web analytics
November 26, 2014 / 4 Kislev, 5775
At a Glance
Special Features
Sponsored Post
IDC Herzliya Campus A Day on Campus

To mark IDC Herzliya’s 20th anniversary, we spent a day following Prof. Uriel Reichman, IDC’s founder and president, and Jonathan Davis, VP for External Relations, around its delightful campus.



GOING DOWN

Likud Continues to Sink, Left Rising, Jewish Home Third Largest

Expect an interesting conundrum on the opposition side.
Yair Lapid (pictured with a friend) was the big winner Friday morning, capturing votes from both Likud-Beiteinu and Labor.

Yair Lapid with a friend
Photo Credit: Roni Schutzer/Flash90

It’s three and a half days before the January 22 election in Israel, and the major story continues to be Likud-Beiteinu’s downhill slide. The unhappy union of two major right-wing parties, which has been losing a seat a week since its inception, on Friday sank to 33 vote (down from their current 42) in the Yedioth-Dahaf-Mina Tzemach poll, which included an unusually large sample in Israeli terms – 1,250 likely voters, with a 2-3 seat margin of error.

The other big story is that the new beneficiary of Likud’s losses is no longer Naftali Bennett’s HaBayit HaYehudi, but the “near left” parties of Tzipi Livni and Yair Lapid. These two personality-based lists are also siphoning off votes from Labor, which in Friday’s poll was clipped down to 17 seats. Lapid and Livni are holding 11 seats each

Naftali Bennett’s National Religious coalition received 12 seats in Friday’s poll, while Power to Israel scored 2 seats, same as its current presence.

Among the Haredi parties, Shas increased to 11 from its current 10 Knesset seats, Torah Judaism maintains its rise to 6 from the current 5 seats, and Rabbi Amsalem gets 2 seats, an increase of 1 from his current 1 seat.

The extreme leftist Meretz retains its 4 seats. The Arabs receive 11 seats – same as their current number.

The gap between the blocks is narrowing: Likud-Beiteinu, Jewish Home and Power to Israel get 47 seats, Labor, Livni, Lapid and Meretz get 43, the Haredi factions Shas, Torah Judaism and Amsalem get 19, and the Arabs 11.

The lower Likud-Beiteinu’s count, the less able will prime minister apparent Benjamin Netanyahu be to pick and choose among his potential government partners. In my humble opinion, his ideal coalition will include his own 33 seats (if the slide stops), Shas and Torah Judaism (17) and labor (17) for a stable, 67 member coalition.

This will create an interesting conundrum on the opposition side. According to the Knesset protocol, the head of the largest opposition party is appointed Opposition Leader – receiving a salary comparable to a government minister and getting monthly updates from the PM. However, should Naftali Bennett have the honor to head the largest opposition party, he would be facing 11 Arabs, 4 Meretz, and 22 Tzipi-Lapid members, all of whom fiercely oppose his platform.

In the past there was one case of rebellion against a coalition head under reverse circumstances, when Shas and Torah Judaism refused to accept the anti-Haredi Tomi Lapid (late father of the current Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid) as their representative.

This has a Supreme Court appeal written all over it. And guess who loses in Supreme Court appeals…

About the Author: Yori Yanover has been a working journalist since age 17, before he enlisted and worked for Ba'Machane Nachal. Since then he has worked for Israel Shelanu, the US supplement of Yedioth, JCN18.com, USAJewish.com, Lubavitch News Service, Arutz 7 (as DJ on the high seas), and the Grand Street News. He has published Dancing and Crying, a colorful and intimate portrait of the last two years in the life of the late Lubavitch Rebbe, (in Hebrew), and two fun books in English: The Cabalist's Daughter: A Novel of Practical Messianic Redemption, and How Would God REALLY Vote.


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

6 Responses to “Likud Continues to Sink, Left Rising, Jewish Home Third Largest”

  1. Jill Sevelow says:

    Three and a half weeks, says the editor.

  2. Heather Dow says:

    The Arabs would love the left secular party to win. good bye half of Jerusalem.
    Good bye to peace if the left party gets in. Israel needs a strong party that stands for Jews in Israel. Who's country is it anyway? Build and do not tear down Jewish homes and stand strong. It is the only way you will get respect and know where you really stand in your country. Do what is good for Israelis NOT what the world says is good for you. Pals will take all your land if you do not fiight for what is your land. I wish you peace and pray for Shalom peace in Israel, ALL of IT!

  3. Yori Yanover – a factual mistake. Meretz currently has only 3, not 4 as you state in the article. Other than that, I am suspicious about this Left-commissioned poll – Yes, I do think that it's pure cheating – 1-2 seats added to Livni, whom they are in bed with and heavily backing this odious woman's so-called aprty. Sorry, its reserarch coul not be more biased I'm convinced!

  4. Yori Yanover – a factual mistake. Meretz currently has only 3, not 4 as you state in the article. Other than that, I am suspicious about this Left-commissioned poll – Yes, I do think that it's pure cheating – 1-2 seats added to Livni, whom they are in bed with and heavily backing this odious woman's so-called aprty. Sorry, its reserarch coul not be more biased I'm convinced!

  5. need to take our worship flags and do some flagging there…YES????

  6. Anybody seeing any rise on the left? This entire 'article' is a fabrication.

Comments are closed.

SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Current Top Story
F-16 fighter jet.
ISIS ‘Prince’ of Iraq’s Anbar Province Killed
Latest Special-features Stories

Gadi Yarkoni, the last person injured during Operation Protective Edge, was released today from Soroka Hospital in Be’er Sheva.

High-rise multi-use tower in Gaza City attacked overnight by IAF, August 26, 2014.

Egypt-based Hamas official Moussa Abu Marzouk says Gaza landlords are refusing to rent to Hamas terrorists.

Hamas's leader in Gaza, Ismail Haniyeh (in blue shirt, center), benefitted politically - and in a dramatic fashion - from this summer's war.  Photo from Hamas victory rally, Aug. 27, 2014.

Rockets and violence over diplomacy and passivity is the Palestinian Arab ruling style of choice, as reflected in a PCPSR poll.

Funeral of Shachar Shalev.

The body of 1st Sgt. Shachar Shalev was laid to rest this afternoon in the cemetery in Hipsin.

The recent war in Gaza is not expected to inflict any lasting damage on economic performance.

Cabinet holds special session in Ashkelon, faces criticism from local residents, officials over lack of aid package

Sgt. Shahar Shalev, an IDF paratrooper who was critically wounded in the Gaza Strip during Operation Protective Edge, has died of his wounds. His death brings the number of Israeli casualties from Operation Protective Edge to 72. Baruch Dayan HaEmet.

Hamas’ supreme leader Khaled Mashaal dashed any hopes of long-term peace with Israel in a speech in Qatar on Thursday in which he shot from the hip at Israel and also at his terrorist organization’s new partner, the rival Fatah movement headed by Palestinian Authority chairman Mahmoud Abbas. His lengthy speech in Qatar, which has […]

Iconic pro-Israel comedian Joan Rivers is in critical condition following a throat procedure.

In the wake of a 12th Israel-Gaza cease-fire, Britain’s Jews and Muslims have issued a joint call for peace.

Only time PLO seems interested in justice for Palestinians is when Israel is involved

For years, Binyamin Netanyahu’s views on negotiating with terrorists, and on negotiating under fire have been clear: In his defining treatise on the subject Terrorism: How the West Can Win, Netanyahu spelled out clear guidelines for dealing with the scourge of attacks on civilians. Amongst other principles, the then up-and-coming Likud leader said clearly that terrorists must […]

One Arab tried to infiltrate Israel and dozens stoned IDF troops over the Gaza security fence Thursday, as Gazans celebrated their “victory” over Israel by initiating low-level clashes near Kibbutz Nahal Oz. IDF forces responded with warning shots in the air. No injuries or property damage were reported.

Uzi Arad launches ferocious attack on Netanyahu, DM Ya’alon. Praises home front but says pols giving nothing but marketing spin.

Israel’s Ambassador to the United Nations is demanding the world body take action against Hamas for its use of human shields.

Two people were wounded after numerous mortar shells were fired into northern Israel from Syria on Wednesday in 3 separate attacks.

More Articles from Yori Yanover
rain ATM

A Jerusalem woman is trying to hold on to her umbrella while withdrawing some cash at a Meah Shearim ATM, Sunday, March 9, 2014. The rain appeared out of the blue (which is how rain should), after a warm week that started to feel like summer. Well, it don’t feel like summer no more. Last […]

Rabbi Meir Mazuz (seen visiting a synagogue in Crown Heights, Brooklyn) declared in a public Internet psak that it is legal for a Jew to go up to temple Mount.

Needless to say, Shas, the Haredi Sefardi party, is not happy.

“The only difference between this world and the time of Meshiach is our bondage to the gentile kingdoms.”

Here’s the Israeli Navy boat INS Hanit arriving in Eilat on Saturday, March 8, 2014, after capturing the Klos C, which was carrying dozens of advanced Iranian-supplied weapons made in Syria and intended for Palestinian guerrillas in the Gaza Strip. Here’s Israeli Navy Commander Vice Admiral Ram Rotberg speaking with the INS Hanit soldiers in […]

Pat Condell has a new video out, so, sit back, have fun. By the way, Message to Offended Muslims should not be confused with Message to Off Handed Muslims. Also, I’d love to hear what he has to say about Haredim.

The description that came with this picture says: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks with American actor Bette Midler during an event at the house of Hollywood producer Arnon Milchan in Hollywood on March 6, 2014. But Bette Midler is not really an actor, she’s a singer who made movies for the LGBT community and […]

We will shut them up in the campuses, we will shut them up in the high schools, we will shut them up at the 92nd St. Y.

An Israeli female soldier (because they’re better at removing babies from their homes) evacuates a baby from a settlement in Judea and Samaria some time in the recent past. I’m thinking, if the baby was angry enough, couldn’t he evacuate in return, right there in her arms? Imagine the same picture, except with a settler […]

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/likud-continues-to-sink-left-rising-jewish-home-third-largest/2012/12/28/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: