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October 26, 2016 / 24 Tishri, 5777

Posts Tagged ‘poll’

Shiloh Musings: U.S. Elections: Voting With One’s Head, The Kipa Poll! #1

Wednesday, August 24th, 2016

It has come to my attention that there’s a very creative kippa (the cute little beanie cap that many Jewish men wear for religious and Jewish identification reasons) company designing kippot for the 2016 American Presidential Elections.
Pic-A-Kippa established by two former IDF lone soldiers has expanded its very pro-Israel Zionist collection of printed kippot to include a variety for those who want to go headfirst to promote either Hillary or Trump in the upcoming elections. As with all of their products, they donate 10% of each kippa to The Lone Soldier Center in Israel.

I don’t know if this skews the results, but there are more designs for Trump than for Hillary.



So far, according to sales figures, Donald Trump is in the lead, and as long as the company sends me statistics, I will keep you updated. If I’m not mistaken, these numbers are from yesterday August 7, 2016.
91 heading for Trump


49 heading for Hillary

You can purchase the kippot or any other designs offered, plus an option for special orders, online https://picakippa.com/  or in these stores:

Upper West Side Judaica – 2412 Broadway, New York, NY 10024

J Levine Books and Judaica – 5 W 30th St, New York, NY 10001
Judaica Plus – 445 Central Ave, Cedarhurst, NY 11516

And of course tell them that you read about them here on Shiloh Musings.

Batya Medad

New Poll Sees Israeli Left Collapsing, Purely Rightwing Coalition Government

Thursday, August 11th, 2016

Following the surprising results of a GeoCartographia poll a week ago, showing Likud down from 30 to 25 seats, the Zionist Camp (Labor) dropping from 24 to 8 seats, Habayit Hayehudi soaring from 8 to 16 seats, and Yesh Atid rocketing from 11 to 22 seats, on Thursday a new poll by Maagar Mochot (Heb: Think Tank) showed a more moderate reflection of the same trend. The new poll, conducted for FM103 Radio, shows Likud still in first place with 27 seats (3 fewer than its current mandate), Habayit Hayehudi rising, but only to 13 seats (a +5), Yisrael Beiteinu gaining 4 seats to rise from 5 to 9 seats, and Yesh Atid still soundly beating its identical twin at the center, Kulanu, as Yair Lapid’s party rises from 11 to 21 seats, while Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu drops from 11 to 6 seats.

On the left, the Zionist Camp (Labor) slows down its sharp drop, and scores 10 seats, compared with its current 24 (the other poll gave it only 8). Meretz picks up one seat to rise to 6 seats, and the Joint Arab List maintains its 13 seats.

The Haredi block stands at 15 seats (last poll gave it 18), with Shas at 8 (+1) and United Torah Judaism at 7 (+1).

The ideological map reflected in the new poll is most encouraging to the rightwing parties: 49 seats go to the three rightwing Zionist parties, and 15 to the Haredim, meaning that Prime Minister Netanyahu, in his fifth term, could easily put together a rightwing government relying on a workable 64-seat majority, without ambiguous center-right partners such as Kahlon. The question then would become, does Netanyahu actually want a purely rightwing government, which would likely expect him to impose Israeli law in Area C, change the rules of engagement, invest heavily in Jewish expansion in Judea and Samaria, alter the undemocratic way in which Israel’s judges are picked, and a myriad other burning issues which so far he had been reluctant to pursue, blaming it on his more secular, centrist partners.

The rightwing parties could possibly combine their numbers to boycott either Kahlon or Lapid, or both, from the future coalition government — the Haredim because they despise Lapid, Habayit Hayehudi and Yisrael Beiteinu because they’d like to pursue an aggressive agenda in Judea and Samaria, where a good portion of their constituency resides.

Our friend Jeremy Saltan, a.k.a. Knesset Jeremy, who moonlights as HaBayit HaYehudi’s Anglo Forum Chairman, has launched the Israeli Poll of Polls, strictly for political addicts. Here’s his most recent handiwork, copied from his website.


Party KnessetJeremy Polling Average (June/July/August) Change since previous KJPA (April/May) KJPA (April/May) All Polls since Elections 2015 Election
Likud 25.3 -1.4 26.7 26.4 30
Yesh Atid 20.3 0.3 20 19.3 11
Bayit Yehudi 13.5 2.2 11.3 12 8
Joint List 13 0.2 12.8 12.8 13
Zionist Union 11 -1.8 12.8 14.4 24
UTJ 8.8 0.8 8 7.5 6
Yisrael Beitenu 8.2 -0.8 9 8.4 6
Kulanu 6.8 0 6.8 6.7 10
Shas 6.7 1 5.7 6.5 7
Meretz 6.3 -0.5 6.8 6 5
Right-Religious 69.3 1.7 67.5 67.4 67
Center-Left-Arab 50.7 -1.7 52.5 52.6 53




Army Radio Poll: Netanyahu Down to 25, Bennett Up to 16

Sunday, August 7th, 2016

A survey conducted for Army Radio in 500 Households by GeoCartographia shows a drop for Likud from 30 to 25 seats, a jump into the abyss for Zionist Camp (Labor) from 24 to 8 seats, and a rise for Habayit Hayehudi from 8 to 16 seats.

Yair lapid’s Yesh Atid would have been another big favorite had the elections been held this week, with 22 seats, up from 11. Lapid’s arch-enemies, United Torah Judaism, also jump significantly, from 6 to 11. Interestingly, Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu is boosted by only one seat, from 6 to 7, possibly because Liberman is yet to fulfill his promise to kill Hamas Prime Minister Ismail Haniya within 48 hours of taking office.

Here is the complete list, current number of seats in brackets:

Likud — 25 [30]

Yesh Atid — 22 [11]

HaBayit HaYehudi — 16 [8]

Joint Arab List — 13 [13]

United Torah Judaism — 11 [6]

Zionist Camp (Labor) — 8 [24]

Shas — 7 [7]

Yisrael Beitenu — 7 [6]

Kulanu — 6 [10]

Meretz — 5 [5]

In terms of political affiliation, the Knesset factions would have experienced a serious tilt to the right were the elections held this week:

72 [67] Right-Religious

48 [53] Center-Left-Arab

David Israel

Poll: Saudis, Egyptians, Want Regional Peace, Shun Trump, Palestinian Deal

Monday, June 13th, 2016

Ahead of the 16th annual Herzliya Conference, the Institute for Policy & Strategy (IPS) at IDC Herzliya has released the results of two surveys conducted in Egypt and Saudi Arabia relating to the upcoming US Presidential elections.

The key findings of the polls were as follows:

Q: Should the next US President promote an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement or a regional peace agreement?

Egypt: 25.5% – Israeli-Palestinian Agreement 32.1% – Regional Agreement 42.3% – Should Not Promote Peace with Israel

Saudi Arabia: 18.9% – Israeli-Palestinian Agreement 41.6% – Regional Agreement 39.4% – Should Not Promote Peace with Israel

Q: Will the next US President change relations between the US and the Arab world?

Egypt: 31.7% – Change for the better 19.2% – Change for the worse 49.0% – No change

Saudi Arabia: 27.6% – Change for the better 27.4% – Change for the worse 45.0% – No change

Q: Was President Obama a good president for the Muslim world?

Egypt: 2.5% – Very Good 14.2% – Good 38.1% – Mediocre 24.5% – Bad 20.7% – Very Bad

Saudi Arabia: 2.6% – Very Good 17.5% – Good 36.1% – Mediocre 23.8% – Bad 20.1% – Very Bad

Q: Will the next US President cancel the nuclear agreement with Iran?

Egypt: 19.7% – Will cancel 80.3% – Won’t cancel

Saudi Arabia: 13.6% – Will cancel 86.4% – Won’t cancel

Q: Will the next US President be ready to send ground troops to fight ISIS?

Egypt: 32.3% – Yes 48.3% – No 19.4% – Don’t know

Saudi Arabia: 17.9% – Yes 58.1% – No 24.0% – Don’t know

Q: Which (Presidential) candidate do you prefer?

Egypt: 35.9% – Hillary Clinton 3.8% – Donald Trump 8.5% – Bernie Sanders 10.4% – Ted Cruz 41.4% – None of them

Saudi Arabia: 30.2% – Hillary Clinton 6.0% – Donald Trump 7.3% – Bernie Sanders 6.0% – Ted Cruz 50.3% – None of them

The polls were conducted in Arabic over the past 6 weeks using a random sampling from the regions of each country.

471 respondents in Egypt; margin of error +/- 4.5% 464 respondents in Saudi Arabia; margin of error +/- 4.6%

The 16th annual Herzliya Conference starts tomorrow, June 14 and runs through June 16.


Pew Poll Proves Progressive Democrats Are Not Fans of Israel

Wednesday, May 25th, 2016

{Originally posted to the author’s website, The Lid}

Anecdotally it’s been easy to say for a very long time that the more liberal politically one is the less they support the Jewish State of Israel.  The Anti-Israel policies of the leftist Barack Obama/Hillary Clinton foreign policy offer some anecdotal proof, as does the fact that the Democrats removed four pro-Israel planks in their 2012 platform, and when they were caught by your’s truly, they added back one, the Jerusalem is the capital of Israel plank. They left out a promise not to negotiate with Hamas as long as they refused to renounce terrorism, that in a final deal any Palestinian refugees would be resettled in a Palestinian State rather than flooding Israel with the purpose of removing its Jewish character, and that the 1948 armistice lines should not represent the final boarders of the Israeli/Palestinian conflict.  A new Pew Poll backs up the qualitative judgements with quantitative evidence:

Views of Israel and the Palestinians have become more ideologically polarized. In early September 2001, just before the 9/11 terrorist attacks, there were only modest partisan and ideological differences in Israeli-Palestinian sympathies. But since then, and especially over the past decade, the share sympathizing more with Israel than with the Palestinians has increased among all ideological groups, with the exception of liberal Democrats.

Today, majorities of conservative Republicans (79%) and moderate and liberal Republicans (65%) say they sympathize more with Israel than with the Palestinians, while just 4% and 13%, respectively, sympathize more with the Palestinians. This is the case for conservative and moderate Democrats as well – far more have a more sympathetic view of Israel (53%) than of the Palestinians (19%). Liberal Democrats, however, are more divided, with four-in-ten (40%) sympathizing more with the Palestinians, versus a third (33%) with Israel.

The share of liberal Democrats who side more with the Palestinians than with Israel has nearly doubled since 2014 (from 21% to 40%) and is higher than at any point dating back to 2001.

Lib Dem

This certainly helps to explain the fact that the progressives who control the Democratic party pushed through the horrible Iran nuclear deal which does very little to stop Iran’s nuclear ambitions (heck they even get to inspect themselves).

Making this poll even worse is despite the fact that progressive Democrats tend more supportive of the Palestinians, American Jews continue to vote them in office.

Thirty years ago, Republican James Baker famously said, “F— the Jews. They won’t vote for us anyway.”  Today because of the blind loyalty to the Democratic Party by most Jews, Democrats act as if their stance is, “F— the Jews, they will vote for us whatever we do!”

In 2008, despite all the warnings, despite the fact that Barack Obama sat in a church listening to anti-Semitic sermons for two decades, despite the fact that he was a close friend with Palestinian Liberation Organization spokesman Rashid Khalid, the mainstream media and the Jewish community ignored the warning signs. Even before the election the Jewish community knew about the 2003 event honoring Khalidi, where Obama had made a toast that was so anti-Israel that the liberal L.A. Times hid the tape. Before the 2008 election Obama had already surrounded himself with anti-Semitic and anti-Israel advisers. Ignoring all that, the Jewish community gave Obama 78 percent of the Jewish vote. The leadership of certain major Jewish organizations, despite their phony claims of bi-partisanship, had a blind allegiance to the Democratic Party.

During his first term, President Obama proved to be the most anti-Israel president since the modern state of Israel was created in 1948. But it shouldn’t have been as surprise.

Despite an anti-Israel first term, as the 2012 election neared, the Anti-Defamation League and the American Jewish Committee in a joint statement asked their fellow Jews to pledge not to criticize Obama’s Israel policy. They said it was to keep the issue bi-partisan but it was really because their leadership was very partisan. Per Michael Oren these leaders like Abe Foxman of the ADL for instance were in a meeting with Obama in 2009 where he told them he was going to drive a wedge between the US and Israel (for Israel’s own good) and they said nothing.  Another of those supposedly “bi-partisan” leaders, Jack Rosen of the American Jewish Congress, actually hosted fundraisers for the president in his home, ignoring Obama’s anti-Israel and anti-Semitic stances. The publisher of the liberal Jewish Week newspaper even warned Jews not to make Obama angry or he will be worse in a second term.

Don’t be surprised if those same leaders ignore the supposed bi-partisanship of their organizations to support Hillary Clinton for president in 2016. They will even try to whitewash the fact that with the possible exception of the time from her first campaign New York’s Senate seat in 2000 to her resignation from the Senate to become Secretary of State in January 2009– except for the time she needed New York’s Jewish voting bloc, Hillary Clinton has always been anti-Israel.  But she is a progressive Democrat. And just like they supported Barack Obama, whose progressive policies have ignored the constitution and ruined the economy, they will support Hillary and try to sell her to the Jewish community.

Here’s a little secret my Jewish brethren should learn the way people vote influences candidate positions. Since Progressives are not pro-Israel and the Jews keep voting for them anyway, why should Democrats support Israel? On the Republicans side, the reason many GOP candidates are pro-Israel (besides the fact they are a strong American ally) is the evangelical vote that is a major part of their base. But if the very pro-Israel evangelicals ever lose their influence in the party, only then will there be a possibility that support for Israel will be bi-partisan— both parties won’t care about us.

After the P5+1 vote, Obama supporters claimed that the POTUS defeated the nefarious “Jewish Lobby,” but any influence the Jews ever had was defeated years ago by a blind allegiance to the Democratic Party by Jewish voters, and false tales by the supposed Jewish leadership.  The only way we will ever get it back is for Jews to start voting for the other party — not blindly, but look at Republican candidates with an open mind.

Oh and one more thing about Democratic Party support of Israel.  During the 2012 convention when they they added back the Jerusalem plank, it actually lost the voice vote but it was counted as being passed anyway to the boos of the angry crowd.

Watch the video below:

Jeff Dunetz

IFCJ Warns Rising Israeli Arab Angst May Become Strategic Threat

Monday, January 25th, 2016

A new poll conducted on behalf of the International Fellowship of Christians and Jews in the Israeli Arab population is raising red flags – and reinforcing recent warnings by President Reuven Rivlin about the rising popularity of Da’esh (ISIS) in that population.

Rivlin said that according to figures gleaned from “research studies, arrests, testimonies and covert analyses,” there is increasing support for Da’esh among Israeli Arabs.

The survey, conducted by the Stat-net Institute, polled a sample of 500 low-income Israeli Arabs. The findings showed that 67 percent of Israeli Arabs feel discriminated against, and 71 percent feel that low-income Israeli Jews receive more state aid than they do. Further, 54 percent of Israeli Arabs feel the government – including Israeli Arab Mks – do not care about their interests.

The poll was commissioned to measure the impact of The Fellowship’s financial support for low-income Israeli-Arab citizens, according to IFCJ founder and director Rabbi Yechiel Eckstein. Instead, it came up with clanging bells and warning signs.

“The survey shows Israel should be caring more for its Arab citizens and investing in them the same way it does with its most vulnerable Jewish citizens, not only for moral reasons but also to counter the threat of political extremism and to promote patriotism. If we don’t invest in Israel’s citizens, ISIS will,” said IFCJ founder and director, Rabbi Yechiel Eckstein.

“We found a direct correlation between Israeli Arabs’ feelings of being treated equally to Jews and their sense of belonging to society and even their willingness to serve,” added Eckstein. “If we can change the numbers, we can avoid Israeli Arabs becoming a strategic threat.”

The IFCJ has invested more than $35 million on social welfare programs for Israeli Arabs in recent years, he said. Those investments included programs to help the elderly, children, and at-risk youth, and on drug abuse prevention, emergency financial aid, job empowerment for women, and other initiatives.

The survey found that among the low-income Israeli Arabs who felt they are being treated unfairly compared to poor Israeli Jews, only 20 percent said they “feel strongly or very strongly connected to Israel.”

Only 38 percent of Israeli Arabs who feel they lack equal rights in Israel said they would perform national service.

Of those who felt they were treated equally, 58 percent of Israeli Arabs said they would perform national service.

Rivlin warned a week ago (Jan. 18) that Israeli Arab teens are growing more enamored with becoming Da’esh operatives for the ISIS terror organization.

“The Islamic State is already here – that is no longer a secret,” Rivlin told participants at the ninth annual international conference of the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). “I am not speaking about territories bordering the State of Israel – but within Israel itself.” He, too, added that it is in the best interest of Israel to offer its Arab population a better future than the fantasies promised by terror groups such as Da’esh.

Rivlin said it is in the best interest of the state to offer Israel’s Arabs a better future than that promised by groups such as Da’esh. “If children are growing up without a dream, without hope or without aspirations, with the feeling that their blood and their lives are of a lesser value in the State of Israel, then we must think of how to offer them a dream, hope and faith,” Rivlin said.

Hana Levi Julian

Two Polls Reveal PA/Gaza Arabs Hate ISIS and Israel

Wednesday, November 18th, 2015

(JNi.media) The Pew Research Center on Tuesday released a survey showing that in 11 countries with significant Muslim populations, people expressed negative views of ISIS. In no country surveyed did more than 16% of the population favor the Islamic State.

In Lebanon, where one of the most brutal attacks took place recently, almost every person surveyed had an unfavorable view of ISIS, including 99% with a very unfavorable opinion. ISIS is hated equally, according to the survey, by Lebanese Sunni Muslims (98% unfavorable) and Shia Muslims and Lebanese Christians (100%).

It gets a little more interesting in Israel, Jordan, the Palestinian Authority (PA) and Gaza. Israelis (97%) and Jordanians (94%) are also strongly opposed to ISIS as of the spring of 2015, according to Pew, and that included 91% of Israeli Arabs.

But there was less disfavor in the Palestinian Authority controlled territories, where only 84% had a negative view of ISIS, with the Gaza Strip markedly more hostile (92%) to ISIS than Judea and Samaria (79%).

However, a different poll, conducted by Dr. Nabil Kukali of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, which says it is “a leading full service research institute in Palestine,” stated that 68.5% of PA Arabs oppose the Russian intervention in Syria. So that, despite their disapproval, they are probably not looking for imported solutions, especially not in the form of the Russian military fighting on the side of President Assad.

The PCPO poll of the PA/Gazan Arabs’ state of mind was taken while the terror wave of shooting, stabbing and rioting against Israeli Jews was in full swing. Conducted during the period from October 18 to November 12, 2015, the poll covered a random sample of 1,000 respondents 18 years and above living in Judea, Samaria, eastern Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip. The revealed that:

50.4% are in favor of a third Intifada.

42.1% are in favor of a violent uprising.

29.9% favor a peaceful, popular uprising.

62.3% oppose the resumption of peace negotiations with Israel.

43.5% are optimistic about the perspective of an eventual reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas.

58.9% are discontent with the performance of the PA-chairman Mahmoud Abbas.

47.8% call for the resignation of Abbas.
Dr. Nabil Kukali told Walla that the respondents said they were disappointed by the PA chairman’s speech at the UN General Assembly, when he called on the Arabs not to use violence against Israel.


Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/two-polls-reveal-pagaza-arabs-hate-isis-and-israel/2015/11/18/

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