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September 5, 2015 / 21 Elul, 5775
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘Yisrael Beitenu’

Settler ‘Founding Fathers’ Supports Likud Beytenu (Video)

Sunday, January 20th, 2013

As Israel enters the final days before the elections on Tuesday, several leading officials in Likud-Beytenu have voiced concern over the split in votes on the Right between Likud-Beytenu and the Bayit Yehudi’s party.  Last week, Likud MK Ze’ev Elkin said, “If we don’t reach around 40 seats and there’s no big gap between us and the left, the President is likely to choose Yechimovich.”

Indeed there is historical precedent for such concerns. In 1999 and 1992, the Right lost out to the left-wing governments of Barak and Rabin respectively.  They lost because the Right was splintered by parties who detracted from the Likud.

The results were the Oslo and Camp David accords in which Israel offered everything for peace and in return, on both occasions, was rewarded with waves of Palestinian terrorism and the murder of innocent Israelis.

Adding their voices to this concern are two of the key heads of the Settler movement.  Zvi Hendel in fact, one of the founders of the Gush Katif, and evacuated from his home during the Disengagement has said that the only way to secure the Land of Israel is with a strong Likud-Beytenu.

Moreover, Danny Dayan, the outgoing head of the Yesha Council has said that he was a key engineer of the efforts which brought down Shamir’s government in 1992.  He says in a video posted online that this led to the Left taking power.

Poll: Likud Shooting Back Up, Livni Sinking

Thursday, January 17th, 2013

It was bound to happen: Traditional Likud-Beitenu voters have been shopping around for better options, such as Jewish Home, not because they don’t identify with the Likud’s platform, but because they fear that Prime Minister Netanyahu might turn his back on the same platform, as he has been known to do. That mistrust was only enhanced by the fact that Netanyahu’s partner, Avigdor Liberman, is also not particularly committed to the vision of a greater Israel and the rejection of a Palestinian state. (Liberman’s legal woes couldn’t have helped, either).

But in the end, as the threats of a resurgence of the left-wing parties was becoming a reality, and the possibility of a left-led coalition government was being bandied about, many Likud-Beitenu are coming back to the mother ship. Much like American voters being forced to vote for the lesser of evils, rather than for a “shining city on the hill” candidate, the majority of right-wing Israelis will dig up a laundry clip to affix to their noses, and vote Likud-Beitenu.

Or so it turns out from the poll conducted for the news and public affairs radio channel Reshet Bet by Maagar Mochot (The name literally means “a collection of brains” and can be loosely translated as “think tank”), with a sample of 706 likely voters, with a 4.5% margin of error.

This margin of error translates into more than 5 Knesset seats, which could mean that parties that did not cross the two-seat blocking percentage will make it, while others that appear here to have squeezed through will end up outside. So this poll, like every poll, is but a snapshot of voter sentiment today – except that the closer we get to next Tuesday, Election Day, the more these numbers will start getting nailed in place.

So, with all of that in mind, here are the numbers:

Likud-Beitenu – 37

Labor – 16

Jewish Home – 13

Shas – 11

Yair Lapid – 9

Torah Judaism – 6

Meretz – 6

Tzipi Livni – 5

Kadima – 3

Power for Israel – 3

3 Arab lists – 10

Rabbi Amsalem – 1 (fails the blocking percentage)

These numbers confirm that the left wing Jewish parties are on their way out, amounting to a mere 39 seats, or 32.5% of the overall population. The Arabs, with 10 seats, or just over 8% of the population. That makes right wing and Haredi parties a seemingly insurmountable, 71-seat block, accounting for better than 59% of the overall population, and a staggering 65%, give or take, of the Jewish adult population.

It is safe to say that Israel has never been more right wing or more religious in its history, and such percentages would take more than a generation to reverse.

So, Bibi will be the next prime minister, and from these figures he should be able to cobble together a solid right-wing coalition in half and hour, even without having to invite the “bad boys” of Israel’s right wing politics from Power for Israel, Aryeh Eldad and Michael Ben Ari.

The only winner from this severe drop in the power of the left is Meretz, which, unlike the rest of the Jewish leftist parties has never denied its leftist identity. And it paid off: as soon as left wing voters realized the right will stay in charge next Tuesday, they abandoned Labor, Livni and Lapid, who have been denying their leftist agenda, describing themselves as “centrist” – in favor of a truly leftist party.

Sadly, his renewed strength (although Likud-Beitenu is still going to receive fewer seats than its current 42) would also enable Bibi to avoid Bennett and Jewish Home, partnering instead with Shas, Torah Judaism and Yair Lapid.

And the fact that Yair Lapid is the Haredi-hater’s Haredi hater should not keep everybody involved from living long and prospering together. Because, in the end, politics is about jobs and money. Ideology is merely the way you get them…

Permission to Attack: The Likud-Beitenu’s Ad Last Night

Thursday, January 10th, 2013

Television in Israel last night saw another round of election ads. Tuesday night’s advertisement by Likud-Bietenu was positive, highlighting the achievements of the government over the last four years. Wednesday night’s, however, attacked the members of the Jewish Home’s candidate list.

Here’s the video, followed by the English translation:

In English:

“Who is really hiding behind Bennett’s smiles?

“Rabbi Eli Ben Dahan number four on the Jewish Home’s list called for the removal of the committee on the status of women.

“Orit Struck, number ten, who called to levy a legal ‘price tag’ from IDF commanders and the police.

“Moti Yogev, number nine, that led the separation of boys and girls in Bnei Akiva.

“Harav Dov Lior, the spiritual leader, who said Baruch Goldstein is holy like the holy ones (victims) of the Holocaust.

“Harav Zalman Melamed who called on soldiers to refuse an order.

“This is the real Jewish Home (party). Before you vote, check whom you are voting for.”

The last time Likud-Beitenu attacked Bennett on his “refusing orders” statement (which he recanted later) and then on the same issue of the other members of the Jewish Home, many people were upset that the Likud was attacking the Jewish Home. “Why aren’t they attacking the left uniting the nationalist camp?” they complained. The notion that one cannot attack a party or politicians who agree with you on ideological issues is absurd.  For month’s Bennett has been attacking the Likud and many members of his list have been doing so publicly for years. (Ayellet Shaked of course was a Likud member until six months ago and based on her appearance in the My Likud magazine probably intended to run in the primaries, so she has not previously attacked the Likud). To say that the Likud can’t criticize Jewish Home in kind is to say that the Likud must standby as the Jewish Home takes its voters.

As for unity of the nationalist camp, if the Jewish Home or Bennett wanted a united nationalist camp they wouldn’t have a separate party. Half the point of political parties is for people to collectively campaign for public support. The nature of campaigning in a democracy is you are either with a party or you are against it. There are many of us in the nationalist camp who have chosen the path of national unity by joining the Likud even though we disagree with certain policies or statements by a Likud Prime Minister. Like Menachem Begin, we believe in a big-tent nationalist movement that can ensure Israel stays on a path towards success and security for generations to come. Of course it takes work and vigilance to ensure that the movement stays on that path, but the election of the MKs on the Likud’s list, the vast majority of whom publicly oppose Palestinian statehood, proves that such work pays off.

If Bennett and others wanted national unity they would have either joined the Likud or they would have at least offered to merge lists prior to the election. If that were the case, they would preserve their right to leave or vote against the government as a group, but leading up to the election the Right would have a united front. They probably could have gotten between 7-10 seats in a united nationalist list for that. But that was not their goal, instead they sought to go after the maximum seats possible, by taking voters from Likud and Yisrael Beitenu.

But the inquiry into whether an attack is fair or not does not stop there. It is fair, and perhaps even obligatory for a public figure to be attacked on something that was negative true. A party or a politician has the right to show why he is / they are better for public office than a competitor. And, the public has a right to know about troubling things candidates have said and done.

There are, however, limits on what constitutes a fair attack. An attack should not, for instance, be misleading. A quote should not be taken out of context to the extent that someone reading or hearing the quote believes the candidate meant something that he did not.

Weekly Poll Average: Right Leading with 67.5 Seats

Sunday, December 16th, 2012

The right of center parties continue to maintain their lead, albeit by a slightly smaller margin in eight polls released December 9-15 (from Haaretz, Walla, Yisrael Hayom, Reshet Bet, Knesset Channel, Maariv, Yediot Achronot, Jerusalem/Yisrael Post).

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], with the previous week’s average in (brackets):

37.3 (37.7) [42] Likud Beitenu
18.2 (19.7) [08] Labor
11.3 (11.3) [05] Jewish Home-National Union
10.8 (10.5) [10] Shas
9.1 (8.2) [07] Movement (Livni)
8.7 (7.3) [–] Yesh Atid
5.8 (5.7) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
4.1 (3.6) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
4.0 (3.6) [03] Meretz
3.8 (3.5) [04] Hadash
3.1 (3.0) [03] Balad
1.1 (2.2) [01] Am Shalem
1.1 (1.6) [28] Kadima
0.7 (1.6) [02] Strong Israel
— (0.0) [05] Independence (No longer running)
HaYisraelim (2 seats in one poll)

67.5 (69.2) [65] Right
52.4 (50.7) [55] Left

Notable changes over the last two weeks: Ra’am-Ta’al passes Meretz for 8th place. Kadima passes Strong Israel for 13th place.

Largest Gains: Yesh Atid gained 1.4 seats and Movement gained 0.9.
Biggest Losses:
Labor lost 1.5 seats and Am Shalem lost 1.1.

Note: These polls were taken prior to Yisrael Beitenu Chairman Avigdor Leiberman’s indictment and resignation as Foreign Minister.

Visit KnessetJeremy.com.

Weekly Israeli Poll Avg: Likud on Top with 28 Seats

Monday, October 22nd, 2012

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #2 (week of Oct 14-20) of 4 polls (Walla, Arutz Sheva, Haaretz and Globes):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 1 average in (brackets)

28 (29) [27] Likud
19.7 (19.6) [08] Labor
13.2 (14.1) [15] Yisrael Beitenu
12.7 (13.3) [—] Yesh Atid
10.5 (10.3) [11] Shas
06 (5.3) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 (5.8) [28] Kadima
04.5 (4.1) [03] Jewish Home
04 (3.8) [04] Hadash
04 (3.5) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 (3.8) [03] Meretz
03.5 (3.1) [04] National Union
03 (3.1) [03] Balad
0.7 (0.6) [05] Independence

66 (66.1) [65] Right
54 (53.8) [55] Center-Left

Visit KnessetJeremy.com.

The Exile is Officially Over

Wednesday, September 5th, 2012

(((CLICK BELOW TO HEAR AUDIO)))

Yishai and Malkah kick off by discussing Yishai’s visit to the annual Yisrael Beiteinu meeting in Jerusalem and how he decided to take public transportation in order to avoid the ever-rising gas prices in Israel.  Yishai talks about his day spent in Jerusalem and how he had gained insight by going to an event for Chai Elul, the 18th day of the month of Elul, hosted at a known Shul in Jerusaelm.  They move on and end the segment by talking about how Jewish exile is rapidly ending with the last remaining Synagogue in Egypt canceling High Holiday services for “security reasons”.

Yishai Fleisher on Twitter: @YishaiFleisher
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Battle of the Polls and Hallway Chatter

Monday, March 12th, 2012

When two separate polls show different results, it usually produces interesting hallway chatter in the Knesset because in here, everyone is an analyst.

One argument that occurred was about how a Maariv poll could give the nationalist camp 62 seats when a Haaretz poll gave the nationalist camp between 72 and 74 seats. When the polls’ margins of error don’t explain the difference it usually leads to charges of vote tampering.

This time that argument came from Opposition Leader Tzipi Livni’s camp, which argued that there was no way a Haaretz poll could show that a Kadima led by Mofaz would capture more seats (12) than Livni (10), pointing to the Maariv poll where Livni (16) leads Mofaz (14). Mofaz’s camp argued that the Livni campaign must be in trouble if they are campaigning against Haaretz polls.

One thing is for certain: there will be more polls before the March 27th Kadima primary vote, and we will surely see who is right on March 28th.

The telephone poll below was carried out on March 4-6, 2012, for Maariv by Teleseker of a representative sample of 550 Israelis. Results were first published on NRG (Maariv’s website) on March 9, 2012.

Poll #1

If elections were held today who would you vote for?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [27] Likud 14 [15] Yisrael Beitenu 18 [08] Labor 14 [28] Kadima led by Mofaz 21 [23] Shas, Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ, National Union and Jewish Home 26 [19] Yair Lapid Party, Independence, Meretz, Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad

Poll #2

27 [27] Likud 14 [15] Yisrael Beitenu 17 [08] Labor 16 [28] Kadima led by Livni 21 [23] Shas, Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ, National Union and Jewish Home 25 [19] Yair Lapid Party, Independence, Meretz, Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad

The telephone poll carried out on March 4-5, 2012, for Haaretz by Dialogue of a representative sample of 497 Israelis, had a statistical error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Partial results were published in Haaretz on March 8, 2012, and the rest were published the next day. The big winner is the nationalist camp, which scores between 71 and 74 seats. The big loser is Livni, who had a poor showing only a few weeks before her primary.

Poll #1

If elections were held today who would you vote for?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [27] Likud 15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu 14 [08] Labor 12 [28] Kadima led by Mofaz 09 [11] Shas 08 [—] Yair Lapid Party 07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ 05 [07] National Union and Jewish Home 05 [03] Meretz 05 [04] Hadash 05 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad 00 [05] Independence

Poll #2

37 [27] Likud
16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
14 [08] Labor
10 [28] Kadima led by Livni
09 [11] Shas
07 [—] Yair Lapid Party
07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] National Union and Jewish Home
05 [03] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
05 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad
00 [05] Independence

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/knesset/knesset-corner/battle-of-the-polls-and-hallway-chatter/2012/03/12/

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