Foreign Minister and Israel Beytenu head Avigdor Liberman, speaking at a press conference before a party meeting, welcomed Kadima’s entrance into the coalition but stressed that the new government faces two major tests – finding a replacement for the Tal law and the impending evacuation of the Ulpana outpost.

“This is a coalition Israel needs,” Liberman said, but “these are the two most important tests, and I hope we’re wise enough to pass them.”

Referring to the Tal Law, which expires in August, he said that coalition chairman and Likud MK Ze’ev Elkin’s recent proposal was inadequate. “We will not accept it. We expect a serious proposal, and to be consulted about it. We will fight to make sure that the bill will be serious and comprehensive.”

In light of the High Court’s ruling on Monday that Ulpana must be evacuated and destroyed by July 1, he said: “I hope that we will quickly resolve the problem. The residents who have lived in Givat Ulpana for years are law-abiding citizens. This is not an illegal outpost. It is the state’s mistake, and it must take responsibility. There are ways to regulate the matter with legislation.”

Liberman supports the passage of a law that will circumvent the High Court’s ruling by legalizing Ulpana, especially in light of the fact that the state permitted Ulpana residents to build their homes and community.

Liberman also ridiculed Yair Lapid, who was preparing to shake up the political arena in the now-aborted early elections. “The chances of being elected president of the United States are much higher than the chances that his party will still exist in 2020. This is obviously a one-campaign party.”

http://rubinreports.blogspot.com/2012/05/one-leader-who-will-be-re-elected.html

Israel is apparently going to have elections this autumn and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will almost certainly win by a big margin. Understanding why explains a lot about the country that people think they know the most about but in fact comprehend the least.

According to polls, Netanyahu’s Likud party may go from 28 to 30 seats in the 120-member Knesset. That may not sound like a big percentage but with around 12 different parties likely to win seats that margin would be sufficient.

One key element in this equation is that the country is doing pretty well. True, it faces serious security problems but that’s the norm for Israel. Indeed, with no other trusted leader on the horizon, Netanyahu is the one most trusted to manage that dangerous situation.

True, too, there have been real social problems due largely to the gap between low salaries and high living costs that especially hurts younger people and provoked protests last year. That the protests have dissipated and Israel’s economy is doing better—including low unemployment, low inflation, and manageable state debt–than any other in the West, is partly due to the same economic problems that impose those social costs.

A third factor is the total fractionalization of the opposition. Indeed, one might speak of Netanyahu and the seven dwarfs. Aside from Kadima there are three other mid-sized parties that take votes from the same potential constituency and quarrel among themselves:

–Kadima, the main opposition party which is vaguely centrist, is so discredited by its former, failed leader Tzipi Livni that it will not be saved by its new head, the militarily competent but colorless Shaul Mofaz, from falling as far as losing 20 of its current 29 seats.

–Labor, which has reinvented itself as a social issues party and has an untested leader who is a radio personality, might come in a distant second.

–A new centrist party—named, perhaps in wishful thinking for itself—There is a Future—pushes the same secular centrism that has repeatedly produced one-election parties before.

–Israel Our Home, headed by Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, has a solid base among immigrants from the former Soviet Union but by that very fact—and given the fact that Lieberman is widely disliked and close to indictment—should hold but not expand its base.

It is ironic to think that the Obama Administration, whose ignorance of Israel and its politics cannot possibly be overestimated, thought it was going to bring down Netanyahu and replace him with a more pliable Livni. In fact, by its periodic bashing of Israel and ham-handed Middle East policy promoting Israel-hating Islamists, Obama unintentionally mobilized domestic support for Netanyahu.

Speaking about myths about Israel and Israeli politics here are some of the main ones:

–Netanyahu is no longer a “right-winger” in the way he was 15 years ago. He has moved into the center, a key factor explaining his success.

–Israelis do not believe they have a peace option at present, with the Palestinians uninterested in a deal, and Egypt, Iran, Turkey, the Gaza Strip, Lebanon, and Syria in an all-out hostile mode.

–There is no faith in U.S backing given the Obama Administration’s views and actions.

–Israeli are neither stupid—giving away everything, as the foreign right often seems to think—or evil, as the foreign left definitely does think.

After the Israeli Supreme Court struck down the Tal Law, which sought to encourage the inclusion -over time- of Haredim in military service, the court, for all intents and purposes, has required the state to draft some 60,000 Haredi youths this August, in addition to 7,000 yeshiva students who already serve in keeping with the expiring, old law.

Prime Minister Netanyahu this week told representatives of reservist activists, who are protesting as part of the “suckers’ encampment,” that the Tal Law will be replaced with “a more egalitarian and just law,” and that “the division of the burden must be changed. What has been is not what will be.”

The 2002 Tal Law, named after retired Supreme Court justice Tzvi Tal, must be extended every five years. Among other things, the law allowed full-time yeshiva students to delay their army service until age 23, at which time they could choose to study full time, enlist for a shorter military service, or volunteer for a year of national service.

“I know that there are many hitchhikers who voted to automatically extend the Tal Law. I am not one of them,” Netanyahu told the protesting reservists. “The Tal Law will be replaced by a more egalitarian and just law, and I will submit it.”

Netanyahu said the new law would include civilian national service for Arab citizens, who are not required to serve in the military.

Meanwhile, à la guerre comme à la guerre, opposition leader Shaul Mofaz, along with the head of the Labor and Meretz parties, have threatened to bring proposals for early elections before the Knesset in the coming days.

Likud coalition partner Yisrael Beytenu has also threatened to bring a request for early elections over amending the Tal Law, with party leader Avigdor Liberman saying that “Our obligation to the coalition is over.”

In preparation for the August deadline, and perhaps as a show of political muscle on the eve of an approaching early election, on May 9 Yisrael Beytenu will introduce the bill “IDF, National, or Civilian Service Law Proposal” in the Knesset, to regulate, once and for all, the enlistment of all Israelis into military, national or civilian service.

Submitted by MKs David Rotem, Moshe Matalon, Robert Ilatov, Anastassia Michaeli, Hamad Amar, Lia Shemtov, Faina Kirshenbaum, Alex Miller, and Orly Levy Abekasis, the new law sets out to promote “equal sharing of the burden of service among the State’s citizens.”

The new law introduces a framework in which every citizen will serve in the IDF, or in national or civilian service.

While “National Service” is already established as an alternative, voluntary option for Israeli youths who do not wish to serve in the IDF for a variety of reasons, the new law establishes compulsory “Civilian Service,” or community service, in “institutions for the absorption of new immigrants, health care, institutions for the elderly population, nursing homes, welfare departments in local authorities, fire services, the Israel Police Force, Environmental Protection and volunteer organizations.”

The new law will keep in place some of the existing deferrals of military service, such as the “Hesder Yeshivas,” which integrate periods of active IDF service and periods of study. Likewise, the Defense Minister may “exempt or grant a deferral from IDF service to outstanding students at universities, outstanding athletes and outstanding artists, provided that the number of exemptions and deferrals under this section not exceed one thousand per year.”

It is unclear what will be the basis for the quota of one thousand exemptions. The Jewish Press attempted to seek an explanation from the IB faction as to why this particular number but so far have not received a response.

But the number coincides with the other limit, of a maximum of one thousand exemptions and deferrals per year to long-term yeshiva students, “in order to continue the cultivation of prodigies among yeshiva students.”

And shortly afterwards, the new law arrives at the center piece of the matter – overturning of the Deferral Law for long-term yeshiva students. In one, laconic phrase, the proposal decrees:

“The Deferral of Service Act for Long-term Yeshiva students of 2002 (5762) is hereby overturned.”

The proposal concludes with an ideological substantiation of the above, curt statement:

“The idea that Torah study somehow forbids seeking employment or justifies deferring IDF service is incompatible with the Jewish faith. Maimonides explicitly states: “Anyone who decides that he will occupy himself with Torah and will not do any work profanes the Name of God, degrades the Torah, extinguishes the light of religion, hurts himself, and removes his life from the world to come – for it is forbidden to derive any benefit from matters of Torah in this world” (The Laws of Torah Study 3).

“Therefore, it is proposed that every citizen be obligated to serve the State of Israel. Anyone serving a complete term of civilian service, will be exempted from IDF service. Conditions and terms during and after the term of service will be comparable to the terms of those who served in the national service, whose terms are regulated by legislation.”

Five recent sold-out benefit comedy performances in Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Modiin, Beit Shemesh and Ra’anana featuring four well known American stand-up comedians provided a unique charitable venue for the Koby Mandell Foundation – the renowned terror victims outreach organization helmed by Rabbi Seth and Sherri Mandell. Their son Koby was stoned to death by Arab terrorists in May 2001.

“Comedy For Koby” was conceived by the comedy troupe Stand Up For Israel, the brainchild of Los Angeles-based comedian Avi Liberman. He is the son of former olim, forced to move back to the U.S. after a financial crisis hit the Jewish state in the aftermath of the Yom Kippur War.

“I created Stand Up For Israel when the second intifada broke out [nearly eight years ago] in Israel and the mood was so depressing back then that my friends stayed at home, rather than getting out of the house and laughing,” Liberman told The Jewish Press in an exclusive interview between performances.

Liberman, who attended college at SUNY-Binghamton in Upstate New York, moved to Los Angeles upon graduation to begin his comedy career. He has been featured both as an actor and comedian on a variety of TV sitcoms and talk shows. Liberman said that Stand Up For Israel is underwritten by wealthy, anonymous donors who believe in the organization’s morale-boosting efforts and charity. All proceeds go directly to those in need, including the Koby Mandell Foundation.

(L-R) Comedians Chris Spencer; Modi; Avi Liberman; and Mike Loftus in Jerusalem.

Stand Up For Israel is comprised of a variety of Jewish and non-Jewish American comedians who bring their unique stand-up skills to Israeli communities with substantial numbers of English-speaking residents.

Liberman said, “I don’t aim for Israeli audiences because of the comedic cultural differences and, of course, the language barrier. Almost all of the people who attend our performances are Americans.”

Liberman’s itinerary includes daily side trips to well-known tourism attractions, so the comedians get to explore, understand and even acquire a real “taste of Israel.” On this trip the two non-Jewish stand-up artists, Chris Spencer and Mike Loftus, had the audiences in stitches when they tried to understand Israel’s Wild West parking habits and the nuances of eating Schwarma (“looked like a torso on a spit”) with strange-looking vegetables (“the colors don’t match”).

Liberman added, “The word has gotten out in the comedy world that this (Stand Up For Israel) is a great gig. They know they’re not going to make great money from this, but they do it for the experience. I won’t settle for second-tier comedians either. I don’t want to sacrifice the quality of the show, and there are many comedians who really want to come. We’ve become a victim of being a hit.”

The comedians also share with the audience their preconceived notions about Israel, based on what they’ve seen and read in the American mass media. For Liberman, and fellow comedian Modi (also born into an Israeli family that moved to the U.S.), coming to entertain Anglos in Israel was a no-brainer. But for African-American comedian Chris Spencer and Midwest Irish-American Mike Loftus, feeling secure was an issue. As Liberman said, “Some are more worried than others. Many think that Israelis live in a ‘giant Gaza.’ So they’ll ask their colleagues who’ve been here what it was like.

“Once they come here, they see that it is totally not what they thought. Aside from raising money for good causes such as the Koby Mandell Foundation, my other goal is to make sure that the comedians enjoy themselves and become emissaries for Israel.”