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March 1, 2015 / 10 Adar , 5775
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘polls’

Latest Election Poll

Friday, February 20th, 2015

A Walla poll from Friday had the following results:

Likud (Netanyahu): 24

Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 23

Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 13

The Joint (Arab) List: 12

Yesh Atid (Lapid): 12

Kulanu (Kachlon): 8

Shas (Deri): 7

UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 7

Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman): 6

Meretz (Gal-On): 4

Yachad (Eli Yishai): 4

LEFT: Labor (23) + Arab List (12) + Yesh Atid (12) + Meretz (4) = 51

RIGHT: Likud (24) + Bayit Yehudi (13) + Kulanu (8) + UTJ (7) + Shas (7) + Yisrael Beytenu (6) + Yachad (4) = 69

New Poll Keeps Rightwing Block in Lead

Saturday, February 14th, 2015

A Reshet Bet/Kol Yisrael poll from Friday had the following results:

Likud (Netanyahu): 25

Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 24

The Joint (Arab) List: 13

Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 13

Yesh Atid (Lapid): 9

Shas (Deri): 8

UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 7

Kulanu (Kachlon): 7

Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman): 5

Meretz (Gal-On): 5

Yachad (Eli Yishai): 4

LEFT: Labor (24) + Arab List (13) + Yesh Atid (9) + Meretz (5) = 51

RIGHT: Likud (25) + Bayit Yehudi (13) + Kulanu (7) + UTJ (7) + Shas (8) + Yisrael Beytenu (5) + Yachad (4) = 69

Shas and Kulanu could still veer left and recommend that Herzog be appointed the Prime Minister. Though Shas has said last week it will go with Netanyahu, while Kulanu keeps sending mixed messages.

Liberman Wants the Defense Ministry

Saturday, February 7th, 2015

Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman has big aspirations for himself in the next government, despite his currently poor showings in the polls.

Liberman told Channel 2′s “Meet the Press” that he will ask for the Defense Ministry in the next government, and he will get it.

Liberman said, “You can’t be a wimp in the Middle East.”

Economics Minister Naftali Bennett also wants to be the Defense Minister in the next government.

New Poll Shows All Parties Going Full Blast in Neutral

Thursday, January 29th, 2015

The oddest result of a month of polls is that there has been almost absolutely no change in the numbers.

The weekly Rafi Smith poll published Thursday night reveals that all parties are more or less stagnant and that national religious voters favoring the new Yachad party headed by Eli Yishai may be wasting their votes.

The new party has been on the edge of winning the minimum number of votes to enter the Knesset, but the Smith poll leaves Yachad under the radar. If polls in the next two weeks do not clearly show that the party has enough backing to win Knesset representation, voters are likely to abandon the sinking ship in favor of the Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home) party.

Labor-Livni, running under the banner of the “Zionist Camp” party, would win 25 seats in the Knesset if elections were held today, according  to the Smith survey. The number is unchanged from last week’s survey.

Similarly, the Likud party, headed by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, would win 24 seats, followed by Bayit Yehudi with 16, one more than last week.

Next in line are Yesh Atid, whose chairman is Yair Lapid, with nine seats, and Shas, headed by Aryeh Deri with eight Knesset Members. Both parties’ support is unchanged from last week.

Kulanu (All of Us) headed by Moshe Kahlon won enough backing for eight seats, one less than last week.

Yehadut HaTorah (United Torah Judaism), the Ashkenazi Haredi party, gained one seat and now has eight projected MKs. Both Meretz and Yisrael Beiteinu lost one seat and are down to five,

The joint Arab list of parties won 12 seats, one more than in the previous poll.

The changes of one seat up or down are relatively insignificant given the margin of error in surveys.

Pollsters insist there is a large bloc of undecided voters, but if that is the case, they appear to be decidedly undecided.

No matter how you spin the  numbers, the results still show that Labor-Livni, or the Zionist Camp if you prefer the official name, have no chance of forming a government.

One Jewish Press report last week suggested that the Arab parties are “natural partners” for a left-wing coalition and that even if they don’t join the coalition, they would give their support for it in critical votes. Arab parties never have agreed to be part of an Israeli government, and given the fact that several of the Arab MKs are blatantly pro-Palestinian Authority and openly against a Jewish State of Israel, they are not about to change the tradition.

However, it also is unlikely that Kulanu and Yesh Atid would accept demands of the Arab parties if push came to shove and Herzog and Livni were to propose a coalition needing support of Arab MKs.

No party has any momentum. The only likely changes in the strength of the left-wing or right-wing camp will come from lukewarm supporters of Kulanu and Yesh Lapid.

That leaves the undecided voters to make up their minds, and they have a little more than six weeks to do so.

Latest Election Polls

Thursday, January 22nd, 2015

Israel Channel 1 has released its weekend poll.

Likud pulls ahead in this poll. Eli Yishai continues to not pass the electoral threshold. Unbelievably, Shas is actually making a comeback.

Regardless of the minor variations, the fundamentals remain the same, and forming a coalition still remains dependent on the small parties who have refused to declare allegiance to either side.

Likud (Netanyahu): 26

Labor (Herzog / Livni): 24

Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 15

The Joint (Arab) List: 11

Shas (Deri): 9

Yesh Atid (Lapid): 8

UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 8

Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman): 7

Kulanu (Kachlon): 7

Meretz (Gal-On): 5

Weekend’s Election Poll Results

Friday, January 16th, 2015

The weekend’s election poll by Walla shows the following results:

Labor (Herzog/Livni): 26
Likud (Netanyahu): 24
Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 18
Arab Party: 11
Yesh Atid (Lapid): 8
Kulanu (Kachlon): 8
UTJ (Gafni/Litzman): 8
Shas (Deri): 8
Yisrael Beiteinu (Liberman): 5
Meretz (Gal-on): 5

Israeli Anti-Bibi Media turn Four Election Polls into one Lie

Friday, January 16th, 2015

Four pre-election polls published Thursday night and Friday morning show varying results, but two of them reveal that the popularity of Labor-Livni has grown by a solitary seat in the Knesset. Nevertheless, Israel’s establishment media are reporting the trivial news as if there is a rush of support for the left.

Polls are not  meaningless, but when a party registers one seat more or one less from week to week, it is virtually insignificant, numerically as well as statistically when taking into account the margin of error in small samples.

That has not stopped Israel Radio, known by the misnomer in English as the Voice of Israel, from promoting the results of this week’s poll as a victory for the “Zionist camp,” a label now claimed by everyone except for Neturei Karta.

Similarly,  three television polls show that the lead party is the “Zionist camp,” whose list of candidates likely to be elected includes those who want to turn over all of Judea and Samaria as well as half of Jerusalem to the Palestinian Authority, which has said that no Jew will be allowed to live there.

The same poll trumpeted by Israel radio also shows that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has a 4 percentage lead over Labor party leaders Yitzchak Herzog and Tzipi Livni when voters are faced with the question of who should be Prime Minister. However, Rafi Smith, who carried out the poll, said this is insignificant because of the margin of error, which apparently does not apply to results in favor of the left.

But that was the secondary headline.

The big news, according to Israel Radio, is that Herzog-Livni is now leading the Likud party by two seats instead of one.

The gap is 2, 4 and 1 in three polls on television channels 2, 10 and 1.

More significant is that Herzog-Livni still have no chance to form a coalition government without an ungodly collection of Meretz and Yisrael Beiteinu or Yisrael Beiteinu and Haredi parties.

After adding up all the numbers, the picture has not changed from last week or even last month: There are two camps: the anti-Netanyahu parties of Labor-Livni, Meretz and Yesh Atid, headed by Yair Lapid; and the pro-Netanyahu camp of the Likud and the Jewish Home, which according to all polls is holding stable with 16-17 mandates.

The most significant changes in the numbers relate to Yisrael Beiteinu, which has been in a clear trend of a decline in the past month. The four polls give the party 5, 6 and 7 seats, far less than when the current Knesset was dissolved.

After taking into account small differences in poll results for the other parties, Kulanu, headed by Moshe Kahlon, Yesh Atid, Meretz and Shas are not moving up or down significantly.

Eli Yishai, who split from Shas and formed his own party, still is on the borderline of being shut out of the Knesset.

There are other very significant indications: If Labor-Livni picks up any more seats, it will be at the expense of Meretz or Yesh Atid, and vice-versa. If Kulanu attracts more voters, they likely will move over from Yesh Atid, Yisrael Beiteinu and possibly the Likud.

There still are two months left before voters go to the polls, and Israel Radio and most of the television channels will try to convince voters that Herzog and Livni have the best chance to win.

If the combined party comes out on top, President Reuven Rivlin will have little choice but to give it the first crack at forming a government, which brings back to mind the elections five years ago.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/israeli-anti-bibi-media-turn-four-election-polls-into-one-lie/2015/01/16/

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