The Hollow Ceasefire and How It Can Be Fixed

The sole purpose of this ceasefire is to allow Netanyahu to survive the coming election.

There’s a New Pharaoh in Town

Morsi has assumed dictatorial powers in Egypt. Courageous Egyptians are protesting that move, but Morsi has less compunction than Mubarak did, and we can expect the protests to be dealt with effectively. Those of us who said Morsi was an Islamist extremist who would quickly reestablish authoritarianism in Egypt – with a sharia flavor – were right. There’s a new Pharaoh in town.

We Lost the War

Israel gained no strategic asset at all.

This Ceasefire Won’t Last

Of course, everyone knows that this ceasefire won't last. The key to anything more durable is if the Egyptian government decides that it wants to avoid another war because of its own interests.

Abbas, ya Bahai, Get Lost!!

Muhammad As’ad Bayoudh al-Tamimi is a Palestinian columnist living in Jordan. In the past he has often clearly expressed the opinions of the man...

Middle East Crises of 2013 Already in Dress Rehearsal

If 2011 was the year of the Arab Spring, 2013 looks to be the year of the Arab Fall.

US Marines Off the Coast of Gaza?

Why are we sending an amphibious readiness group (ARG) with a Marine expeditionary unit (MEU) embarked to sit off the Levantine coast? U.S. officials say it’s to be prepared for any eventuality, including the need to evacuate American citizens, as the conflict between Hamas and Israel heats up.

Ceasefire Tonight, Same War All Over Again Day after Tomorrow

Operation Pillar of Defense will only buy Israel a few months of quiet.

The Hamas Suicide Strategy

This strategy has often worked against a Western adversary or Israel.

How to End the Israel-Hamas War

Originally published at Rubin Reports. A lot of people have asked the purpose of Israel’s defensive war against Hamas. Some, including those supposedly expert on...

The Morally Reprehensible ‘Iron Dome’ – Hamas’s Best Friend

Israel and the world have become one dysfunctional family, with the crazy member being the Gaza Palestinians.

Western Media Elites Just Don’t Get the Middle East

There will be no “permanent end” to this rocket war madness or all of the other varieties of madness that are getting worse in the region.

A Ceasefire Could Be Imminent

Despite the possibility of disappointing an Israeli populace eager for a massive blow to Hamas, Netanyahu might prefer the less costly ceasefire.

Lessons for the World from a New Gaza War

Can Israel sustain this situation? Of course, that is basically the framework in which it has been living and prospering for 64 years. Is it preferable? Of course not. What is the world going to do to make it better? Nothing.

Morsi Source of Hamas’ Renewed Confidence

Neither side takes U.S. policy very seriously.

Israel, Hamas, PA Encounter the Paradigm Shift

No summary of today’s events would be complete without mentioning the backstory on the IDF’s operation name.

Saudi Editor: Israel Trying to Save Assad, Drown the Region in Chaos

Not an entirely unreasonable foreign policy direction for the embattled Jewish state.

Next Stop: Obama Puts his Trust in Negotiations with Iran

The most important foreign policy effort President Barack Obama will be making over the next year is negotiating with Iran. The terms of the U.S. offer are clear: if Iran agrees not to build nuclear weapons, it will be allowed to enrich a certain amount of uranium, supposedly for purposes of generating nuclear energy (which Iran doesn’t need) and other benefits, supposedly under strict safeguards.

Israel Under Fire: The New Paradigm

Attacks from Gaza on Israel have ramped up significantly in the last several days. An Israeli patrol was hit by what was thought to be a roadside bomb on Tuesday (three were wounded), near the border fence with Gaza. On Saturday, terrorists in Gaza fired an anti-tank missile at an Israeli jeep with four infantrymen in it, as the patrol operated in the area of the roadside bomb attack. The four soldiers were wounded, one severely. More than 80 rockets have been launched from Gaza into Israel since the attack on the jeep on Saturday, 10 November. At least three Israeli civilians were injured in the rocket attacks. Geography is beginning to rear its head again, as Israel has also sustained incursions into the Golan from Syria in recent days.

Israel Facing Weak US Economy, Foreign Policy, Following Elections

With President Barack Obama reelected there is every reason to believe that he will continue the tax, regulatory, and economic policies of his first term. That means the U.S. economy is unlikely to improve quickly, steadily, or even at all during the next four years. The problem is not just Obama’s own strategy on these issues but also the lack of business confidence in his plans.

The Broader Implications of the Petraeus Resignation: Personal Behavior and Public Office

Originally published at Rubin Reports. General David Petraeus was the hero of the victorious surge strategy in Iraq. But he also has the distinction of...

What Obama Should Have Done in the Last Four Years and Won’t Do in...

Over and over again I’ve written about what President Barack Obama should do. Now the voters have given him a whole new chance. He could take it and change his policy. I don't believe he will do that but let me lay out both what he's been wrong and what he should do, just in case Obama is seeking a different approach.

Obama Administration Secret Talks with Iran Confirmed

The story was broken by Alex Fishman, defense correspondent of Yediot Aharnot, Israel’s largest newspaper. Fishman is considered to be a reliable reporter with good sources in the Israeli government.

Dick Morris: Romney by a Landslide: 325 – 213

Morris says all the baby-blue states Democrats have grown to love and think of as their own (with the exception of Indiana, Virginia and North Carolina) are really pink states. Romney is going to sweep them, and end up with 55% to Obama's 45% of the national vote, if not an even wider margin.

The Sunni-Shia Conflict Will Be The Major Feature of Middle East Politics for Decades

Once upon a time, Arab nationalism ruled the Middle East. Its doctrine saw Arab identity as the key to political success. Some regarded Islam as important; others were secular. Yet there was no doubt that national identity was in charge. All Arabs should unite, said the radical nationalists who ruled in Egypt, Libya, Syria, Iraq, and elsewhere, to destroy Israel, expel Western influence, and create a utopian single state in the region. Instead, of course, the period was characterized by battles among the radical Arab states for leadership. The less extreme ones sought survival through a combination of giving lip service to radical slogans, paying off the stronger regimes, and getting Western help.

Can Romney Win? A Tale of Three Maps

Clearly, neither candidate has been able to get even close to the needed 270 electoral votes. They've been stuck with these numbers since the debates, and the numbers show that the country, both on a national and on a state-by-state level, thinks both candidates are equally qualified for the job. That, by itself, is a big advantage for Romney.

Mordechai Kedar: Iran has Defeated the US in Iraq

Saddam fell, the evil regime that he established fell with him and the people of Iraq could finally breathe freely.

A Short Guide to the Benghazi Issue: What is it Really All About?

There is a debate over the causes of terrorism and anti-Americanism in the world. One possible view is that the principal problem is that of genuine conflict. The adversaries hold certain ideological ideas—say, revolutionary Islamism—to which American society and policies are antithetical. The collision (as with Communism, Nazism, and aggressive Japanese militarism in earlier decades) is inevitable. The United States is inconveniencing the totalitarians both because of what it does (policies) and because of what it represents (freedom, democracy, capitalism).

The West’s Deaf Ears for the Real Moderate Arabs

One of my most fun professional memories was when I walked endlessly, circling round and round and round that hall in Algeria in November 1988 with a burly, no-nonsense, and brilliant newspaper correspondent named Youssef Ibrahim, who was then working for the New York Times. Friendly, funny, sarcastic, and with absolutely no illusions or romanticism about the absurdities of Arab politics and the idiocies of Arab political ideology, Ibrahim’s only shortcoming is that there are not one thousand more exactly like him. If he was the kind of person leading Arab countries and people they would be far more prosperous, peaceful, happier and democratic.

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