Photo Credit: U.S. Army photo by Sgt. Russell Gilchrest

In Iraq, a major plus for achieving a stable regime was the common interest of Shias—though they quarreled endlessly among themselves—in sticking together to keep the Sunnis from massacring them and reclaiming power. The Kurds, while claiming autonomy, were also a stabilizing force. No such powerful political glue exists in Libya.

Second, the regime is very badly infiltrated—far more than Iraq or Afghanistan—by revolutionary Islamist elements. Extremists did a lot of the fighting against Qadhafi and picked up a lot of arms. One of the most popular and important army commanders is the former head of the Libyan al-Qaida affiliate. Anything that the U.S. government tells its Libyan counterparts—where the ambassador or embassy staff is located, for example—will quickly be passed on to the terrorists.

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Of course there are many Libyans, probably a majority, who don’t want a radical Sharia state. Some of them attacked the headquarters of an Islamist militia they blamed for killing the Americans and forced out the radicals. “I am sorry, America,” one man said. “This is the real Libya.” But like those who are more moderate in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq such people have a real fight on their hands and they are not necessarily the better organized, better-armed side.

All of this is a nightmare. The United States is only at the start of a nasty conflict in Libya which is going to be very anti-American. It is shocking that there is so little recognition of that fact and an apparently sincere belief that all the problems there are due to a You-Tube video. Having a big problem is bad enough; refusing to recognize that one has a bad problem is potentially fatal.

Note: Remember the old argument that the Arab-Israel or Israel-Palestinian conflict was the centerpiece of the region; all the Arabs cared about, and what they judged the West by? Now there are a dozen other issues more important to the extent that this cannot even be hidden by the Western mass media and “experts.”

Originally published at Rubin Reports

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6 COMMENTS

  1. "Obama occupied Libya".

    This is of course completely untrue. Brave Libyans finally coudn't take Ghadafi any more and they overthrew him by force, losing a lot of people in the process. France, the UK and the US helped the patriots. A free and fair election was held and a pro-American government won the election.

    The US should do everything possible to help the Libyan people and its new government. There are few enough democracies in the region and we must support them.

  2. Bet these incidents has been strategically thought-out by perpetrators. This analysis is close to reality, judgments credible. If one is not familiar to a Muslim’s general ethos of psych, he may doubt the remarks herein. Be aware that democratic-mindedness will fail to alleviate the threats of religious cult fanatics. Appeasing cold-blooded zealots is much the same way as offering them a blank check to annihilate you. Israel’s anguish is misunderstood from powers who scarcely empathize the trauma Israel had and is putting up with from genocidal maniacs. The world community is apparently cleaving more together at the expense of Israel’s leverage to sovereign will and claim for human justice. Every other nations’ import and significance shall dim and dissolve. The world community will goad, dictate every nation till it culminates into a single authoritarian rule. Watch Folks. If you believe and know how to pray, then pray.

  3. Bet these incidents has been strategically thought-out by perpetrators. This analysis is close to reality, judgments credible. If one is not familiar to a Muslim’s general ethos of psych, he may doubt the remarks herein. Be aware that democratic-mindedness will fail to alleviate the threats of religious cult fanatics. Appeasing cold-blooded zealots is much the same way as offering them a blank check to annihilate you. Israel’s anguish is misunderstood from powers who scarcely empathize the trauma Israel had and is putting up with from genocidal maniacs. The world community is apparently cleaving more together at the expense of Israel’s leverage to sovereign will and claim for human justice. Every other nations’ import and significance shall dim and dissolve. The world community will goad, dictate every nation till it culminates into a single authoritarian rule. Watch Folks. If you believe and know how to pray, then pray.

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