web analytics
September 30, 2014 / 6 Tishri, 5775
At a Glance
InDepth
Sponsored Post
Meir Panim with Soldiers 5774 Roundup: Year of Relief and Service for Israel’s Needy

Meir Panim implements programs that serve Israel’s neediest populations with respect and dignity. Meir Panim also coordinated care packages for families in the South during the Gaza War.



Home » InDepth » Op-Eds »

The Campaign That Wasn’t


A recent Atlanta Journal-Constitution political cartoon depicted Rudy Giuliani attempting to explain his campaign strategy: “The strategy is, lose every primary and become the Republican nominee.” To which his listeners replied: “So far so good.”

How the mighty have fallen! Throughout 2007, Rudy was the consistent leader in the polls, at times demonstrating leads of 20 percentage points and more over his closest competitor. As late as a month and a half ago, before the primaries began, a University of Georgia analysis of pre-primary polls showed Rudy amassing as many convention delegates as all his opponents combined. But that was before he embarked on a strategy that was unorthodox, to say the least.

In the early primaries, Rudy’s effort ranged from a half-hearted one in New Hampshire to merely maintaining a presence on the ballot, as in Nevada and South Carolina, where he got just two percent of the vote. Rudy’s campaign strategists made it clear they would go all out in the January 29 Florida primary (the first where the winner gets all the delegates), and that was supposed to give him vitally needed momentum going into “Super Tuesday” on Feb. 5, when Republican primaries were held in 21 states.

The strategy, decided on some time ago, was apparently based on the notion that former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney would be Rudy’s only major competitor. Though Romney had governed Massachusetts as a moderate (he even introduced a statewide universal healthcare system), he changed his views on a number of issues, particularly abortion, and set out to position himself to the right of Rudy.

Rudy, on the other hand, wanted and needed to run on his record as New York’s mayor. Knowing he could not possibly compete with Romney’s personal wealth in terms of purchasing advertising, Rudy decided to conserve his money for Florida, where he felt had had an excellent chance of beating Romney.

What Rudy did not count on was the emergence of Sen. John McCain, who won in New Hampshire and South Carolina, and also Mike Huckabee.

Last July, while Rudy was way out in front, McCain’s campaign seemed all but dead. McCain fired his campaign manager, his chief strategist, and some 50 other campaign staffers. Contributions were just not coming in. Though he reorganized his staff, fundraising did not improve much.

Still, McCain was determined to press on, which he did. For one thing, the one-state-at-a-time early primaries really didn’t require huge expenditures of cash so much as holding rallies and getting interviews on the local news and radio talk shows. In other words, the main thing was to simply maintain a strong presence.

The emergence of Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor and an ordained Baptist minister, was also a surprise as he was little known outside his home state and was originally expected to have about as much impact on the primaries as Congressmen Tom Tancredo and Duncan Hunter. But he proved to be an effective communicator in the debates and, though he had even less money than McCain, demonstrated a strong presence in Iowa with its first-in-the nation caucus and went on to win there. The fact that the majority of Iowa Republican voters are evangelical Christians obviously didn’t hurt.

The fifth and final major contender for the Republicans was former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson. With solid conservative credentials, Thompson was expected to have an impact as he tried to position himself as the heir apparent to Ronald Reagan’s legacy. But Thompson had wavered for quite a while before finally deciding to throw his hat in the ring in early September, and his campaign did not catch fire. He did finally connect with many voters in South Carolina, but his third place finish there was not enough and he dropped out. That was seen as benefiting Romney and Huckabee, but did nothing for Rudy, who was overwhelmed by McCain’s early victories and the media attention that came with them.

Why Rudy ignored the first six primary or caucus states (Iowa, Wyoming New Hampshire, Michigan, Nevada and South Carolina) – an unprecedented strategy by a committed candidate – will no doubt be analyzed for months, perhaps even years, to come.

In the past, candidates have avoided a few states where they felt they couldn’t compete with their one major opponent. Since the opponent would then win more or less “unopposed,” the media might not make much of that victory.

About the Author:


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

No Responses to “The Campaign That Wasn’t”

Comments are closed.

SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Current Top Story
Jews Against Genocide mimicked and blasphemed the ALS Ice Bucket  Challenge with their anti-Israel "Blood Bucket Challenge."
‘Jews Against Genocide’ Take ‘Blood Bucket Challenge’ at Yad Vashem [video]
Latest Indepth Stories
terrorists

Is the global community clear in its response to these extremist groups?

obama

Like our fabled character, Don Quixote, President Obama has constantly spawned his own reality.

Ayatollah Hossein-Kazamani Boroujerdi, in better times (left) and in his prison cell (right).

Boroujerdi was informed that “the pressures and tortures will increase until he has been destroyed.”

Senior Hamas and Fatah leaders in Gaza City on April 22. Hamas and Fatah signed a deal to establish a unity government, but since then little progress has been made.

Fatah: Hamas stole relief aid for Gaza and distributed it amongst its followers in mosques.

Can teenagers seriously be expected to behave properly when they are surrounded by so much suggestive material? Is it fair to expose them (and ourselves) to so much temptation and then tell them, “Just say no”?

Washington remains ignorant of the need to dismantle alliances with various Muslim countries.

Defeating IS requires bombing its strongholds and recognizing the violent nature of Islam.

Abbas again used the UN to attack Israel, distort history, and undermine prospects for peace.

Israel and the Palestinian Authority cannot even agree to move their clocks back on the same day.

Shemita is about relating to each other by temporarily eliminating gaps of wealth power & status

David transcended adversity to become a leader; Who are we to make excuses for a lack of greatness?

sympathy: Feeling sorrow or pity for another’s tribulations; Empathy:sharing an emotional experience

Last week the president announced a four-point plan. Unfortunately, there’s little buy-in from our European and Middle Eastern allies. Here’s my own four-point plan that may be more palatable to our allies.

Rosh Hashanah has an obvious connection to God’s Kingship. We constantly refer to Him during the Asseres Yemei Teshuvah as Melech/King. The nusach of the tefillah, referring to Rosh Hashanah as “a remembrance of the first day” (of Creation), implies a certain dimension of divine kingship operating at the time of Creation and replicated every […]

Yes, God judges, but His judgment is that of a loving father who longs for his child’s quick return.

Anti-Semitism has returned to the mainstream of European society and Israel has become its focus.

More Articles from Harry Eisenberg

A recent Atlanta Journal-Constitution political cartoon depicted Rudy Giuliani attempting to explain his campaign strategy: “The strategy is, lose every primary and become the Republican nominee.” To which his listeners replied: “So far so good.”

Due to term limits, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg stands to be out of office come January 1, 2010, a thought he may not relish. Hence, while he continues to deny it, his aides keep sending out trial balloons alluding to an independent run at the presidency.

In the aftermath of the Six-Day War, Israelis were convinced that peace with the Arabs was finally at hand. That thinking was based on the notion that the war had proven Israel’s invincible presence in the region. If Israel was unbeatable, they reasoned, what choice would the Arabs have other than to make peace?

It comes across as a classic Right-Left dispute. Liberals, led by Al Gore, claim global warming is due mainly to human activity and something must be done before it is too late. Conservatives question that and are quick to accuse the Left of scare tactics fueled by a desire to expand the powers of government. Yet if we put our emotions aside, reasonable discourse can take place and rational conclusions can be drawn.

Nowadays many people claim our situation In Iraq is becoming more and more like it was in Vietnam. One major criticism of our effort in Vietnam was the absence of an exit strategy. In war planning the term “exit strategy” doesn’t necessarily mean cut and run, as some mistakenly believe. Rather, it is simply defining how you plan to bring the war to an end. In Vietnam, it was beyond the capabilities of both the Johnson and Nixon administrations to devise such a strategy.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/opinions/the-campaign-that-wasnt/2008/02/06/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: