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January 30, 2015 / 10 Shevat, 5775
 
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘elections’

Weekend’s Election Poll Results

Friday, January 16th, 2015

The weekend’s election poll by Walla shows the following results:

Labor (Herzog/Livni): 26
Likud (Netanyahu): 24
Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 18
Arab Party: 11
Yesh Atid (Lapid): 8
Kulanu (Kachlon): 8
UTJ (Gafni/Litzman): 8
Shas (Deri): 8
Yisrael Beiteinu (Liberman): 5
Meretz (Gal-on): 5

Israeli Anti-Bibi Media turn Four Election Polls into one Lie

Friday, January 16th, 2015

Four pre-election polls published Thursday night and Friday morning show varying results, but two of them reveal that the popularity of Labor-Livni has grown by a solitary seat in the Knesset. Nevertheless, Israel’s establishment media are reporting the trivial news as if there is a rush of support for the left.

Polls are not  meaningless, but when a party registers one seat more or one less from week to week, it is virtually insignificant, numerically as well as statistically when taking into account the margin of error in small samples.

That has not stopped Israel Radio, known by the misnomer in English as the Voice of Israel, from promoting the results of this week’s poll as a victory for the “Zionist camp,” a label now claimed by everyone except for Neturei Karta.

Similarly,  three television polls show that the lead party is the “Zionist camp,” whose list of candidates likely to be elected includes those who want to turn over all of Judea and Samaria as well as half of Jerusalem to the Palestinian Authority, which has said that no Jew will be allowed to live there.

The same poll trumpeted by Israel radio also shows that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has a 4 percentage lead over Labor party leaders Yitzchak Herzog and Tzipi Livni when voters are faced with the question of who should be Prime Minister. However, Rafi Smith, who carried out the poll, said this is insignificant because of the margin of error, which apparently does not apply to results in favor of the left.

But that was the secondary headline.

The big news, according to Israel Radio, is that Herzog-Livni is now leading the Likud party by two seats instead of one.

The gap is 2, 4 and 1 in three polls on television channels 2, 10 and 1.

More significant is that Herzog-Livni still have no chance to form a coalition government without an ungodly collection of Meretz and Yisrael Beiteinu or Yisrael Beiteinu and Haredi parties.

After adding up all the numbers, the picture has not changed from last week or even last month: There are two camps: the anti-Netanyahu parties of Labor-Livni, Meretz and Yesh Atid, headed by Yair Lapid; and the pro-Netanyahu camp of the Likud and the Jewish Home, which according to all polls is holding stable with 16-17 mandates.

The most significant changes in the numbers relate to Yisrael Beiteinu, which has been in a clear trend of a decline in the past month. The four polls give the party 5, 6 and 7 seats, far less than when the current Knesset was dissolved.

After taking into account small differences in poll results for the other parties, Kulanu, headed by Moshe Kahlon, Yesh Atid, Meretz and Shas are not moving up or down significantly.

Eli Yishai, who split from Shas and formed his own party, still is on the borderline of being shut out of the Knesset.

There are other very significant indications: If Labor-Livni picks up any more seats, it will be at the expense of Meretz or Yesh Atid, and vice-versa. If Kulanu attracts more voters, they likely will move over from Yesh Atid, Yisrael Beiteinu and possibly the Likud.

There still are two months left before voters go to the polls, and Israel Radio and most of the television channels will try to convince voters that Herzog and Livni have the best chance to win.

If the combined party comes out on top, President Reuven Rivlin will have little choice but to give it the first crack at forming a government, which brings back to mind the elections five years ago.

Recount Lifts Likud’s Tzipi Hotovely into Almost Certain Re-Election

Friday, January 16th, 2015

Knesset Member Tzipi Hotovely has been put back into a higher spot on the Likud candidate list, making it more likely she will be re-elected following a recount of the votes in the Likud primary elections last week.

Another recount is probable since Hotovely now has a lead of only 11-19 votes over former MK and minister Avi Dichter, who according to the first recount beat Hotovely by 55 votes for the 20th place on the party list.

The next five places on the list are reserved for sectors, regardless of the voting results, meaning that Dichter now is the 26th place.

Likud primary elections almost always never pass without questionable practices and mishaps. This time around, it simply may be that someone doesn’t know how to count, and if that is the case, woe to Israel if the same person becomes the Finance Minister.

The new recount is good news for the Likud because Hotovely is very popular among national religious voters, while Dichter is identified with the classic Likud wheelers and dealers whose ideology blows with the wind and the smell of power.

The entire Hotovely-Dichter see-saw may be superfluous because Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu still has the privilege of choosing one of them as his own preference for the 23rd place on the party list.

However, the way the polls are going, even Hotovely, in the 20th place, cannot be sure of a seat.

Three polls by different Israeli television channels give the Likud between 20 and 25 seats in the Knesset elections, to be held March 17.

If Hotovely holds on to her slim lead, she might be able to attract more voters, all at the expense of the Jewish Home.

Labor (or Whatever They Call Themselves) Forms Their Knesset List [election]

Wednesday, January 14th, 2015

The results from the Labor party (or whatever they are calling themselves today, depending on their audience) primary results are in, and the following is their initial list.

Three of the top 4 spots are filled by women.

Tzipi Livni gets to select of few candidates from her former Hatnua party for reserved positions on the Labor list, though since almost all of her fellow Hatnua party members have quit she may have to look a little further afield. Presumably one of her spots will go to Amir Peretz, who used to be in the Labor party.

As Herzog and Livni were not actually running, Shelly Yechimovich was voted the most popular person in the party.

1) Yitzchak Herzog
2) Tzipi Livni
3) Shelly Yechimovich
4) Stav Shapir
5) Itzik Shmuli
6) Amar Bar-Lev
7) Hilik Bar
8) Reverved for Hatnua (Amir Peretz)
9) Merav Michaeli
10) Eitan Cabel
11) Reserved
12) Arel Margalit
13) Miki Rozenthal
14) Revital Swed
15) Dani Atar
16) Reserved for Hatnua (Manuel Trajtenberb)
17) Zohir Bahalul
18) Eitan Broshi
19) Michal Biran
20) Nachman Shai
21) Reserved for Hatnua
22) Ayelet Nachmias Varbin
23) Yossi Yona
24) Reserved for Hatnua
25) Reserved for Hatnua

Israeli Officials Out of the Country to Cast Election Ballots on Purim [election]

Tuesday, January 13th, 2015

An Israeli Supreme Court judge rejected on Tuesday an appeal by women to allow Israeli officials outside of the country to cast their votes in the Knesset elections in March on a day other than Purim.

Justice Salim Jourban ruled that the Knesset knew the law, or should have known the law, that sets the election date for officials out of the country 12 days before the election  date in Israel.

The appeal was filed the director of the agency for the advancement of the status of women and by Knesset Member Ruth Caldron.

They argued that voting on Purim would be very difficult for women.

Presumably, they would be with their children on the holiday but why that would stop them from voting is not clear, presuming their husbands did not get drunk at a Purim party the night before.

 

Kirschenbaum Quits After Hurting Yisrael Beiteinu [election]

Monday, January 12th, 2015

Deputy Interior Minister Faina Kirschenbaum announced Monday morning she is quitting the Yisrael Beiteinu party, in what might be a good move for party leader Avigdor Liberman.

Kirschenbaum is one of more than 30 suspects, a number of whom are associated with the Yisrael Beiteinu party, who are being questioned for money laundering, bribery and using funds illegally for personal aims.

She wanted to quit last week, but Liberman asked her to reconsider. Kirschenbaum said on Monday that she is leaving politics, partly in order to follow her lawyer’s advice to exercise her right of silence concerning the criminal charges.

Her exit completes the elimination of a quarter of the top MKs of Yisrael Beiteinu. Liberman, mostly through his own political devices, made his old top ministers feel unwanted.

One by one, Yitzchak Aharonovich, Uzi Landau and Dudu Rotem left the party. Liberman wasn’t counting on a bribery scandal, which had decimated his already poor showing in pre-election polls.

Except for a popular television journalist, and the very qualified Orly Levy-Abekasis, who is being wooed by the Likud, Liberman does not have any major attractions for the voters yet, but that might still change.

Deri Returns to the Sound of One Hand Clapping [election]

Monday, January 12th, 2015

Aryeh Deri is pulling down the curtain on his third-grade political acrobatic stunt and will play the part of the most humble man on the planet Monday when he accepts a rabbi’s order to return to head whatever remains of the Shas Sephardi Haredi party.

Deri quit last month, vowing never to return, after a leaked video showed the party’s founder and spiritual leader, the late Rabbi Ovadia Yosef, praising Deri’s political enemy Eli Yishai and calling Deri “evil” because of the bribery scandal that landed him in the slammer for three years.

Deri performed a splendid act of saying he could not possibly return to the Shas party after a still-unknown instigator exposed the video and supposedly disgraced the holiness of Rabbi Yosef.

It is not clear why so many people think that the video shamed the late rabbi. His image actually should have been considered more holy for his having stated a politician caught for bribery is not exactly the figure who should lead Shas.

The fact that people think the opposite says a lot about the Shas political party, where the sheepish followers of Rabbi Yosef and his family worship and embalm his image,

Deri set the stage for Rabbi Shalom Cohen, head of Shas’ so-called Council of Sages, to order Deri to come back in his black hat on his white horse and head the party.

“You have no permission to leave, I order you to come back and lead the holy movement,” Rabbi Cohen commanded him.

The holy Deri will lead the holy Shas to attract the holy voters to serve in the unholy Knesset where Shas has the holy mission to cut holy deals for its holy institutions.

Deri played out the soap opera of the video leak for every vote he could.

Pre-election polls have shown that Deri will draw around seven seats in the Knesset elections March 17.  Yishai’s new party is teetering on the edge of drawing enough support for the minimum number of votes to enter the Knesset.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/deri-returns-to-the-sound-of-one-hand-clapping/2015/01/12/

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