web analytics
December 25, 2014 / 3 Tevet, 5775
 
At a Glance
Special Features
Sponsored Post
8000 meals Celebrate Eight Days of Chanukah – With 8,000 Free Meals Daily to Israel’s Poor

Join Meir Panim’s campaign to “light up” Chanukah for families in need.



WHO'LL STOP THE HEMORRHAGING?

Wednesday’s Poll: Bennett Gets 15 Seats at Likud’s Expense

Bennett benefited from the attacks on him.
F121223MA59

Photo Credit: Miriam Alster/Flash90

The Likud’s aggressive campaign against HaBayit HaYehudi and its chairman Naftali Bennett is working like a boomerang against Netanyahu’s party, according to a new poll conducted for Walla by TNS Teleseker. If elections were conducted today, according to this poll, Jewish Home, the successor of historic NRP, would be clearing 15 seats, while Likud-Beiteinu would be cropped down to 35 seats (from its current 42). These are the only significant changes in this poll, leaving all the rest of the contender about where they were on Sunday.

In other words, as we’ve suggested last week, Bennett benefited from the attacks on him by TV’s Nissim (“Beast”) Mishal, followed by stern rebukes from the left and the right, but, most emphatically from Likud – have worked in Bennett’s favor. Asked if he would refuse a command to evict a Jew from his home, Bennett answered in the negative – forcing Netanyahu et al to position themselves to his left. And the folks at home, many of whom could be subject to just such an eviction notice from the next government, got the message.

Shas maintains its 10 seats in today’s poll, and Torah Judaism, likewise, retains its 6 seats (up from the current 5). Labor stays at 18. Lapid takes 10 and Livni 11 – a slight rise for both compared to the earlier poll conducted by Mina Tzemach, but they continue to claim a 20-seat block together.

Power to Israel, Kadima and Rabbi Amsalem are all out, their votes absorbed both by Livni-Lapid and Bennett.

It’s important to note that Netanyahu’s current sluggish performance is being made even worse because of his decision to run on the same list with his former foreign minister Avigdor Liberman. Of the 35 seats Likud-Beiteinu captures in today’s poll, only 22 report to him, and 13 are commanded by his partner—who’s having his own headaches with the prosecution. This is a net drop of 5 seats for Likud from their current 27.

Naftali Bennett speaking to mostly secular students at the Technion in Haifa. Bennett's message is reaching young, secular voters. Photo: Jewish Home.

Naftali Bennett speaking to mostly secular students at the Technion in Haifa. Bennett’s message is reaching young, secular voters. Photo: Jewish Home.

Despite’s Bennett’s success, overall, today’s poll marks a drop for the right, to 50 seats, and a rise for the left to 43. The Haredim stay at 16 and the Arabs at 11.

Two choices emerge from today’s poll for a Netanyahu-led coalition government:

One: (we like OK) would include Labor and Jewish Home, which could co-exist as long as Labor maintains its mild pro-settlements stance. It gives Netanyahu a solid 68 seat majority, and as long as he keeps Labor away from Treasury, he could rule with relative ease (well, with relative stability).

Two: (we like even better) would combine Netanyahu with the Haredim and Jewish Home, for a solid, right-wing (if you can call Shas right-wing) coalition of 66.

Three: (we hate) Netanyahu goes with the Haredim and Labor, gives them all the concessions they feel entitled to, reverses some of his economic policies at the expense of the country’s fiscal well being, and starts chopping away at the settlements – to guarantee for himself U.S. and European support over Iran.

Frankly, the only way to avoid the last option—which is, actually, the classic Likud choice over the past few decades—is to up Jewish Homes take even more. To do that, Bennett would have to appeal to the non-religious Israelis. And while his program is quite interesting and innovative on issues close to the heart of the secular, Bennett would have to get over their prejudices and speak to them directly, over the heads of the media.

It can be done. On Monday – four days after Bennett’s statement on refusal to evict –the very secular agricultural high school Eshel Hanasi held its mock elections and 1,022 students from the elite of the Moshav movement in the south gave 18 percent of their votes to Likud-Beiteinu, same as they did Yair Lapid’s party. But the big winner was the Jewish home, with 37 percent.

About the Author: Yori Yanover has been a working journalist since age 17, before he enlisted and worked for Ba'Machane Nachal. Since then he has worked for Israel Shelanu, the US supplement of Yedioth, JCN18.com, USAJewish.com, Lubavitch News Service, Arutz 7 (as DJ on the high seas), and the Grand Street News. He has published Dancing and Crying, a colorful and intimate portrait of the last two years in the life of the late Lubavitch Rebbe, (in Hebrew), and two fun books in English: The Cabalist's Daughter: A Novel of Practical Messianic Redemption, and How Would God REALLY Vote.


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

8 Responses to “Wednesday’s Poll: Bennett Gets 15 Seats at Likud’s Expense”

  1. Did you see the headline article at JPost claiming that Livni & Netanyahu were discussing Livni's becoming FM in the next gov't. Do you think that's credible?
    I wasn't going to vote for Likud anyway, my choice is Bennett, but the prospect of Livni in gov't. is nauseating.

  2. Excellent article…I agree that Bennett has to speak to the people directly, going over the heads of the media. Politicians give far to much power to an overwhelmingly leftist media corp by allowing the media to filter, color, and twist their message. Also the young people you describe as secular – are they be better described as traditional? As Israel generally (an the young especially) begin to see more and more the failures and emptiness of leftist ideology are the secular becoming more traditional (if not fully observant) and more Zionism-minded?

  3. Yori Yanover says:

    I think Netanyahu is focusing on Iran, and he doesn't want to be stuck without US support there. So a coalition with the right is out. He also wants to retrieve Housing from Shas, which takes them out of consideration as well. That's why the "near" left is a viable option, and Livni would pose fewer economic problems than Labor — assuming she could manage Amir Peretz.

  4. Yori Yanover says:

    The Technion and Beer Sheva U. are not the bastion of "traditional" Israelis. I mean, I don't think they hate their tradition, but Bennett is offering them agenda items — like cutting the defense budget by lowering the retirement age of career officers and NCOs — that appeal to them, regardless of their faith.

  5. Thanks for the reply. You confirm what I thought (and feared) & only last night, argued with friends who are Likud but not happy at my analysis which they could not refute. Your articles, by the way, are much much better than the dreck in the JPost.

  6. Chaiya Eitan says:

    Movin' on up….to the East Side…

Comments are closed.

SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Current Top Story
The 13th issue of Al Qaeda's 'Inspire' online English-language magazine.
Al Qaeda Urges ‘Lone Wolves’ via Magazine to Attack US Airliners
Latest Special-features Stories
Michael Oren, Dec. 16, 2013.

Ambassador Michael Oren is the first person to join Moshe Kachlon’s new political party, Kulanu.

Cat eating Garbage

Livni’s party is now down to 2 MKs (from 6). What did Herzog buy that was so expensive?

Binyamin Netanyahu, barred, for the time being at least, from running to be re-elected party chairman.

The Prime Minister will appeal the decision by the party’s comptroller.

Yisrael Beiteinu party leader Avigdor Lieberman: Police probe is a "witch-hunt."

Lieberman calls the police investigation a “witch-hunt” aimed at hurting the party’s chances at the polls.

The results of the poll may cause people to start changing their minds.

Rabbi Yehuda Glick, who was critically wounded in an assassination attempt several weeks ago, announced he is running “symbolically” on the Likud list for the elections to the Knesset. He is in 33rd place, and he will not be elected unless the party performs a miracle no less than his recovery and wins 33 seats. […]

Elections, and not Netanyahu, raised the minimum wage.

The decision of Uri Aril’s Tekuma faction to remain in the party and re-start a “Yesha faction” is a blessing.

Stern expressed dismay at Tzipi Livni’s merger with the Labor party.

The small Arab parties are talking about merging, and this could result in 14 seats for the Arab sector.

Reshet Bet has released their latest election poll…

Liberman and Kachlon may merge right after elections – and the larger party will recommend Liberman for Prime Minister to the President.

25-year-old man threatened former Shas party head with violence.

Feiglin decided he and the Likud party are better off if he fights on only one front, not two or three.

I’m sorry, but Naftali Bennett decided to dress up as an aging Tel Aviv Hipster and… apologize…

Shas takes a hit in the latest poll, and the coalition possibilities shift a bit with the changing numbers.

More Articles from Yori Yanover
rain ATM

A Jerusalem woman is trying to hold on to her umbrella while withdrawing some cash at a Meah Shearim ATM, Sunday, March 9, 2014. The rain appeared out of the blue (which is how rain should), after a warm week that started to feel like summer. Well, it don’t feel like summer no more. Last […]

Rabbi Meir Mazuz (seen visiting a synagogue in Crown Heights, Brooklyn) declared in a public Internet psak that it is legal for a Jew to go up to temple Mount.

Needless to say, Shas, the Haredi Sefardi party, is not happy.

“The only difference between this world and the time of Meshiach is our bondage to the gentile kingdoms.”

Here’s the Israeli Navy boat INS Hanit arriving in Eilat on Saturday, March 8, 2014, after capturing the Klos C, which was carrying dozens of advanced Iranian-supplied weapons made in Syria and intended for Palestinian guerrillas in the Gaza Strip. Here’s Israeli Navy Commander Vice Admiral Ram Rotberg speaking with the INS Hanit soldiers in […]

Pat Condell has a new video out, so, sit back, have fun. By the way, Message to Offended Muslims should not be confused with Message to Off Handed Muslims. Also, I’d love to hear what he has to say about Haredim.

The description that came with this picture says: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks with American actor Bette Midler during an event at the house of Hollywood producer Arnon Milchan in Hollywood on March 6, 2014. But Bette Midler is not really an actor, she’s a singer who made movies for the LGBT community and […]

We will shut them up in the campuses, we will shut them up in the high schools, we will shut them up at the 92nd St. Y.

An Israeli female soldier (because they’re better at removing babies from their homes) evacuates a baby from a settlement in Judea and Samaria some time in the recent past. I’m thinking, if the baby was angry enough, couldn’t he evacuate in return, right there in her arms? Imagine the same picture, except with a settler […]

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/wednesdays-poll-bennett-gets-15-seats-at-likuds-expense/2012/12/26/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: