Speaking before the Herzliya Conference, Director of Military Intelligence Major General Aviv Kochavi revealed the military’s assessment that Iran can produce four nuclear bombs.
“Iran has enough nuclear material for four bombs,” Kochavi said. “Iran is vigorously pursing military nuclear capabilities and today the intelligence community agrees with Israel on that. Iran has over four tons of enriched materials and nearly 100kg of 20% enriched uranium – that’s enough for four bombs,” he said.
Kochavi stated that Iran’s motivation is threefold: regional hegemony, elevated deterrence, and its desire to be a prime mover in the Middle East. Kochavi added that despite Iranian claims that its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, “[w]e have conclusive evidence that they are after nuclear weapons.”
Kochavi expressed his belief that the decision to weaponize the nuclear program hinges on Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: “When Khamenei gives the order to produce the first nuclear weapon – it will be done, we believe, within one year.”