Though Obama did not rule out any specific strategy regarding Iran, he made it clear he was still seeking a diplomatic solution. Do you think Israel will have the president’s support if it decides to strike militarily?
That’s questionable. I do not have confidence that the president would support Israel if Israel launched a preemptive move against Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Can Israel rely on Congress?
Yes. There’s a huge majority in both houses to support Israel, and John Boehner is the type of speaker who would put up a resolution of support fairly quickly. Now he hasn’t told me that, but I have the level of confidence in him that he would and that it would pass with probably 80 percent of the vote. I would hope it would be 100 percent, but I know that’s not going to be the case. The Senate is the issue. I think the vast majority of the Senate would approve a resolution supporting Israel, but I don’t know if [Democratic Majority Leader] Harry Reid would allow it to come up [for a vote] for fear it would embarrass the president.
How would any inconsistency between Congress and the president over support for an Israeli military strike affect Israel?
If there’s a stalemate, Israel is the loser because the reality is that it’s only the White House, as the head of the executive branch, that could order any military help or sale of weapons that would be necessary for Israel to defend itself from the onslaught that would occur as a result of any preemptive strike. And it’s only the administration that can defend Israel at the UN.
Do you think Obama’s reluctance to support an Israeli strike is motivated by the upcoming election or by his worldview as it relates to the Middle East?
I do not believe this is election politics. I think he has been lukewarm to Israel from the first day. He has been wont to court Arab nations, I think occasionally at the expense of Israel. So I really believe that the president is anti-military in his views, and he would be offended if Israel would protect itself by a preemptive strike. Those are his political beliefs.
You recently spoke at a dinner in honor of the Gush Katif Museum in Jerusalem. Given the tragic aftermath of the Gaza Disengagement, do you believe in the efficacy of land concessions and a two-state solution?
The two-state solution sounds good on paper, but I’m not so naïve to think it would ever happen or work. Gush Katif really showed that you can’t use land for appeasement. You can’t give up land and hope that the other side is going be peaceful. The Palestinians and Hamas have proved they in fact will continue their jihad against the Jewish people, given the ability to do so. It won’t work. I think most of us thought the two-state solution would bring resolution and security to Israel. Unfortunately, we have seen evidence that it can’t work.
You serve on the House Energy and Commerce Committee and are a firm believer in tapping America’s natural sources of energy. How would you describe our current national security situation in light of America’s dependence on foreign oil, the turmoil in Iran and the Arab Spring?
That’s a perfect question in that the Arab Spring and the Iranian issue with Israel and the threats of closing off the Straits of Hormuz are all reminiscent of 1973, when the OPEC Arab countries embargoed oil to us because of our support for Israel. Absolutely we are less secure as a nation because of our dependence on OPEC oil, and so it’s a personal goal of mine to make us independent of all non-North American oil.
Obama’s policies, primarily Obamacare, have angered conservatives for both social and fiscal reasons. Do you foresee enough of a backlash to upseat Obama in 2012 and bring more Republicans into Congress?
That’s a good question. I’ve been trying to figure that out. It has upset a lot of values-based voters and limited government people, but those people weren’t going to vote for Obama in the first place. So I’m not sure whom he’s alienating. Maybe there are some Catholics who voted for him who will not do so now. And maybe a handful of values voters who voted for him just because they wanted something different. Now that they know that different isn’t necessarily good, they will change back.
Do you think the protracted negative tone of the Republican primaries has turned away voters?
Well it’s been ugly, and I’ve had several Republican voters tell me that they’re tired of it. But I don’t know if it’s turned away voters, because the real issue is going to be: Do you support Obamacare, big government, big spending? And that’s going to be what people look at in November.