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February 2, 2015 / 13 Shevat, 5775
 
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘Labor’

Israeli Anti-Bibi Media turn Four Election Polls into one Lie

Friday, January 16th, 2015

Four pre-election polls published Thursday night and Friday morning show varying results, but two of them reveal that the popularity of Labor-Livni has grown by a solitary seat in the Knesset. Nevertheless, Israel’s establishment media are reporting the trivial news as if there is a rush of support for the left.

Polls are not  meaningless, but when a party registers one seat more or one less from week to week, it is virtually insignificant, numerically as well as statistically when taking into account the margin of error in small samples.

That has not stopped Israel Radio, known by the misnomer in English as the Voice of Israel, from promoting the results of this week’s poll as a victory for the “Zionist camp,” a label now claimed by everyone except for Neturei Karta.

Similarly,  three television polls show that the lead party is the “Zionist camp,” whose list of candidates likely to be elected includes those who want to turn over all of Judea and Samaria as well as half of Jerusalem to the Palestinian Authority, which has said that no Jew will be allowed to live there.

The same poll trumpeted by Israel radio also shows that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has a 4 percentage lead over Labor party leaders Yitzchak Herzog and Tzipi Livni when voters are faced with the question of who should be Prime Minister. However, Rafi Smith, who carried out the poll, said this is insignificant because of the margin of error, which apparently does not apply to results in favor of the left.

But that was the secondary headline.

The big news, according to Israel Radio, is that Herzog-Livni is now leading the Likud party by two seats instead of one.

The gap is 2, 4 and 1 in three polls on television channels 2, 10 and 1.

More significant is that Herzog-Livni still have no chance to form a coalition government without an ungodly collection of Meretz and Yisrael Beiteinu or Yisrael Beiteinu and Haredi parties.

After adding up all the numbers, the picture has not changed from last week or even last month: There are two camps: the anti-Netanyahu parties of Labor-Livni, Meretz and Yesh Atid, headed by Yair Lapid; and the pro-Netanyahu camp of the Likud and the Jewish Home, which according to all polls is holding stable with 16-17 mandates.

The most significant changes in the numbers relate to Yisrael Beiteinu, which has been in a clear trend of a decline in the past month. The four polls give the party 5, 6 and 7 seats, far less than when the current Knesset was dissolved.

After taking into account small differences in poll results for the other parties, Kulanu, headed by Moshe Kahlon, Yesh Atid, Meretz and Shas are not moving up or down significantly.

Eli Yishai, who split from Shas and formed his own party, still is on the borderline of being shut out of the Knesset.

There are other very significant indications: If Labor-Livni picks up any more seats, it will be at the expense of Meretz or Yesh Atid, and vice-versa. If Kulanu attracts more voters, they likely will move over from Yesh Atid, Yisrael Beiteinu and possibly the Likud.

There still are two months left before voters go to the polls, and Israel Radio and most of the television channels will try to convince voters that Herzog and Livni have the best chance to win.

If the combined party comes out on top, President Reuven Rivlin will have little choice but to give it the first crack at forming a government, which brings back to mind the elections five years ago.

Shelly Yachimovich at Cinema City

Thursday, January 15th, 2015

A few days ago Cinema City in Jerusalem got into a little bit of trouble with Amir Peretz, after he found out that they had “Caveman” statue next to the popcorn concession that bore a striking resemblance to the politician, probably due to the binoculars.

The statue was taken down and replaced with a new statue.

We suspect this politician might have a better sense of humor about it.

But if they have to take this one down, my money is that they’ll do Naftali Bennett next. He definitely has a good sense of humor about these things.

Labor (or Whatever They Call Themselves) Forms Their Knesset List [election]

Wednesday, January 14th, 2015

The results from the Labor party (or whatever they are calling themselves today, depending on their audience) primary results are in, and the following is their initial list.

Three of the top 4 spots are filled by women.

Tzipi Livni gets to select of few candidates from her former Hatnua party for reserved positions on the Labor list, though since almost all of her fellow Hatnua party members have quit she may have to look a little further afield. Presumably one of her spots will go to Amir Peretz, who used to be in the Labor party.

As Herzog and Livni were not actually running, Shelly Yechimovich was voted the most popular person in the party.

1) Yitzchak Herzog
2) Tzipi Livni
3) Shelly Yechimovich
4) Stav Shapir
5) Itzik Shmuli
6) Amar Bar-Lev
7) Hilik Bar
8) Reverved for Hatnua (Amir Peretz)
9) Merav Michaeli
10) Eitan Cabel
11) Reserved
12) Arel Margalit
13) Miki Rozenthal
14) Revital Swed
15) Dani Atar
16) Reserved for Hatnua (Manuel Trajtenberb)
17) Zohir Bahalul
18) Eitan Broshi
19) Michal Biran
20) Nachman Shai
21) Reserved for Hatnua
22) Ayelet Nachmias Varbin
23) Yossi Yona
24) Reserved for Hatnua
25) Reserved for Hatnua

Latest Poll: Likud Back on Top, Arabs Take 4th Place

Friday, January 9th, 2015

In the latest poll, taken by Maariv-Walla, we have the following results:

Likud (Netanyahu): 25

Labor (Herzog-Livni): 24

Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 15

Arab List: 11

Kulanu (Kachlon): 10

Yesh Atid (Lapid): 9

UTJ (Litzman-Gafni): 8

Shas (Deri): 6

Meretz (Gal-on): 6

Yisrael Beiteinu (Liberman): 6 In the latest poll the Likud is now back on top. Due to their unification, in response to the raised electoral threshold, the united Arab list is likely to become the 4th largest party in the Knesset, though it still remains one of the smaller parties.

Eli Yishai just barely keeps on missing the electoral threshold.

Deri is expected to announce next week that his permanent exit from politics or as head of the Shas party is over, and he’s retaking the reins of the Shas party.

Unless one of the two larger parties can break away and get higher numbers, we still see this ongoing deadlock situation, where everyone is reliant on the smaller parties to form a coalition, is its possible to form a coalition at all.

If Labor and Likud form a national unity government, that will actually provide them a wide range of partners, of course, the government will be even worse than the last one.

With neither Kachlon, Shas, UTJ or Yisrael Beiteinu swearing allegiance to a right-wing coalition, everything is up for grabs.

It appears, in fact, that Labor would have an easier time to form a coalition than Likud with these numbers.

In a second question asked:  between Benjamin Netanyahu and Yitzchak Herzog, 50% believe that Netanyahu is better suited to be Prime Minister, while 25% believe Herzog is better suited for the task.

The Zionist Camp Erases Zionism

Wednesday, January 7th, 2015

Yitzchak Herzog and Tzipi Livni are beginning to realize that changing the name of their merged party into “The Zionist Camp” from “Labor” is going to cause them problems with their voters.

In their new advertising campaigns to the Arab sector they’ve removed all reference to The Zionist Camp name and are instead using “Labor – for Peace and Equality”.

It’s not yet known what name they will use for their campaign in northern Tel Aviv.

Source: @NadavPerry

Labor Campaign in Arabic

Hatnua Party Collapses, Herzog Buys a Cat in the Bag

Wednesday, December 24th, 2014

Besides the Yisrael Beiteinu MK(s?) whom we won’t be seeing in the next Knesset after today’s revelations, a few more politicians will be leaving us for good from Tzipi Livni’s Hatnua party.

Amram Mitzna (Hatnua) announced today that he informed Tzipi Livni that he won’t be running in the next elections. Though unlike his compatriot Elazar Stern who announced that he was leaving the Hatnua party earlier this week, Mitzna thinks the merger with Labor was a good move.

Meir Sheetrit (Hatnua) is expected to announce his retirement from politics tomorrow.

Sheetrit is a controversial politician who has worked very hard over the last decade to deploy various Big Brother platforms onto the citizenship, in particular government controlled DNA databases for newborns and biometric databases for citizens.

Yesterday, HaTnua MK David Tzur announced his retirement from politics.

Besides Tzipi Livni, that only leaves Amir Peretz as MKs in the HaTnua party, and he’s been known to publicly get confused as to which party he’s currently serving in, but that might be OK now that he’s returning to Labor.

Two weeks ago, Yitzchak Herzog, chairman of the Labor party, agreed to not only merge Labor together with Tzipi Livni’s Hatnua party, but if they managed to form a coalition with themselves at the top of the heap, Herzog agreed to share the premiership with Livni, and rotate the position of Prime Minister between the two of them.

Herzog thought he was buying a pig in the poke, but he apparently only got a cat in the bag.

New Poll: Shows Netanyahu Will Lead Next Gov’t with Haredim

Monday, December 22nd, 2014

A new pre-election poll issued on Monday leaves no option for the next government other than one headed by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu with the help of Haredi parties.

Here is the lineup according to the “Panels” poll conducted the Knesset Channel :

Labor-Livni – 23

Likud – 21

Jewish Home – 16

Yesh Atid (Yair Lapid) – 11

Kulanu (Moshe Kahlon) – 9

Yisrael Beitenu – 7

Meretz – 7

Arab parties – 10

Yehadut HaTorah (Haredi) 7

Shas – 5

Eli Yishai – 4

The Labor party, headed by Yitzchak Herzog with his new sidekick Tzipi Livni, cannot form a majority the Haredi parties, which won’t happen unless it can convince two of four parties – Yair Lapid ,Yisrael Beiteinu’s Avigdor Lieberman and Meretz – to agree, which as likely as snow in July.

The center-right ring camp has less of a problem with the Haredi parties.

Adding up Likud, Jewish Home, Yisrael Beiteinu and Kahlon comes up with the non-magical number of 55, six less than the majority that is needed to form the government.

The three Haredi parties are in the driver’s seat for the time being, and if the results in March will be similar to those of today, they will dictate the terms of the next coalition.

If that happens, Lapid and Livni will rue the day they worked against the coalition of which they were a part.

The polls are not meaningless and actually are a factor in how people will vote. If voters see that the next government will be under the thumb of Haredi partiers, they might start shifting their votes.

Supporters of Yesh Atid and Labor-Livni might shift a bit to Kahlon, possibly enough to give Netanyahu a majority of 61 without the Haredi parties.

Herzog, Livni and Lapid have a problem because there is not much they can take from other parties.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/new-poll-shows-netanyahu-will-lead-next-govt-with-haredim/2014/12/22/

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