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{Originally posted on The Ettinger Report}

“The demographic issue has become a source of profound controversy in Israel. Many see the demographic processes as a threat to the future of Israel as a state that is both Jewish and democratic, thereby necessitating rapid disengagement from the Palestinians, whether by means of a negotiated settlement or unilateral steps. Others dispute the need for panic, pointing instead to data indicating much more moderate trends: the Jewish majority will continue and even grow, both in the State of Israel proper and in the whole of the western land of Israel, certainly if the Gaza Strip is excluded….

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“…In 2013 the Institute for Zionist Strategies published an updated, comprehensive study…. The most significant differences [from the “demographers of doom”] indicate that the number of Palestinians in the PA is lower by 0.7-1.3 million than the number presented by the more alarmist approach and the data of the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics. Moreover, the data shows a Jewish majority in all of [the area west of the Jordan River] today and a more significant majority in the coming two decades, especially if the Gaza Strip is excluded from the equation.

“This study contends that despite the forecasts of a demographic disaster, the Jewish population of the land of Israel has grown significantly over the last 120 years. According to the report, in 2012 the population in western Israel reached 10,755,000 (differing from Prof.  DellaPergola’s 12 million), which included a greater Jewish population of 6,332,900 (i.e., those who are eligible for Israeli citizenship according to the Law of Return though not necessarily Jewish according to religious law, or individuals unaffiliated religiously who nonetheless align themselves with the Jewish people); 4,109,000 Muslims (2,726,000 in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank); 181,000 Christians (52,000 in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank); and some 132,000 Druze. The rate of the expanded Jewish population is 59.14 percent of the total population of the western land of Israel [and a 66% Jewish majority in the combined area of Judea, Samaria pre-1967 Israel]….

“The study indicates a decreasing trend in the annual growth of the Arab population and a much more drastic decrease starting in 2030. It attributes the decrease in Arab annual growth and rates of reproduction to improved educational levels, the expansion of urbanization and modernization trends, the emigration of Arab youth abroad, and the aging of the Arab populations, leading to an increase of death rates. In fact, the continuation of the trend, alongside the increasing natural growth rate of the Jews in Israel, leads to equal rates of natural growth of Arabs and Jews….

Similar assessments may be found in the work of Yoram Ettinger and Guy Bechor, who speak about erroneous demographic notions. According to Ettinger, the inflation of the number of Palestinians living in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip is a Palestinian reaction to waves of Jewish immigration to Israel meant to scare the Jewish population and Israel’s leadership; [according to the first Head of the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics] it is ‘a civil intifada.’ Ettinger also speaks of false demographic projections. In 1967, for example, the demographic establishment called on Prime Minister Levi Eshkol to withdraw from Judea and Samaria lest the Jews become a minority by 1987. In August 1988, Arnon Soffer warned of an Arab majority by 2008. Soffer and DellaPergola had ruled out further significant waves of Jewish immigration, but nonetheless more than one million immigrants arrived from the Commonwealth of Independent States. Ettinger sums it up as follows: ‘The claim that the Jews are doomed to become a minority west of the Jordan River and that geography must be conceded in order to save demography is either phenomenally mistaken or scandalously misleading.’

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Ambassador (ret.) Yoram Ettinger is consultant to Israel’s Cabinet members and Israeli legislators, and lecturer in the U.S., Canada and Israel on Israel’s unique contributions to American interests, the foundations of U.S.-Israel relations, the Iranian threat, and Jewish-Arab issues.

7 COMMENTS

  1. " And I will make of thee a great nation, and I will bless thee, and make thy name great; and thou shalt be a blessing:"

    And what we see now is only the beginning! Wait until "in thee shall all the families of the earth be blessed." That will really be something to behold!

  2. ISRAEL
    GOD BLESSES JACOB:
    GENESIS 35:9-15; 9; When Jacob returned from Paddan Aram, God appeared to him again and blessed him.10; God said to him, ”Your name is Jacob, but from now on it will be Israel.” So God named him Israel.11; And God said to him, ”I am Almighty God. Have many Children. Nations will be descended from you, and you will be the ancestor of kings. 12; I will give you the land which I gave to Abraham and to Isaac, and I will also give it to your descendants after you.13; Then God left him.14; There, where God had spoken to him, Jacob set up a memorial stone and consecrated it by pouring wine and olive oil on it. 15; He named the place Bethel.

    GNB 1994 EDITION…

    ISRAELITES
    NUMBERS 6:22-27;22; The Lord said to Moses,23; Tell Aaron and his sons, ‘This is how you are to bless the Israelites. Say to them:24; The Lord bless you and keep you;25; the Lord make his face shine upon you and be gracious to you;26; the Lord turn his face towards youand give you peace. 27; So they will put my name on the Israelites, and I will bless them.
    NIV BIBLE EDITION…

    JERUSALEM:
    HEAVY STONE:
    ZECHARIAH 12:1-3; 1; This is a message about Israel from the Lord, the Lord who spread out the skies, created the earth, and gave life to man. He says, 2; I will make Jerusalem like a cup of wine; the nations around her will drinkand stagger like drunken men. And when they besiege Jerusalem, the citiesof the rest of Judah will also be besieged. 3; But when that time comes, I will makeJerusalem like a heavy stone any nationthat tries to lift it will be hurt. All the nations of the world will join forces to attack her.
    GNB 1994 EDITION…

  3. “2 State Solution” was the brainchild of Western neo-colonialists who wanted to pit Arabs against Jews in order to eventually recolonize the Middle East. Involving greedy western powers in diplomacy and negotiations regarding Israel has been catastrophic for the Jews, still beset by wave after wave of rocket attacks and terrorism. It also has not helped any Arabs except the top Hamas and PA leadership.

  4. “2 State Solution” was the brainchild of Western neo-colonialists who wanted to pit Arabs against Jews in order to eventually recolonize the Middle East. Involving greedy western powers in diplomacy and negotiations regarding Israel has been catastrophic for the Jews, still beset by wave after wave of rocket attacks and terrorism. It also has not helped any Arabs except the top Hamas and PA leadership.

  5. There is a great wave of global media quoting the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics and ignoring or dismissing the information in this article. They do the same exact thing with regard to twisting authentic history and archeology in order to undermine the Jewish position.

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