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Will Ukraine Send the World into War?

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Originally published at The American Thinker.

Over the weekend, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry flew to Kiev, Ukraine in hopes of averting war between that nation and Russia.  Ukraine was mobilizing its army after Russia illegally seized numerous strategic sites on the Crimean peninsula following the ouster of Ukraine’s mind-bogglingly corrupt and brutal pro-Russia “president,” Victor Yanukovich.

The straw that broke the camel’s back for the people of Ukraine was when Yanukovich made a corrupt deal with the Russian dictator Vladimir Putin to block Ukraine’s ascension to the European Union — something the people of Ukraine desperately want in order to block Russian efforts to reassert imperial control over it.

The world’s shock and outrage at Russian aggression was well-reflected when it was mentioned in the first acceptance speech at the Oscars on Sunday by the winner of the Academy Award for best supporting actor.  Putin’s actions exposed him before the world at last for what he is: a reincarnation of Stalin, an old-school European megalomaniac bent on nothing save domination and oppression.

Since then, Putin’s propaganda machine has been working overtime.  Some truly ludicrous, neo-Soviet lies have been told with a straight face by the most loathsome of his minions, such as that hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians had fled into Russia as refugees in terror of the  new revolutionary government and that the United States was responsible for the revolution itself.  Most of these lies have been immediately exposed and ridiculed, but some unfortunate mythology has still grown up around the unsettling recent events in Ukraine, and it’s important to dispel it.

There are four main myths, generated by Russian propaganda, that are being determinedly repeated pursuant to the “Big Lie” theory.

Myth #1: Russia is just moving to defend its legitimate interests in its naval base in Sevastopol.

Why it’s false: Two reasons.  First, there had been no threat of any kind — none whatsoever, not even verbal — from the revolutionary leaders to the Russian naval base.  Russia’s military action was absolutely unprovoked.  Second, the deal giving Russia the right to continue operating this base was made by the maniacal, corrupt ruler of Ukraine whom the people had just deposed.  Russia clearly has no right to continue operating this base unless/until the deal was re-examined and reapproved in the light of day.  The notion that Russia has any overarching moral or legal right to operate a military base in someone else’s country is simply absurd.

Myth #2: Ukraine is a gigantic liability, a sinkhole that the West should not even consider taking responsibility for.

Why it’s false: Three reasons.  First, the West disarmed Ukraine after the collapse of the USSR and in return agreed in writing that it would guarantee Ukraine’s territorial integrity.  Russia approved the pact.  Second, if Ukraine is such a liability, why is Russia risking World War III to annex it?  Third, NATO cannot simply allow Russia to bite off pieces of its adjacent neighbors without challenge.  To do so would neuter the Western military establishment and give Russia free rein throughout Eastern Europe.  It’s the Sudetenland all over again.

Myth #3: NATO is not capable of forcing back Russian aggression in Ukraine.

Why it’s false: For many reasons, direct military force is not necessary to achieve this goal.  The NATO countries can freeze Russian assets, block Russian travel, impose financial sanctions just as Russia is heading into a major recession, and remind Russia that it has many vulnerabilities (like Kaliningrad and the Kuril Islands) that should make it think twice before even dreaming about seeking to annex another country’s territory.  More important, NATO can deliver massive numbers of deadly weapons to the Ukrainian army — weapons that will make Russia pay an unbearable price for every inch of territory it seeks to extract from Ukraine.  When so confronted, Putin will back down for one simple reason: he has no other choice.

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5 Responses to “Will Ukraine Send the World into War?”

  1. Hayim Curiel says:

    Opposition Leader MK Isaac Herzog (Labor) spoke at the conference on Monday and called on Netanyahu to "move boldly toward peace."

    Justice Minister Tzipi Livni (Hatnuah) also addressed the conference on Monday, but her speech was closed to the media.

    On Monday night, Kerry told the conference that the U.S. "will not let the West Bank turn into another Gaza."

    "Israel's security is our first priority," Kerry said.

    On Iran, Kerry said, "We will not permit Iran to obtain nuclear weapon. Period."

    Kerry said that "no deal is better than a bad deal" with Iran and said that the Obama administration would support imposing further sanctions on Iran if negotiations fail.

    Speaking at the conference, U.S. Senator John McCain criticized the Obama administration's response to the crisis in Ukraine. According to McCain, the current "feckless foreign policy" has led to nobody believing in America's strength.

  2. Vickie Dean says:

    The people of Ukraine are comprised of mostly Russian’s. They want the take over from Russia.

  3. I would not be surprised at all- He has been waiting for his chance

  4. Anthony Kent says:

    The west could do a lot of things, but it does not want another economic recession. Writing "Putin must be forced to back down" is like writing "Assad must be forced to back down".

    Into the valley of Death Rode the six hundred! There is no appetite for another 1846 style Charge of the Light Brigade in Crimea. We like our satellite TV and armchairs too much in the west.

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