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January 27, 2015 / 7 Shevat, 5775
 
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BIBI ON THE SKIDS

Shock Knesset Poll: Lapid Runaway Victor in New Elections

Netanyahu wheels and deals, Livni sacrifices herself on the altar of a Cabinet post, Shas plays cute and the public is fed up. A new poll shows that if elections were held today, Lapid would win.
Bibbi and Tzipi may be coalition partners after all.

Bibbi and Tzipi coalition partners after all.
Photo Credit: Yori Yanover

A monthly poll carried out the Knesset Channel shows that Yair Lapid’s Future (Yesh Atid) party would win 30 seats in the Knesset if elections were held today, and Likud Beiteinu would be sliced to 22 seats.

The Habayit Hayehudi (Jewish Home) party, headed by Naftali Bennett, would dislodge Labor as the third largest party with 15 seats.

The poll results by party:

  • Future – 30
  • Likud Beiteinu – 22
  • Jewish Home – 15
  • Labor – 13
  • Arab parties – 9
  • Shas – 9
  • Hareidi United Torah Judaism – 6
  • Livni – 4
  • Otzma – 3
  • Kadima – 2

The poll indicates that the surprising strength of the Future and Jewish Home parties in the January elections was not a fluke but rather reflected a serious demand by the Israeli public for a change, not only in faces but also in political honesty.

Bennett and Lapid are the only political party chairmen who are first-time Knesset Members, and they also campaigned with clear-cut red lines that won resounding approval. Lapid focused on his demand for the military draft to include Haredi men, and Bennett insisted that the time has come for the Palestinian Authority to start making concessions.

The Knesset poll shows that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s sluggish coalition efforts have made Bennett and Lapid even more popular.

The option of new elections is the least favorable to almost everyone, but the poll shows that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has more to worry about than anyone else.

His coalition-building efforts have sparked a full-fledged pre-Purim Fest among politicians.

Everyone is wearing masks to the point that some people, like Livni, already have lost their identities.

Netanyahu made a deal  with Tzipi Livni and appointed her in charge of the Justice ministry and the peace process after she did everything but spit on the Prime Minister in the elections. The deal threw the Habayit Hayehudi (Jewish Home) into a frenzy, to the point that it supposedly is preparing for new elections.

Bennett wants the Prime Minister to cancel the deal, and he said Thursday night he wants to be named Finance Minister while Lapid, feeling his oats, now wants the post of Foreign Minister.

About the Author: Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu is a graduate in journalism and economics from The George Washington University. He has worked as a cub reporter in rural Virginia and as senior copy editor for major Canadian metropolitan dailies. Tzvi wrote for Arutz Sheva for several years before joining the Jewish Press.


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2 Responses to “Shock Knesset Poll: Lapid Runaway Victor in New Elections”

  1. Anonymous says:

    This poll is nonsense. Shas always has at least 11 seats. That number is not going to change due to the inelasticity of its voters. Otzma didn't win 1 seat so the notion that they are going to suddenly pick up 3 seats while Bayit Yehudi also adds three to its total is ridiculous. They poach voters from one another. In fact Otzma cost Bayit Yehudi probably 2 seats in the last election (1.76%). I could believe one going up while the other going down but the scenario above is not likely. Why would the Arab parties drop from 11 down to 9? Where are those extra Arab votes go? To Yesh Atid? No. The poll also didn't account for Meretz which currently has 6 seats. Don't put any stock in this poll. On the other hand, Bennett better join the coalition soon to avoid being left out in the cold or causing the possibility of a Likud alliance with Labor. He will have no one to blame but himself if that happens.

  2. Ben Herzog says:

    Labor is not joining the coalition. Yehimovich has said this more than enough times. This possibility is only still brought up courtesy of Likud spin doctors.

    This poll may be exaggerated (another one by Maariv has Likud down just 3 and Lapid up just 5), but if you're saying it's nonsense you really don't understand how fed up the Israeli public is with the basic inequality before the law perpetuated by Netanyahu and his complete lack of ideology or commitment to any sort of principle.

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