web analytics
December 25, 2014 / 3 Tevet, 5775
 
At a Glance
News & Views
Sponsored Post
8000 meals Celebrate Eight Days of Chanukah – With 8,000 Free Meals Daily to Israel’s Poor

Join Meir Panim’s campaign to “light up” Chanukah for families in need.



Poll: Right to Win 73 Seats, Jewish Home 17.5, Power to Israel 6

The poll numbers are shaky, but if they held until elections, even with the Likud-Beytenu's drop in seats, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu would still most likely form Israel's next government.
Jewish Home Chairman Naftali Bennett.

Jewish Home Chairman Naftali Bennett.
Photo Credit: Yoav Ari Dudkevitch/Flash90

If Knesset elections were held today, the Likud-Beytenu list would receive 35 Knesset seats and the Jewish Home (HaBayit HaYehudi) party would receive 17.5 seats, making it the third largest party in the Knesset, right on the heals of the Labor party which would receive 18 seats, according to a poll commissioned by Israel’s Reshet Bet.

Strength to Israel, the offshoot from the National Union following the latter’s merger with the Jewish Home, would receive a 6 seats, a shocking result as other polls have shown that Strength to Israel would not even pass the threshold to enter the Knesset.  Shas would drop to 8 seats, and UTJ would get 6.5 seats.

That would give the Israeli Right 73 seats in the next Knesset. Am Shalem, the party of ousted Shas MK Rabbi Haim Amsalem, would not enter the next Knesset.

While the poll shows a drop of seven seats for Likud-Beytenu, it shows the joint list may be nearing the end of its free fall from the 42 seats it currently maintains in the Knesset,  as 72 percent of those who said they were voting in favor were sure about their vote, higher than any other party except United Torah Judaism and two Arab parties, Chadash and Ra’am Ta’al.

Fifty-nine percent of those who said they were voting for the Jewish Home were sure about their vote and only 33 percent were sure about their support of Strength to Israel, by far the lowest level of certainty among supporters of any other party.

On the Left, the Labor party would be Israel’s second largest party with 18 seats, Tzipi Livni’s the Movement would get 6 and Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid would get 5. Meretz would receive 7.

The three Arab lists Chadash, Balad and Ra’am Ta’al would receive 11 seats between them.

The poll also asked Israelis if they were “for or against the view that two states for two peoples was the desired solution for a peace agreement with the Palestinians.”

A plurality, 45.4% said they were opposed, while only 40.6% said they were in favor. Fourteen percent did not answer or were unsure.

The poll of 500 potential voters was conducted by Geocartographia by telephone yesterday and had a 4.2 percent margin of error.

The previous poll by Geocartographia showed Labor receiving a low 14 seats an anomaly among almost all other polls. That last poll, conducted December 24th, 2012, also showed Shas receiving 12 seats, four more than the recent poll.

If the numbers shown by the most recent poll are accurate and hold until elections, that would ostensibly give the Right 73 seats and leave the Left 47.

Recent sparring between the Likud and Shas since the return of Aryeh Deri and Netanyahu’s recent statement that he would want the Likud to retain the Ministry of Housing and Construction – currently held by Shas – however, leaves roomto doubt whether Shas will be included in a Netanyahu-led coalition.

The Strength to Israel party is also viciously anti-Netanyahu due to his Bar Ilan speech, the settlement freeze, and the destruction of several unauthorized outposts and the eviction of whole neighborhoods in Judea and Samaria where it was claimed that the property belonged to private Palestinians.

In addition, the UTJ has in the past sat in government on the Left and agrees with the Left on a variety of social and defense issues.

Nevertheless, no government has ever been formed with an Arab party. Practically, the Left’s initial potential for a coalition is 35 seats. In addition Yair Lapid (5 seats) has indicated he would join a coalition with Netanyahu and Tzipi Livni (6 seats) has not ruled out that possibility.

For Labor to form a government, party chairwoman Shelly Yachimovitch would have to make the leap of including three Arab parties in its coalition and convince Shas and UTJ to sit in that government, all while keeping Livni and Lapid behind her. That unlikely scenario would only result in a weak coalition of 61.5 seats, according to the polls numbers.

That means that even with the Likud-Beytenu’s drop in seats, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is on track to forming Israel’s next government.

Meanwhile, Yisrael Beytenu Chairman MK Avigdor Liberman said he believes the case against him is weak, that he will be cleared of all charges and that he believes the joint Likud-Beytenu list will receive 40 seats in the Knesset.

About the Author:


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

One Response to “Poll: Right to Win 73 Seats, Jewish Home 17.5, Power to Israel 6”

  1. Anonymous says:

    I want to believe this but I'll wait until I see some confirmation from other polls before I start celebrating. Otzma with 6 seats seems suspect. Does Otzma even have six candidates on their list? I can definitely believe Jewish Home having an increasing number of seats at Likud's expense. The center-left dropping off slightly from Lapid and Livni seems reasonable due to general disillusionment with the "Peace Process". I can also believe Shas losing some support due to Deri's return; Yishai is much more popular. Plus Am Shalem is taking 10,000s of Shas votes away even if that party ends up with zero seats. This polling agency seems a little inaccurate historically. I won't make the same mistake as I did during the US presidential elections and trust isolated polls; my hope that this is true can't affect my skepticism.

Comments are closed.

SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Current Top Story
The funeral of the terrorists who committed the Har Nof Massacre.
Israel Capitulates — Returns Bodies of Nar Nof Terrorists [video]
Latest News Stories
A Jewish cemetery in Greece was vandalized, Dec. 23, 2014

Greek Jewish cemetery vandalized, graffiti called for “six million more.”

Part of the cache of weapons and money uncovered by the IDF in a roundup of Palestinian Authority terrorists Wednesday night.

Intelligence is Israel’s most significant deterrence against terror.

The funeral of the terrorists who committed the Har Nof Massacre.

Police said on Nov, 18: “One way to cope with the recent wave of attacks…is not to return the bodies to the families.”

The left are using one officer’s alleged crimes, to go after a different officer they dislike.

After narrowing missing in the last elections, Michael Ben-Ari is trying to make a comeback and represent the “real right-wing” in Israel.

In operation Protective Edge, infantry and armored units worked side-by-side. A new training program hopes to integrate them even better on the battlefield.

It takes an average of 140 monthly salaries to buy a home. Ariel plans to lower that down to 85.

United Synagogue Youth teen board members are told ban is lifted on dating non-Jews, but “important” to date within the faith.

The latest edition of Al Qaeda’s online magazine urges lone wolf attacks on US airlines.

The Flemish Minister for Animal Welfare Ben Weyts has reversed his call for a ban on Jewish ritual slaughter in Belgium.

Ambassador Michael Oren is the first person to join Moshe Kachlon’s new political party, Kulanu.

Israel issued a grim warning to Gaza’s ruling Hamas terrorists Wednesday over an attack that led to a major clash.

In case of a medical emergency, one should call the MDA hotline at 03-734-4005.

“Islamic State continues to try to take over more areas close to Iraq and Turkey,” Khatib said.

Beit Hadassah was built by Jews in 1893 as a local medical clinic.

Rosenblatt and several Jewish residents of the neighborhood visited the station on the seventh night of Chanukah to show their support after the murder Saturday of two police officers in neighboring Bedford-Stuyvesant.

More Articles from Jewish Press Staff
Zaka rescue worker walks in Mercaz HaRav Yeshiva  library after an Arab terrorist murdered students in March 2008.j

A faster-beating heart as a result of fear of terror increase the risk of heart disease, researchers report.

A drone is targeted. (illustrative)

Arab media report Syria downed an Israeli drone over Quneitra, near the border between the two countries.

Excavations also turned up hidden tunnels dug by Jewish rebels in the period of the Bar Kokhba Revolt.

“This is the earliest evidence of the use of olive oil in the country, and perhaps the entire Mediterranean basin.”

Suggested causes: pollution of water sources, radiation changes and the effects of a dwindling population.

A Toronto synagogue issued a rare Shabbat appeal to help the family.

“In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth.” (Genesis 1:1)

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/israel/poll-right-would-win-73-seats-jewish-home-17-5-and-strength-to-israel-6/2013/01/03/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: