ legal land ownership claims that reached the courts have failed.

Western countries ignore the rights of Iranians to live in freedom like the citizens of the West.

What is the cause of the Shi’ite-Sunni conflict?

Lately, the pro-Western coalition has begun to crumble, and two key countries – Saudi Arabia and Egypt – are searching for a new political crutch.

This past month several dozens of jihad organizations operating in Syria came to the conclusion that the disagreements among them harm their fighting cause and strengthen Asad.

Netanyahu’s Bar Ilan Speech was not an attempt to emulate Obama by spreading false hope of an agreement with the Iranians.

Israel has not really convinced the world that Iran is a danger.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/analysis/dr-mordechai-kedar/the-end-of-oslo-and-a-glimmer-of-hope/2012/09/30/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: