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February 28, 2015 / 9 Adar , 5775
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘poll’

Americans Split Over Palestinian Statehood, Gallup Poll Shows

Wednesday, February 25th, 2015

Americans are deeply conflicted over whether the United Nations should give birth to a new Arab country in the heart of Israel’s geographic borders, and call it “Palestine.”

The Gallup polling organization surveyed the U.S. population this month to determine how America feels about this issue. Pollsters conducted telephone interviews Feb. 8-11, 2015 with a random sample of 837 adults ages 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.

(The margin of sampling error was plus-minus four percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.)

The organization uncovered a conflict that splits the country almost right down the middle.

A majority of Americans still does not support the idea, however, even though they elected to vote passively: only 42 percent of those polled favored the establishment of an independent Palestinian state comprised of Judea, Samaria and Gaza, a drop from the 46 percent of one year ago, and a full 20 percent would not express an opinion at all.

Just 38 percent were opposed to the idea, however. The numbers grow higher the older the sample.

Older Americans aged 55 and up were opposed (43 percent) to the creation of an independent Palestinian state. Those younger (41 percent) were in favor – and 16 percent had no opinion.

Those with higher levels of education were more likely to favor PA statehood; however, 48 percent of Republicans opposed it, and just 33 percent of GOP members supported it. In the Democratic Party the majority supported PA statehood.

That last point in particular may have some bearing when it comes to U.S. national elections in 2016, and the run for the White House.

Overwhelming Majority of Americans View Fear a Nuclear Iran

Sunday, February 22nd, 2015

Seventy-seven percent of Americans view the development of nuclear weapons by Iran as a critical threat to the United States, according to a new Gallup poll.

An even larger number, 84 percent, responded that the Islamic State and international terrorism are critical threats.

And what about the Israeli-Palestinian Authority conflict?

It is down in sixth place, after military power of North Korea and Russia, with 49 percent viewing it a critical threat and 41 percent seeing it is an “important” threat. Next in line are the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the economic power of China.

Gallup concluded:

ISIS and international terrorism loom largest in Americans’ minds as critical threats to U.S. interests. In a winter that has seen acts of unspeakable terrorism, with Obama seeking authorization for military action against the Islamic State, Americans are clearly concerned about Islamic militants and terrorists.

The conflict in Ukraine may not worry Americans as much because they see it as more of a threat to Europe than to the U.S.

And that helps explain why President Barack Obama does not want Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu talking to Congress about the Iranian nuclear threat, even if there were not elections in Israel.

He would rather distract Americans and talk about the peace process, but no one really cares.

 

 

Latest Election Poll

Friday, February 20th, 2015

A Walla poll from Friday had the following results:

Likud (Netanyahu): 24

Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 23

Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 13

The Joint (Arab) List: 12

Yesh Atid (Lapid): 12

Kulanu (Kachlon): 8

Shas (Deri): 7

UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 7

Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman): 6

Meretz (Gal-On): 4

Yachad (Eli Yishai): 4

LEFT: Labor (23) + Arab List (12) + Yesh Atid (12) + Meretz (4) = 51

RIGHT: Likud (24) + Bayit Yehudi (13) + Kulanu (8) + UTJ (7) + Shas (7) + Yisrael Beytenu (6) + Yachad (4) = 69

New Poll Keeps Rightwing Block in Lead

Saturday, February 14th, 2015

A Reshet Bet/Kol Yisrael poll from Friday had the following results:

Likud (Netanyahu): 25

Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 24

The Joint (Arab) List: 13

Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 13

Yesh Atid (Lapid): 9

Shas (Deri): 8

UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 7

Kulanu (Kachlon): 7

Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman): 5

Meretz (Gal-On): 5

Yachad (Eli Yishai): 4

LEFT: Labor (24) + Arab List (13) + Yesh Atid (9) + Meretz (5) = 51

RIGHT: Likud (25) + Bayit Yehudi (13) + Kulanu (7) + UTJ (7) + Shas (8) + Yisrael Beytenu (5) + Yachad (4) = 69

Shas and Kulanu could still veer left and recommend that Herzog be appointed the Prime Minister. Though Shas has said last week it will go with Netanyahu, while Kulanu keeps sending mixed messages.

Israeli Elections 2015, 5775, Predictions #2

Tuesday, February 10th, 2015

First of all, for those who like following the election polls, I suggest that you keep checking Jeremy’s site.

The trend seems pretty clear in all but one of the polls; the Likud is slowly pulling ahead of the oxymoron party (aka Zionist Movement) led by Isaac Herzog and Tsipi Livni.

  • Midgam/Yediot Poll: Zionist Union 25, Likud 24, Bayit Yehudi 12, United Arab List 12, Yesh Atid 11
  • Panels/Maariv/Jpost Poll: Likud 26, Zionist Union 22, Bayit Yehudi 13, United Arab List 12, Yesh Atid 11, UTJ 8
  • Teleseker/Walla Poll: Likud 26, Zionist Union 23, Bayit Yehudi 12, United Arab List 12, Yesh Atid 10, Koolanu 8
  • Maagar Mochot/Radio Poll: Likud 24, Zionist Union 24, Bayit Yehudi 14, United Arab List 12, Yesh Atid 11, Koolanu 8

Recent newscasts and the usual Leftist Israeli media have been bemoaning the failing or “non-existent” according to them, actual campaign of the Zionist Union-Labor and Tsipi. According to them, after the “swinging” announcement, much mocked by many, of the union of the veteran Labor Party and Tsipi Livni, born and raised in a noble Revisionist family, there hasn’t been much of a campaign.

One of the news shows I watched ended with the wish that maybe they, the news editors, were premature in their analysis. There was hope that future polls would show much better results for Labor-Livni.

Last week brought heralded the return of Latma, the totally fantastic satire by Caroline Glick, this time on the “big screen” of Chanel 1 TV.

It ended with a song about Tsipi and the hapless Herzog. She was the tough male figure of the pair, and he wore the wedding gown. She picked him up on her motorcycle, drove off very dangerously. They have an accident, and when the police come they point to each other as the guilty driver. And then before Herzog even realizes that he has been “had,” she’s off calling “Yair, Yair…” I agree with that as a suitable reaction of Tsipi’s the minute it’s clear that she has destroyed or seriously damaged Labor. And that’s why I call her the “political nymphomaniac.”

There’s a long time trend in the Israeli political scene which can’t be stopped, because it’s totally due to numbers. I’m talking demographics. Religious, traditional and of course chareidi families are larger than the secular ones. Official statistics also show the size of Arab families shrinking. I see that in my Arab customers, Yafiz, Sha’ar Binyamin.

For these 2015, 5775 elections, add to that the so far weak campaign from the Left, based on gimme! and ignoring security. They will have to work much, much harder if they want to win. Numbers are against them.

New Poll Bad News for the Left and Bayit Yehudi

Thursday, February 5th, 2015

A new poll published by the Israeli Walla! website Thursday shows that the left and center-left parties are losing support, as is the Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home) party.

If elections were held today, the Likud would win 26 seats in the Knesset, compared with 23 for the Herzog-Livni “Zionist Camp” duo, according to the poll.

The most significant changes from previous polls are weakening support for Meretz and Bayit Yehudi. The left-wing Meretz party will barely win representation, apparently losing voters to Herzog-Livni, a merger of Livni’s HaTnuah party and Labor (The Zionist Union), the poll reveals. Theirs candidates are more much more leftist than before, attracting Meretz supporters but apparently putting off supports who may have flocked to Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party and the new Kulanu party founded by Moshe Kahlon.

Bayit Yehudi, headed by Naftali Bennett, is losing ground. For the first time since the beginning of the campaign, the party has dropped to 12 Knesset seats, the same as in the outgoing Knesset but two to four less than in nearly all previous polls. This puts them as the same size as the Arab party, who could end up being the 3rd largest party in the Knesset.

That drop accounts for the increase in support for Likud.

The shifts in supports for Meretz and Bayit Yehudi do not change the left-right balance, but they leave the Likud in a better position.

The Walla! poll gives Yesh Atid 10 seats, one more than in most other previous polls. All other parties are more or less in the same position, except for Yisrael Beiteinu, which was granted seven seats, according to the poll. Previous surveys projected the party headed by Avigdor Lieberman would barely win enough support to enter the Knesset.

The new Yachad party headed by Eli Yishai continues to be on the edge of winning enough votes to enter the Knesset.

 

Likud Runs 3rd behind Herzog-Livni and Jewish Home in Poll of Students

Monday, January 19th, 2015

The Herzog-Livni party, billed as the “Zionist Camp,” and the Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home) party headed by Naftali Bennett would be the two largest parties in Israel if university and college students were voting, according to a poll published by Globes.

The Likud party came in a distant third place, winning only 16 of 120 Knesset seats in a poll of nearly 2,600 students.

The Herzog-Livni combo won 30 seats, and Bennett’s party was only four seats behind.

Bennett topped the list on the question of trust, while Herzog was favored when it comes to social issues, housing and future employment, which are of the utmost concern to students.

Herzog and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu were even-Stephen in the poll that asked who is best suited to be Prime Minister.

Political leaders should pay serious attention to the results because they show that those who soon will be in the forefront of society are tired of slogans, talk and lack of change in a social and political system that is overweight, tired and self-fulfilling.

The lists of candidates of the Jewish Home party and the in the merged Labor-Livni party, even if it is called the “Zionist Camp,” are clearly left-wing and right-wing.

The Likud, under Netanyahu, has tried so hard to be so centrist that it has no clear direction.

Israel’s establishment launched the election campaign by trying to convince the public that Labor-Livni is not leftwing but is a centrist party.

The Labor party primaries killed that hoax with the election of bona fide leftists, including one who wants to divide Jerusalem, to spots that guarantee them a seat in the next Knesset.

Similar, voters in the Jewish Home party made it look like a resurrection of the old National Religious Party, except for the spectacular victory of secularist Ayelet Shaked.

Bennett can make the list a bit more secular but even stronger as a right-wing faction if he exercises his option of choosing a candidate for a top spot and nominates Dani Dayan, a spokesman for Judea and Samaria but not religious.

 

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/likud-runs-3rd-behind-herzog-livni-and-jewish-home-in-poll-of-students/2015/01/19/

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