web analytics
November 27, 2014 / 5 Kislev, 5775
At a Glance
News & Views
Sponsored Post
IDC Herzliya Campus A Day on Campus

To mark IDC Herzliya’s 20th anniversary, we spent a day following Prof. Uriel Reichman, IDC’s founder and president, and Jonathan Davis, VP for External Relations, around its delightful campus.



GOING RED

Swing State Report: NC, VA, Leaning Romney


Snapshot_091212

You’ll notice that I added North Carolina to the list of swing states. This is because the Romeny camp has declared it as such, probably not a minute too soon. With its 15 delegates, North Carolina broke McCain’s heart in 2008 and went for the Democrats. It’s good to know someone in the Romney camp is doing some thinking.

You’ll also note that Virginia this morning is leaning Republican, but well within the margin of error. Virginia will remain a tight race all the way to November.

We still don’t have a recent, reliable poll on Iowa. There’s only a Democratic campaign poll from 8/23-26, giving Obama 47% vs. 45% to Romney. Iowa also awarded its 7 delegates to Obama in 2008, but, like North Carolina, it should go Republican, all things being equal. Like Indiana, which went for Obama in ’08 (11 delegates). Today, Indiana is leaning Republican, and the universe is that much closer to equilibrium….

So, the swing states are still mostly going to Obama, but with some data seriously missing, and with margins that shouldn’t let the Democrats take a rest, nor fill Republican hearts with despair.

Stay tuned.

 

91212
State # Delegates Poll Dates Obama Romney Spraed
Colorado 9 8/13 – 9/2 48.7 45.3 Obama +3.4
Florida 29 8/22 – 9/9 48.3 46.3 Obama +2.0
Iowa 6 5/22 – 8/26 45 44.8 Obama +0.2
Nevada 6 7/24 – 8/26 49 45.7 Obama +3.3
New Hampshire 4 6/20 – 8/12 48.3 44.8 Obama +3.5
North Carolina 15 8/22 – 9/9 45.5 49 Romney +3.5
Ohio 18 8/15 – 9/9 47.6 45.4 Obama +2.2
Virginia 13 8/13 – 9/9 46.5 47.3 Romney +0.8
Wisconsin 10 8/13 – 8/21 48.2 46.8 Obama +1.4
91112
State # Delegates Poll Dates Obama Romney Spraed
Colorado 9 8/13 – 9/2 48.7 45.3 Obama +3.4
Florida 29 8/15 – 9/2 48.5 46.8 Obama +1.7
Iowa 6 5/22 – 8/26 45 44.8 Obama +0.2
Nevada 6 7/24 – 8/26 49 45.7 Obama +3.3
New Hampshire 4 6/20 – 8/12 48.3 44.8 Obama +3.5
Ohio 18 8/15 – 9/9 47.6 45.4 Obama +2.2
Virginia 13 8/13 – 8/23 47.3 46.7 Obama +0.6
Wisconsin 10 8/13 – 8/21 48.2 46.8 Obama +1.4
91012
State # Delegates Poll Dates Obama Romney Spraed
Colorado 9 8/13 – 9/2 48.7 45.3 Obama +3.4
Florida 29 8/15 – 9/2 48.5 46.8 Obama +1.7
Iowa 6 5/22 – 8/26 45 44.8 Obama +0.2
Nevada 6 7/24 – 8/26 49 45.7 Obama +3.3
New Hampshire 4 6/20 – 8/12 48.3 44.8 Obama +3.5
Ohio 18 8/15 – 9/9 47.6 45.4 Obama +2.2
Virginia 13 8/13 – 8/23 47.3 46.7 Obama +0.6
Wisconsin 10 8/13 – 8/21 48.2 46.8 Obama +1.4
90912
State # Delegates Poll Dates Obama Romney Spraed
Colorado 9 8/9 – 9/2 47.8 45.5 Obama +2.3
Florida 29 8/13 – 9/2 47.3 46.7 Obama +0.6
Iowa 6 5/22 – 8/26 45 44.8 Obama +0.2
Nevada 6 7/24 – 8/26 49 45.7 Obama +3.3
New Hampshire 4 6/20 – 8/12 48.3 44.8 Obama +3.5
Ohio 18 8/13 – 9/2 46.2 45.5 Obama +0.7
Virginia 13 8/13 – 8/23 47.3 46.7 Obama +0.6
Wisconsin 10 8/13 – 8/21 48.2 46.8 Obama +1.4

 

About the Author: Yori Yanover has been a working journalist since age 17, before he enlisted and worked for Ba'Machane Nachal. Since then he has worked for Israel Shelanu, the US supplement of Yedioth, JCN18.com, USAJewish.com, Lubavitch News Service, Arutz 7 (as DJ on the high seas), and the Grand Street News. He has published Dancing and Crying, a colorful and intimate portrait of the last two years in the life of the late Lubavitch Rebbe, (in Hebrew), and two fun books in English: The Cabalist's Daughter: A Novel of Practical Messianic Redemption, and How Would God REALLY Vote.


If you don't see your comment after publishing it, refresh the page.

Our comments section is intended for meaningful responses and debates in a civilized manner. We ask that you respect the fact that we are a religious Jewish website and avoid inappropriate language at all cost.

If you promote any foreign religions, gods or messiahs, lies about Israel, anti-Semitism, or advocate violence (except against terrorists), your permission to comment may be revoked.

5 Responses to “Swing State Report: NC, VA, Leaning Romney”

  1. Jerry Hersch says:

    Many of the swing states are also very Evangelical Christian.Evangelical Christians Say they are supporters of Israel -this does not mean they are supporters of Jews.
    Joe Straus a Texas Republican Jew was elected Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives. Evangelical Christian Republican legislators were against having a Jew in this position.Far more were against Straus than the final tally. All those against Straus because he is Jewish were also outspoken supporters of Israel.

    http://www.jta.org/news/article/2011/01/11/2742509/straus-reelected-speaker-notes-attacks-on-faith

  2. Amy Dockery says:

    I go to a church near Nashville, Tennessee with a membership of 8000. I have NEVER heard anyone make a distinction between Israel and the Jewish people. It's like saying, I love Canada but not Canadians…. Let me make this clear. We Christians love the Jewish people and pray for the peace of Jerusalem daily. The Jews begot our Christ… Mary was a Jew! The Jews befriended our Christ… The disciples were Jews! Jesus said, "No one takes my live, I lay it down"…(As the final Attonement for sin spoken of in Isaiah 53….) So NO, neither the Jews nor the Romans were responsible for the death of Christ! His death was fortold and pre-ordained. How can we not love the Jewish people and Israel? Any so called Christian who hates the Jews is NOT an authentic Christ follower. Period! God bless, keep and protect the Jewish people, who are FOREVER the apple of His eye. (And may God bless your Prime Minister and grant him Divine wisdom, guidance, and strength..)

  3. Amy Dockery says:

    I go to a church near Nashville, Tennessee with a membership of 8000. I have NEVER heard anyone make a distinction between Israel and the Jewish people. It's like saying, I love Canada but not Canadians…. Let me make this clear. We Christians love the Jewish people and pray for the peace of Jerusalem daily. The Jews begot our Christ… Mary was a Jew! The Jews befriended our Christ… The disciples were Jews! Jesus said, "No one takes my life, I lay it down"…(As the final Attonement for sin spoken of in Isaiah 53….) So NO, neither the Jews nor the Romans were responsible for the death of Christ! His death was fortold and pre-ordained. How can we not love the Jewish people and Israel? Any so called Christian who hates the Jews is NOT an authentic Christ follower. Period! God bless, keep and protect the Jewish people, who are FOREVER the apple of His eye. (And may God bless your Prime Minister and grant him Divine wisdom, guidance, and strength.)

  4. Lynda Munsey says:

    God is the One who ordained His death so that we can be saved! He paid the sin debt & the others involved in the death of Christ (Romans & Jews) were the instruments God used to make it happen!

  5. Amy Dockery says:

    Well if you think about it, He died for the sins of each one of us…. So we all played a role in His death. But as you said, it was God's plan. But He makes it very clear, that we are to always bless His people and pray for their peace and welfare… Our church is taking a tour to Israel next summer. I would LOVE to go!!

Comments are closed.

SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Current Top Story
Ferguson, Missouri: rioting against racism, encouraging murder
The Foul Stench of the Ferguson Fallout
Latest News Stories
A cruise ship docked at the port in the Southern Israeli town of Ashdod. June 23, 2014.

In 2014, cruise ship traffic to Israel decreased by almost two-thirds in comparison with the year before.

U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg

U.S. Supreme Court Ruth Bader Ginsburg had heart surgery on Wednesday, Nov. 26.

“The Israeli government is not interested in the collapse of the Palestinian Authority,” said Arbell, a guest scholar at the Brookings Institution who teaches at American University here. “There may be faults in Abbas and the leadership and in what they’re doing, but they’re still the safest bet.”

Shas head Aryeh Deri said this evening on Radio Kol Chai that if Netanyahu met his two non-negotiable conditions, Shas could join the coalition.

The man, a resident of Beit Safafa, tried on three different occasions last week to burn down the section of the hospital building where he worked.

The terrorist’s wife will now have to return to the Palestinian Authority, following the decision by Interior Minister Gilad Erdan.

The IDF says it will change its policies on soldiers who grow beards for religious reasons.

The proposal includes some extreme measures to fight the current wave of terrorism.

The Kinneret rose 3.5 centimeters overnight due to the heavy rainstorm that hit the country.

The father-son team recently gave a check to the family of Druze policeman Zidan Saif for his role in stopping the Har Nof Massacre.

The police fought hard to not have it revealed that Netanel Arami was murdered in a Petach Tikva terror attack, but now a court has lifted the gag order…

The three were walking along the side of the highway when the accident happened.

A device, a gas canister with wires, was left near the Shavei Shomron intersection this morning, designed to look like a bomb.

The ISIS ‘prince’ of Iraq’s Anbar province was killed in a US-led coalition air strike Wednesday.

The Ferguson-related unrest continued across America Tuesday night. Some blamed Israel.

More Articles from Yori Yanover
rain ATM

A Jerusalem woman is trying to hold on to her umbrella while withdrawing some cash at a Meah Shearim ATM, Sunday, March 9, 2014. The rain appeared out of the blue (which is how rain should), after a warm week that started to feel like summer. Well, it don’t feel like summer no more. Last […]

Rabbi Meir Mazuz (seen visiting a synagogue in Crown Heights, Brooklyn) declared in a public Internet psak that it is legal for a Jew to go up to temple Mount.

Needless to say, Shas, the Haredi Sefardi party, is not happy.

“The only difference between this world and the time of Meshiach is our bondage to the gentile kingdoms.”

Here’s the Israeli Navy boat INS Hanit arriving in Eilat on Saturday, March 8, 2014, after capturing the Klos C, which was carrying dozens of advanced Iranian-supplied weapons made in Syria and intended for Palestinian guerrillas in the Gaza Strip. Here’s Israeli Navy Commander Vice Admiral Ram Rotberg speaking with the INS Hanit soldiers in […]

Pat Condell has a new video out, so, sit back, have fun. By the way, Message to Offended Muslims should not be confused with Message to Off Handed Muslims. Also, I’d love to hear what he has to say about Haredim.

The description that came with this picture says: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks with American actor Bette Midler during an event at the house of Hollywood producer Arnon Milchan in Hollywood on March 6, 2014. But Bette Midler is not really an actor, she’s a singer who made movies for the LGBT community and […]

We will shut them up in the campuses, we will shut them up in the high schools, we will shut them up at the 92nd St. Y.

An Israeli female soldier (because they’re better at removing babies from their homes) evacuates a baby from a settlement in Judea and Samaria some time in the recent past. I’m thinking, if the baby was angry enough, couldn’t he evacuate in return, right there in her arms? Imagine the same picture, except with a settler […]

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/yoris-daily-news-clips/swing-state-report-nc-va-leaning-romney/2012/09/12/

Scan this QR code to visit this page online: