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May 24, 2015 / 6 Sivan, 5775
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘p5+1’

Iran Contradicts US, Plans to Use Advanced Centrifuges Immediately

Wednesday, April 8th, 2015

Iran’s foreign minister Javad Zarif and nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi told a closed-door Iranian parliament session on Tuesday morning that as soon as the nuclear deal is in effect Iran will begin using the advanced IR-8 centrifuges, according to the Iranian FARS agency.

Iran would start by injecting UF6 gas into those latest generation centrifuges.

The US claims the P5+1 nuclear agreement with Iran requires that those centrifuges be put in storage and not used.

“The AEOI chief and the foreign minister presented hopeful remarks about nuclear technology R&D which, they said, have been agreed upon during the talks (with the six world powers), and informed that gas will be injected into IR8 (centrifuge machines) with the start of the (implementation of the) agreement,” member of the parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission Javad Karimi Qoddousi said following the closed-door session at the legislature today.

Iran also plans to release its own “fact sheet” detailing the Iranian narrative of the Lausanne negotiations.

Yesterday, President Obama said that the Iranians would have zero breakout time 13 years after the deal was signed. That statement assumed they don’t breach the agreement earlier, as they’ve just made clear they will.

Iran Warns US on Sanctions: ‘All or Nothing’

Sunday, April 5th, 2015

Iran has threatened to scuttle the Obama administration’s “key parameters” for a deal to cover its nuclear program and said Washington’s “fact sheet”  misrepresents last week’s agreement.

Sure enough, before the ink hardly has dried on the arrangement, agreement or key parameters – depending on your spin – Iran has warned that President Barack Obama must annul all sanctions.

The State Dept. Fact sheet states:

U.S. and E.U. nuclear-related sanctions will be suspended after the IAEA has verified that Iran has taken all of its key nuclear-related steps. If at any time Iran fails to fulfill its commitments, these sanctions will snap back into place.

The architecture of U.S. nuclear-related sanctions on Iran will be retained for much of the duration of the deal and allow for snap-back of sanctions in the event of significant non-performance.

U.S. sanctions on Iran for terrorism, human rights abuses, and ballistic missiles will remain in place under the deal.

As we have written here before, any agreement between the West and Iran or the Arab world simply is a basis for another argument.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani dismissed the “fact sheet” as fiction and stated on Sunday, “During the negotiations, we have always planned for the termination of the economic, financial and banking sanctions and we have never negotiated on their suspension, otherwise, no understanding would be made.”

State Dept. spokeswoman Marie Harf said Friday, “We expect for the anti-Iran sanctions suspension piece to happen generally within the first year, but again, if Iran takes these steps more quickly, then the suspension can come more quickly.”

Iran’s deputy lead negotiator Seyed Abbas Araqchi contradicted her and said, “This is a wrong impression about the Lausanne understanding [that] explicitly states that the sanctions will be annulled; all nuclear-related economic and financial sanctions will be removed in the first stage.”

Now that Iran has a temporary deal in hand, it is acting as if it has the upper hand. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry is desperate for some kind of achievement on paper than can mask his countless failures. A deal might even win him a Nobel Peace Prize and give President Obama’s justification for having prematurely received it in his first term of office, before he by his own admission had not done anything to earn it.

Foreign Minister Zarif warned on Sunday Iran can walk away from the deal just as easily as Obama can threaten to do so.

He told Iranian television:

Either side in this agreement can, in the case of the other side violating the agreement, cease its own steps.

As with Palestinian Authority “negotiations” with Israel, under the iron fist of the Obama administration, it already is clear that Iran already is negotiating in public to push Obama further against the wall.

The more he pushes, the more Congress might push back and ditch the deal.

Iran Deal: US and Allies are the Junior Varsity (Little League?)

Friday, April 3rd, 2015

They can’t even coordinate their public descriptions of what the deal entails, that’s how bad it is.

The sort of, kind of nuclear agreement between the P5+1 and Iran makes concrete the previous understanding that U.S. President Barack Obama has been dead wrong about almost every major terrorist threat he has encountered: Al Qaeda is not, as he intoned, “decimated”; ISIS is not a “junior varsity” terrorist network; and Iran is not a partner with whom the west can successfully negotiate.

It looks like the U.S. is the captain of the junior varsity team. And Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will not sugarcoat his assessment.

This “agreement” which is not a deal, is not even the framework of a deal, is, ultimately, an attempt by the Obama administration to rack up at least one foreign policy “achievement” during its tenure.

But that “achievement” confuses an end date to a series of discussions with the attainment of even the modest goals this administration claimed it would reach.

What follows are key details which have been released about the “agreement” reached between the U.S.-dominated allies known as the P5+1 (the junior varsity) and Iran, regarding the latter nation’s nuclear program.

A quick perusal makes clear the U.S. administration’s insistence that  diplomacy would safely ensure Iran would not become a threshold nuclear power was exactly what its critics claimed: a hollow gesture which rewarded Iran with its goal of more time to continue in pursuit of achieving that status. What’s more, the deal which the parties are currently hurtling towards will not only permit but will actually legitimize Iran in its achievement of that status.

CENTRIFUGES

Iran currently has 9,000 operational centrifuges (that is the generally accepted number). The U.S. claims that, under the terms of the new deal, about 3,000 fewer Iranian centrifuges will be operational during the next 10 years, while 5,060 centrifuges will continue enriching uranium during that period.

The U.S. also claims that Iran will not use “advanced” centrifuge models for 10 years, and any development will be in accordance with P5+1 oversight. The Iranians say nuts to that, and will continue doing research and development on advanced centrifuges during the duration of the 10 year period.

Fordow, the uranium enrichment plant built in an underground bunker, will be used for “peaceful purposes.” The U.S. claims that Iran will move two-thirds of its centrifuges out of this facility and will not enrich uranium there for at least 15 years.

In other words, even according to the U.S. version of the facts, and even were one to believe that Iran will strictly adhere to its obligations under this “pre-deal,” Iran gets to continue enriching uranium, thousands of centrifuges will continue spinning, and the underground bunker will have operational centrifuges during the term of the deal.

CURRENTLY ENRICHED URANIUM

The U.S. claims that Iran’s acurrently enriched uranium will be reduced. That is already a three-step default by the allies. Initially, all enriched uranium was to be destroyed. As the result of negotiations the Iranians had allegedly agreed to instead move its already enriched uranium to Russia, where it was to be converted for non-military use.

Instead, the U.S. is reduced to bragging about a mere “reduction” in Iran’s already enriched uranium. And we don’t know what is meant by “reduction” or “neutralization” – another term used in the U.S. fact sheet.

According to a former CIA analyst, “If Iran’s enriched-uranium stockpile remains in the country,” and if it is only converted to powder form, which the Obama administration had previously – erroneously – claimed meant it would be neutralized, “Iran will retain the capability to make about eight or more nuclear weapons in about three months.”  Maybe little league rather than junior varsity players more accurately describes Secretary of State John Kerry and his negotiating team.

Iran Toys with Obama and Vows ‘No Agreement Today’

Thursday, April 2nd, 2015

Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said Tehran declared Thursday “no agreement will be signed today and the six world powers are not due to sign any agreement today” despite P5+1 comments that a deal “is close but elusive.”

Zarif added there might be a joint statement by midnight “if everything goes well.”

Iran has made mincemeat of President Barack Obama’s threat to “walk away” from the negotiations if a framework agreement was night signed by midnight March 31. In the end, the president phoned U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and Secretary of Energy Earnest Moniz to tell them to hang in there if there were signs of progress.

Obama sounded tough in the American media, which said that the president told his representatives in Lausanne to tell Iran they indeed would “walk way” and leave sanctions in place, figuring that threat might make Iran a bit more flexible.

Iran is not that stupid not to figure that Obama would try to play games as Tehran is not twisting him around its little nuclear finger.

The truth was in a statement attributed to an official and reported by The York Times. He said:

They were turning our own deadline against us to see if we would give ground.

Perhaps one day, President Obama will give the orders to Kerry and Moniz to pack their bags and go home, and then maybe Iran will compromise. Or maybe it won’t.

In either case, Iran is making the West sweat it out and lose lots of political points back home, especially in Washington.

If Obama and the other nations in the P5+1 are giving Iran more time to put up or shut up, they won’t look so incredibly naïve if not ignorant, but Iran has a few points in its favor.

The talks have been extended for two days, and if Zarif’s statement of “no agreement” today comes true, the negotiations will drag on into Friday, if not longer.

You don’t have to read Zarif’s lips to understand his mind. He stated loud and clear Thursday:

We have always stated that there could be only ONE agreement which could go into effect at the end of the talks on July 1 if everything goes well.

The capital letters in the word “ONE” were published by the Iranian regime’s Fars News Agency.

Of course, he is playing games. There is nothing he would love more than a framework agreement that is so ambiguous that Iran can put Kerry and his Western partners through the wringer again in June, somewhere around a minute before midnight of a final agreement.

Zarif toyed with everyone with fantastic double talk:

[All issues] more or less resolved, but of course this does not mean that all issues that are to be touched in the final agreement have been specified. We are supposed to reach consensus and the delegations will start working on the text in the near future.

Things might grow difficult when drafting starts; now we believe that problems have almost been resolved.

After assuring everyone that progress is being made, he made out the West to be the real obstacle to a framework agreement, saying that “progress in talks depends on political will, and there has always been a problem with the political will of the opposite party.”

Iran also is playing to the hilt its advantage of conducting task with several delegations. Fars reported, “He [Zarif] said negotiations have become more complicated since several delegations are now meeting each other for bilateral and multilateral talks to discuss ‘their concerns, viewpoints and probably different approaches from both legal and political views.”

Russian Foreign Minister Leaves Lausanne

Monday, March 30th, 2015

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov is leaving the talks in Lausanne, Switzerland this afternoon and will return to Moscow but is ready to return if the P5+1 and Iran come to terms for a framework agreement.

Analysts are speculating that Foreign Minister Lavrov’s exit is a sign that no deal is imminent, but every opinion is up for grabs in what has become the center stage of an act that would put the world’s best novelist, Broadway producer or circus master to shame.

With all due respect to the experts who have at least a thousand words to say every time someone burps in Lausanne, only a master of evil can figure what is going in the mischievous and evil minds of Iran and Russia, one of the P5+1 powers and which has a vested interest in Iran’s nuclear development.

A Russian spokesman said that Lavrov “is ready to come back as soon as needed.”

However, his deputy will remain in Lausanne while U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and the foreign ministers of the other four Western powers face off against Iran towards tomorrow night’s deadline, which was set by President Barack Obama for a framework agreement on Tehran’s nuclear program.

After a one hour and 14 minute meeting this morning, new talks have been scheduled for 8:30 p.m., five hours later than previously planned.

Obama has said there will be no extension, but if Kerry and his colleagues see the possibility of a deal a day or two after the deadline, the president very likely would go back on his word.

Key issues dividing the two sides apparently are when sanctions would be removed and how much research and development Iran can continue.

 

 

 

 

Iran Reneges on Major Point: Will Obama Keep Begging Anyway?

Monday, March 30th, 2015

With just two days to go before a “framework” agreement must be reached between the P5+1 countries and Iran regarding the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, the Iranians suddenly issued a surprise punch to the solar plexus of the other parties.

Despite an already agreed upon commitment, Iran will not send out of the country the enriched uranium it has spent years and billions of dollars to create.

Iran had previously agreed to send its stockpile elsewhere – Russia was the agreed-upon destination – thereby preventing Iran from using the material it had already produced to create nuclear weapons.

This latest revelation came during the current round of talks between Iran and six major world powers – Britain, France, China, Russia, the United States and Germany – taking place at the Beau Rivage Palace Hotel in Lausanne, Switzerland.

The negotiators are working to hammer out a provisional framework deal by Tuesday night, which will be followed by a final agreement this summer.

But on Sunday, March 29, Iran’s deputy foreign minister Seyed Abbas Araqchi told the Iranian media: “There is no question of sending the stocks abroad,” Agence France-Presse reported.

Given Iran’s mercurial posturing throughout the negotiations and its latest brazen reneging on a critical aspect of the deal, critics of the U.S. administration’s diplomatic efforts, including Republicans in Congress as well as several sunni Arab nations in the Middle East and also Israel, are sure to become even more vociferously opposed to the signing of any deal.

If Iran is permitted to retain its already enriched uranium, it becomes much harder to state with confidence that it is not intending to continue its march towards nuclear weaponization.

Over the weekend, U.S. Speaker of the House John Boehner told CNN that he is even less confident about Iran’s willingness to abide by any deal it reaches pertaining to its nuclear program.

“We have got a regime that’s never quite kept their word about anything,” he said. “I just don’t understand why we would sign an agreement with a group of people who, in my opinion, have no intention of keeping their word.”

For its part, Iran is upping its own demands from the rest of the world.

Iran demands that all sanctions and UN resolutions imposing crippling restrictions against Tehran be scrapped as part of its nuclear deal with major world powers, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said.

“It is time for P5+1 to make tough decisions and to lift all sanctions,” Araqchi told journalists at the Lausanne talks.

“All six UN resolutions should be lifted,” he added.

Iran Forces Kerry to Cancel Trip to US and Remain for More Talks

Sunday, March 29th, 2015

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry has canceled a scheduled trip to the United States thanks to Iran’s unsurprising resistance to sign an agreement on its nuclear program three days before a deadline imposed by the Obama administration.

As reported here last night, the headlines about an “imminent” agreement are more of an expression by naïve Western leaders and analysts than they are a reflection of reality.

Kerry was planning to fly Sunday to an event honoring the late Sen. Edward Kennedy.

Instead, he will be hold more talks with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif after having going through eight rounds of conversations in four days.

Associated Press journalist Mat Lee tweeted Sunday morning:

Big news from #Iran talks:

Q: How’s it going?

Kerry: It’s going all right. We’re working.

Q: Think we’ll get there?

Kerry: I don’t know.

Kerry and Zarif’s meeting Sunday lasted for 75 minutes.

Anyone betting on an agreement a day before the March 31 deadline should take heavy odds and be prepared to lose.

As for March 31, remember it is followed by April Fool’s Day.

 

 

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/iran-forces-kerry-to-cancel-trip-to-us-and-remain-for-more-talks/2015/03/29/

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