web analytics
July 28, 2015 / 12 Av, 5775
At a Glance
InDepth
Sponsored Post


Israel’s Still Blighted Cartography: Searching for New Directions in Jerusalem and Washington


Beres-Louis-Rene

From an existential standpoint, Israel must quickly change its strategic and diplomatic course, or prepare to disappear in increments. More specifically, with a new prime minister in place, Israel will soon need to reassess its presumed faith in the so-called Road Map to Peace in the Middle East. For his part, Mr. Obama, the new American president – counseled by the same general collection of foreign policy “experts” – will continue to support this same blighted cartography. It follows that if Israel’s new leader should decide to retreat from the Road Map, as indeed Prime Minister Netanyahu should, there would be an immediate and consequential breach with Mr. Obama.

One underlying issue of any such required Israeli reassessment must be the nuanced question of enemy rationality. If Israel should begin to face a Jihadi adversary that values certain presumed religious expectations more highly than its own physical survival, deterrence could be immobilized. This would mean, at least in the future, a heightened probability of nuclear and/or biological war. As my regular readers already know, it could also place Israel in the precise cross hairs of WMD (weapons of mass destruction) terrorism.

We Jews can learn from the great Irish poet. “The blood-dimmed tide is loosed,” says W.B. Yeats, “and everywhere the ceremony of innocence is drowned.” Assembled in assorted armed camps euphemistically called nation-states, all peoples coexist uneasily and insecurely in an increasingly anarchic world. In time, there will be no safety in arms, no rescue from political authority, no answers from science. New wars may rage until every flower of culture is trampled, and till all things human are leveled in a vast chaos.

For Israel, especially, there are vital lessons. These lessons, which should now be learned by the new prime minister, must be drawn from a subtle awareness that strategic truth may sometimes emerge only through paradox, and that approaching national destruction may actually contain within itself certain core elements of genuine remediation and countervailing power.

Significantly, the whole world is basically a system. What happens in any one part affects what happens in all the other parts. When a particular deterioration is marked, and begins to spread from one nation to another, the effects can rapidly undermine international stability. When deterioration is sudden and catastrophic, as it would be following the start of unconventional war and/or unconventional terrorism, the corollary effects would also be sudden and catastrophic.

The State of Israel exists precariously amid growing chaos. Aware that an incremental collapse of world authority structures will impact its friends as well as its enemies, new leaders of the Jewish State will need to advance certain plausible premonitions of collapse in order to chart durable roads to survival.

Let us be frank. Frightening as it may sound, Israel’s new leaders will need to consider exactly how they would respond to international life in a state of nature.The triggering mechanism of collapse could originate from a variety of possible mass-casualty attacks against Israel, or from similar attacks against other western democracies. Here, even the United States would not be immune.

Chaotic disintegration of the world system will transform the Israeli system. Such transformation could involve total or near-total destruction. In anticipation, Israel will soon have to orient its strategic planning to an assortment of worst-case prospects, focusing more deliberately on a wide range of primarily self-help security options. Certain diplomatic processes that are conveniently but erroneously premised on assumptions of reason and rationality will have to be renounced in favor of greater realism. This means that President Barack Obama, together with Israel’s new prime minister, will have to replace the long-dishonored and inherently flawed Road Map with a more promising set of directions.

As readers of The Jewish Press are already well aware, Israel’s always one-sided surrender of territories, its mistaken reluctance to accept certain indispensable preemption options, and its multiple releases of live terrorists in exchange for slain Jews may not bring about direct defeat. Taken together, however, these policy errors will have a cumulatively weakening effect on Israel. Whether the principal effect here will be one that “merely” impairs the Jewish State’s commitment to endure, or one that also opens it to a devastating missile attack and/or to major acts of terror, is still not clear.

The Road Map remains a horribly twisted expression of cartography. To create regional peace, President Obama, together with Prime Minister Netanyahu, will need much better maps. Replacing “roadblocks” and “detours” with a more navigable (for Israel) “itinerary,” these leaders will quickly need to uncover the vanishing opportunities for diplomatic order in the midst of emerging chaos. Here, their fundamental task will be far more intellectual than political, and will require genuine wisdom as well as real courage.

This task must be accomplished very quickly. Israel is running out of time.

Copyright © The Jewish Press, May 1, 2009. All rights reserved.

LOUIS RENÉ BERES (Ph.D., Princeton, 1971) lectures and publishes widely on terrorism and nuclear security matters. Born in Switzerland, and Chair of Project Daniel, he is the author of ten books on international relations and international law, including some of the earliest major works on Israel’s nuclear strategy. Dr. Beres is Strategic and Military Affairs columnist for The JewishPress.

About the Author: Louis René Beres (Ph.D., Princeton, 1971) is professor of political science and international law at Purdue University and the author of many books and articles dealing with international relations and strategic studies.


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

No Responses to “Israel’s Still Blighted Cartography: Searching for New Directions in Jerusalem and Washington”

Comments are closed.

Current Top Story
The picture speaks for itself.
Police Arrest Woman for Calling Mohammed a Pig
Latest Indepth Stories
Hamas on the Temple Mount - Jul 3, 2015

Magnanimity by Moshe Dayan, allowing Muslim control of the Temple Mount, led to today’s situation.

Community-Jewels-logo

It was modeled upon a similar fund that had been set up by Sephardic Jews in Venice. But Amsterdam’s Dotar was initially more ambitious in scope.

Brudner-072415-Rav-Aharon

Rav Aharon Margalit is a bestselling author – his book, As Long As I Live, has been translated into four languages – and a standing-room only lecturer. Both religious and non-religious audiences flock to hear him. What makes him so extraordinary? Rav Margalit is a Chasidic Jew who experienced incredible challenges from a very young […]

J Street president, Jeremy Ben-Ami.

J Street is the vanguard (Jewish face)in support of Obama’s Vienna Accords Nuclear Deal with Iran

“I hold the woman’s place over that of men in every fundamental aspect of public and private life.”

The US-UNRWA accord is another example of this White House, hostile to Israel, disregarding truth.

On the saddest day on the Jewish calendar, Tisha B’av, a reflection on the dangerous deal with Iran

The Kotel gained significance around 1550. Previously, many Jews prayed on the Temple Mount itself.

All Jews MUST stand together to oppose boycotts against Israel. So why does NIF & JCF support BDS?

This year it is hard to concentrate on anything but Iran building nuclear weapons to destroy Israel

Bibi failed the moment he transferred Israel’s Iran problem to the international arena.

I was entranced by Kaddish, a song of sorrow of the whole of Israel for the 1000s of years of exile

Like the Avos, we are invested with the mission to inspire humanity to become nobler and greater

Iran accords are worse than Munich; even Chamberlain would be shocked at what is transpiring again.

An unhappy person cannot become happy by acquiring items. Happiness has to come from somewhere else.

Torah wasn’t given to be kept in Sinai; Brooklyn or Beverly Hills-It was meant to be kept in Israel!

More Articles from Louis Rene Beres

A “Palestine” could become another Lebanon, with many different factions battling for control.

Louis Rene Beres

President Obama’s core argument on a Middle East peace process is still founded on incorrect assumptions.

Once upon a time in America, every adult could recite at least some Spenglerian theory of decline.

President Obama’s core argument is still founded on incorrect assumptions.

Specific strategic lessons from the Bar Kokhba rebellion.

Still facing an effectively unhindered nuclear threat from Iran, Israel will soon need to choose between two strategic options.

For states, as for individuals, fear and reality go together naturally.

So much of the struggle between Israel and the Arabs continues to concern space.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/columns/louis-bene-beres/israels-still-blighted-cartography-searching-for-new-directions-in-jerusalem-and-washington/2009/04/29/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: