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November 30, 2015 / 18 Kislev, 5776
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘demographics’

Age of Miracles: Palestinians Growing by Millions and No One Dies

Wednesday, January 2nd, 2013

There’s an AP story making the rounds today, being parroted by every major media outlet, under the alarming headline: “Palestinians will outnumber Israeli Jews by 2020.”

The entire item is a verbatim citation of a Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics press release, accompanied by no fact checking whatsoever. Nevertheless, by tonight, the entire civilized world will be quoting this headline as irrefutable truth, despite the fact that it is totally untrue, and was generated by the biggest pack of liars on the planet.

“The Palestinian statistics bureau estimates that Arabs will outnumber Jews in the Holy Land by the end of the decade, a scenario that could have grave implications for Israel,” goes the AP story with a straight face, explaining: “The bureau said Tuesday that 5.8 million Arabs live in Israel, the West Bank, Gaza and east Jerusalem. That compares to about 6 million Israeli Jews, according to Israeli data.”

Then the AP cites the analysis part of the press release, relating that the PSB “said that, based on current birth rates, the two populations would be equal in 2016, and, in 2020, Arabs would outnumber Jews by 7.2 million to 6.9 million.”

That’s a whole lot of Arabs, Virginia, but is it true? Inquiring minds would like to know.

First, let’s review the reliable information, collected in 2010 by the Israeli census service, regarding the non-Jewish population within Israel: 1,535,573, or 20.3% of the overall population. This number includes 278,000 Arabs in East Jerusalem and the Golan Heights. It also includes non-Arabs, such as Druze, Bedouins, and Cherkessians, who may possess Arab features, but would probably punch your lights out if you called them Arab.

The current world Crude Birth Rate is 19.4 births per 1,000 people. That includes every country on Earth. According to the PSB, the Palestinians are way higher than the average, at 24.56 births/1,000 population.

Also, when it comes to mortality rates, the Palestinians appear to be among the most vigorous and healthy people on this planet. The world average is 8.5 dead per 1,000, while over in the PA they’ve been holding it down to a mere 3.58 deaths/1,000 population.

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, in 1990, the Judea and Samaria population stood at 1,254,506, and in Gaza 642,814, or 1,897,320 combined.

In 2005, the same source lists 2,385,615 in J&S, 1,376,289 in Gaza. That’s 3,761,904 combined. Add to that about 1 million Israeli Arabs (I’m using a lower figure because East Jerusalem Arabs are counted by the U.S. as “West Bank” dwellers, and because there are several hundred thousands of non-Jews who are also non-Arab).

This gives us a generous overall population of 3,800,000 Arabs both inside and outside the “green line.” Quite a bit fewer than the 4.5 million posted by the PSB for the Palestinian population alone.

How come, you may ask, the AP does not attempt to check the PA figures which depict Gaza and the “West Bank” as a kind of prolific Shangri-La, where hardly anyone ever dies and everyone is pregnant all the livelong day?

Because of the following article, the ultimate conclusion, designed to scare Israelis straight into capitulating before the 2-state “final” solution. The AP story concludes:

“The demographic issue is a main argument for Israeli backers of creation of a Palestinian state. They say relinquishing control of the Palestinian territories and its residents is the only way to ensure Israel’s future as a democracy with a Jewish majority.”

Now you know.

How to Win the Demographic and Culture Wars

Thursday, December 13th, 2012

There is no better outcome that the Democrats could have hoped for than the demographic despair that has overtaken some sections of the conservative movement. While the Republican establishment prepares to accept Obama as the new FDR, the grass roots feels alienated and willing to write off the whole country.

Demographics is a serious issue, but it’s not a done deal either. Countries are not static. America was created because a large number of Europeans moved to a place that had formerly been populated by the descendants of Siberian refugees crossing over the Bering Strait. I have often said that demographics kind is destiny, but it’s a mathematical destiny. Change the numbers and you change the destiny.

Taking back America demographically is a matter of having enough children within a cultural structure that passes down the values of adults to the children, while focusing on limiting immigration as much as possible. This isn’t an impossible task.

The Amish population doubles every 20 years and they retain the majority of their children within their communities despite the obvious appeals of the outside world. There are 250,000 Amish in the United States and Canada now. By 2040 there will be over a million of them.

Utah has the highest fertility rate in the country and 9 out of 10 children are born to married couples. The Mormon Church is slowing down its expansion, and is having some retention and birth rate issues, perhaps due to its liberalization and growing investment in overseas missionary work, but its numbers are still a reminder of what is possible.

Demographics can be deceptive, because what we are really talking about are the economic and cultural factors that dissuade large family sizes and that alienate children from the values of their ancestors. What we are really talking about is a clash between progressives and traditionalists.

As an Orthodox Jew, I represent a group that is at the front lines of the clash. In the last century and a half, Jewish progressives have done everything possible to destroy Jewish religion, values and even nationhood. For half that time they were enormously successful, wreaking havoc across entire communities, using state power to force parents into their own schools, and building a literary and cultural infrastructure aimed at ridiculing and destroying traditional values.

They are still at it today, and their tactics and propaganda are as bad as they ever were, but they also losing. While the progressives embrace the culture of abortion and gay rights, the traditionalists have children. Within a decade, a majority of New York Jews will be traditionalist and the impact of that is already being felt in elections. The progressives have ramped up their usual hate campaigns against Orthodox Jews, which is why you see so many negative stories in the media, but the demographics of their progressive culture doom them to extinction.

This same outcome would have taken place nationally in the clash between American traditionalists and progressives, if not for the ace in the hole of immigration. And yet immigration is only half the picture. The bigger half of the picture is culture.

Would the Amish be who they are if in between plow breaks they were watching Reality TV and getting lessons on liberal values? Instead the Amish segregated themselves from the culture and have thrived because of it. And that can be done without completely abandoning technology as a whole.

Orthodox Jews built a cultural infrastructure to convey their values to our children while cutting them off, as much as possible, from the cultural programming of progressives. The largest expense of Orthodox Jewish parents and the community as a whole is on the infrastructure of private schools that teach traditional values to their children. An Orthodox Jewish community is defined by its schools and its best and brightest go into Chinuch or Education.

But schools aren’t enough. Orthodox Jews raise their children on their own books and their own music. Everything that children are exposed to from the youngest ages is supposed to come from within their own culture to such an extent that when Oprah visited a Chassidic family they had no idea who she was, or who Mickey Mouse and Beyonce were. Obviously this isn’t universal and the degree of exposure varies, but retention rates and birth rates are highest among those with the lowest levels of progressive cultural exposure.

Jews Less than 0.2% of World Population

Thursday, September 20th, 2012

According to a study by Hebrew University’s Professor Sergio DellaPergola, the global Jewish population reached 13.75 million in the past year, with an increase of 88,000 people. Israel’s Maariv newspaper published excerpts of the study last week, reporting that one out of every 514 people in the world is Jewish, less than 0.2 percent of mankind.

About 43% of the world’s Jewish community lives in Israel, making Israel the country with the largest Jewish population. The Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics reported on the eve of Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish New Year, 5773, that the total population of Israel in 2012 grew to nearly 8 million. About 73% of the population is native born.

The Israeli Jewish population stands at 5,978,600, up 1.8%; the Arab population numbers at 1,636,600, up 2.4%; and the rest of the population including Christians and non-Jews reached 318,000 people, up 1.3%. Israel’s Jewish population makes up 75% of the state’s total people.

In all, the Jewish state’s population increased by 96,300 people in 2012, a growth rate that did not diverge from the average rate in the past eight years.

Part of Israel’s population increase comes in part of the new immigrants that have arrived to the country. In 2011, Israel welcomed 16,892 new immigrants as citizens, with the largest populations coming from Russia (3,678), followed by Ethiopia (2,666), United States (2,363), Ukraine (2,051) and France (1,775).

Israel’s population is relatively young compared to populations in other western countries, with 28% of the population aged 0-14. Israel’s life expectancy is one of the highest of the international Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s (OECD) 34 member states, with Jewish males’ life expectancy 4.2 years higher than their Arab counterparts.

The Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics also found that 40% of Israel’s population lives in the center of the country, with Tel Aviv as Israel’s densest region, while 17 % lives in the north, 14% in the south, 12% in Jerusalem and Haifa, and 4% in Judea and Samaria.

Over 47,885 couples married in Israel in the past year, of which 75% were Jewish and 21% Muslim. In 2011, there were 166, 296 babies born in Israel.

The world’s principal religious populations divide as follows according to the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) in 2012: Christians at 33% or 2.1 billion, Muslims at 24% or 1.65 billion, Hindus at 14% or 900 million, and Buddhists at 6% or 350 million. At least one billion people in the world do not ascribe to any religion at all.

Jerusalem Demographics 1800-1922

Thursday, September 13th, 2012

Jerusalem, we’re informed, is an “Arab city”.  It must be the “capital of Palestine”.

On the issue of demographics, the numbers make things quite clear that even before modern Zionism began, the city was Jewish and only Muslim repressive policies artificially kept the numbers of Jews down before the mid-19th century.

Here are the charts from Yehoshua Ben-Arieh’s book:-

More here.  And also here.

And how, for example, did the Jerusalem look in 1912?  Here’s looking out over the area then below the Jewish Quarter (later tore down at 1967) towards the Temple Mount:-

Visit Yisrael Medad’s blog, My Right Word.

Confronting the Unpleasant Truth about Two States

Wednesday, August 29th, 2012

Sometimes the truth is more than just ‘inconvenient’. Sometimes it is downright unpleasant, even ugly. But nevertheless, it is what is and we need to deal with what is, not what we would like it to be.

Martin Sherman sees the unpleasant truth and, unlike so many others, draws the logical conclusions. He has written a series of articles in the Jerusalem Post in which he has exposed the sheer insanity of the Left’s two-state solution (TSS), as well as the failure of the Right to propose real alternatives.

Now Sherman has taken up the challenge to provide a practical alternative. In his most recent article — which I urge you to read in its entirety, since I can’t do justice to it with a few snippets — he writes,

To survive as the permanent nation-state of the Jewish people Israel must address two fundamental imperatives:

• The geographic imperative • The demographic imperative

It is self-evident that if either of these is inadequately addressed, Israel’s status as the nation-state of the Jewish people will be gravely jeopardized, eventually becoming unsustainable.

The mainstream discourse invariably – and deceptively – presents Israel’s only choice as being between accepting the TSS – which would make Israel untenable geographically, or the OSS (one-state solution) – which would make it untenable demographically.

Neither comprises an acceptable policy-paradigm for anyone whose point of departure is the continued existence of Israel as the permanent nation-state of the Jews.

This, as we will see, compels us to the inexorable conclusion that between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea there can – and eventually will – prevail either exclusive Jewish or exclusive Arab sovereignty…

While addressing the geographic imperative requires Israel to maintain control of all Judea and Samaria (or at least of sufficiently large segments to make the TSS unviable), addressing the demographic imperative means that the Arab population of these areas cannot be permanently incorporated into the population of Israel…

We are left to confront a brutally simple choice: Either forgo the Jewish nation-state or address the need to significantly diminish the scale of the Palestinian-Arab population.

Whether one relates to this stark dilemma with a sense of moral outrage or equanimity will not affect the inexorable logic that led to its deduction, or the necessity to acknowledge its inevitability. Trying to evade the bleak nature of this inescapable choice by reformulating it in less forbidding terms would be no more than an exercise in hypocrisy or self-delusion…

So, for those who find the prospect of forgoing the Jewish nation-state unacceptable, the grim decision is whether to address the problem of diminishing the Palestinian-Arab population by coercive or by non-coercive means.

Right now the screaming about racism, transfer, ethnic cleansing, etc. begins. I won’t discuss why this automatically follows any discussion of Arabs moving but not Jews, nor the numerous Palestinian expressions of their intention to have a Jew-free state if the TSS is implemented. I’ll only emphasize that the alternative is no Jewish state at all.

If your idea of morality is such that yet another Jewish diaspora — undoubtedly accompanied by a bloody war — is preferable to some Arabs living between the river and the sea moving to one of the 22 Arab Muslim states in the region, then you have chosen sides and I don’t have anything to say to you.

Sherman believes, and promises details in a forthcoming article, that a non-coercive population transfer — yes, I am using that word because that is what it is — is the morally preferred option and that it can be made practical.

I have my doubts about the practicality of such a solution. But I am convinced that Sherman is right and that survival of a Jewish state requires both geographical and demographic domination of the area between the river and the sea. I remain to be convinced that this can be accomplished peacefully.

Originally published at FresnoZionism.org.

When Governments Elect Another People

Wednesday, July 18th, 2012


Elections are won by demographics. No soup company blindly dumps cans of its newest “Turkey Coconut Bouillon with Nutmeg and Omega 3” in Aisle 6 of the supermarket without testing to see what demographics such a hideous concoction might appeal to. Will the product appeal to lesbian single mothers, divorced Asian firefighters or eccentric Latvian millionaires? Politics is no different.

A political party has its base, definable groups who groove to its message, who eat up the red meat that its candidates toss their way. It has the demographic groups which will always vote for it and those who might swing its way. It knows them by race, gender, age, class, sexuality, home ownership and a thousand other statistical slices of the pie. It has those numbers broken down by states, cities and neighborhoods so that it has a good estimate of its chances in a given place and time based on the demographics of the people who live there.

This kind of information is helpful for winning elections– but showing up to play the electoral hand you’re dealt is for suckers. And by suckers, I mean conservative parties.

Breaking down the demographics is like looking at the cards in your hand. Once you’ve done that, the only remaining variable in a static game are your opponent’s cards. With election demographics, players can see all the cards everyone has. That makes the game static. Hands will inevitably be won or lost… unless you can draw some new cards.

The most obvious way to play the demographic game of thrones is with gerrymandered districts. A gerrymandered district is shaped to include a majority of the winning demographic leading to a nearly automatic victory for the party. It’s the political equivalent of stacking the deck.

Gerrymandered districts are of dubious legality, except when shaped to create a majority minority district, in which case it becomes an obligation under civil rights laws. This stacks the deck, creating permanent sinecures for some horribly incompetent politicians and permanent seats for the Democratic Party.

But that is just a matter of rearranging the cards in the deck. What if you could bring in cards from outside the deck? What if you could change the value of some cards? Then you would be on the way to being the best card sharp in Washington D.C. or London or Paris.

Sure you could win elections by creating a few gerrymandered districts, but you couldn’t win a country that way. To do that, you have to change the national demographics.

Suppose you were running our fictional soup company and you discovered that “Turkey Coconut Bouillon with Nutmeg and Omega 3” isn’t popular with key demographics. The only people who like it are unemployed Pakistani immigrants, lesbian single mothers and divorced Asian firefighters.

Sure you could take a shot at putting out another flavor, but damn it, you like this one. And you also spent your entire advertising budget for the next three years promoting it, and thanks to your ad campaign, everyone now associates your company with “Turkey Coconut Bouillon with Nutmeg and Omega 3”. And if people don’t like it, then your company is doomed.

You could try to change people’s minds, or you could try to change the demographics to ones that favor your soup. To do that, you would have to bring in a lot of Pakistani immigrants, create a poor economic climate, promote divorce and homosexuality, and create some public sector jobs.

Luckily, no soup company can do that sort of thing. But governments can.

That’s the neat thing about governments, if they want to change national demographics, bring in more immigrants, create more single-parent families and more unemployment; they can do all those things easily.

Suppose, for example, that instead of running a soup company, you are a UK Labour politician. They say you’re bright, and while that may be debatable and some time later the very people who said it will spit in disgust at the idea, but you are young and you can see the writing on the wall. After Thatcher, there’s no future for the kind of cheap labor radical who threatens to take the workers into the streets at every opportunity. The working-class vote that your party identified with is on the way out. And even if it wasn’t, it won’t survive the leftward drift of your party.

The One Jewish State Solution

Friday, May 25th, 2012

“I shall not drive them away in a single year lest the land become desolate…little by little shall I drive them away from you, until you become fruitful and make the Land your heritage…” Exodus, 23:29-30.

It is almost 19 years since the infamous Oslo handshake on the White House Lawn. Shimon Peres, fool in chief, stated for all the gullible, “No more war, no more terror, no more violence… we are beginning a new era of the Middle East..” He was right – a new era of willful Jew slaughter was to begin when Israel revitalized a Jew murderer, gave his killers weapons and after signing what turned out to be a worthless agreement, Jews began to get slaughtered on the streets of Israel while the three not-so-wise men, Clinton, Rabin, and Peres looked like those three cartoonish monkeys – one covering his eyes, one covering his mouth and one covering his ears… reckless fools leading Israel to the first seven years of a Jewish bloodbath. The age of premeditated suicide bombers didn’t take long to begin, for on April 6, 1994 in Afula the first of the bus bombings began.

With short memories, too many Jews have forgotten the first 600 slaughtered Jews from 1994 to 2000. Next came the cowardly attempt by the little piano playing, cross dressing, most decorated General Ehud Barak who tried desperately to give away 94% of Israel’s historical homeland to terrorists – before Ariel Sharon took a stroll on the Temple Mount followed by what was” artistically” to be called the second intifada leading to another 1,000 slaughtered Jews. How many intifadas since 1948 add up to almost 23,000 dead Jews in Israel.

All along the way you could see the flashbulbs popping after more worthless agreements were signed and you could hear the despicable spin calling dead Jews “sacrifices for peace.” Pile up the dead Jews and let the big shots give their trite eulogies filled with platitudes telling our people how horrible it is that Jews have to die for peace, and going on to the next Kodak photo-op, the next Nobel Peace Prize moment – the next confrontation with those who spoke out demanding accountability but the only words they got from the machers du’jour was the infantile labeling as “enemies of peace”. Too many with thick wallets had too much invested to deal with the reality- easier to blame those who asked for truth. That these mentally deranged could obscenely accuse fellow Jews who were asking obvious questions as Jews were blown up on buses, blown up at seders, blown up at discotheques and pizza parlors, to look at the bloody reality. These peace pimps, in truth, were the real enemies of peace. So sure were they that peace was at hand, so invested in the charade they refused to see the joy in the eyes of the murderers, or listen to the words of the Arafatian inciters. They refused to read the school books filled with hatred as the next generation was being educated on vile lies and blessed martyrdom, virgins and sainthood for Jew killing. The arrogant peace mongers, the ignorant purveyors of perversity, those that refused to acknowledge they were wrong refused to see that this was a war not peace – they, the disgusting peace pimps – shrouded in shame refused to admit they were wrong.

Not long ago I heard a Rabbi in the middle of his sermon say “… we of the peace camp…” Can you imagine that after almost 1700 dead Jews that this ignoramus was still stuck on “… we of the peace camp…” I laughed out loud and he was infuriated. What he should have said for the assembled was, “We of the peace camp have come to apologize and beg the families of the Jewish victims for forgiveness” – but even today there are some that have yet to give up their delusions. This Rabbi of the “peace camp” is now safely in Chicago while his former home of Ashkelon is being bombed with Hamastan “peace camp” missiles and the children of Ashkelon and Sderot scurry into concrete bunkers on a daily basis.

It is time to face the reality, stop the insanity of blaming Israel for the failure of Oslo and the other worthless agreements. Its time to stop all the lies. Oslo never was about peace. It was about a lie tailored for the gullible. Even the lawyer who meticulously wrote the original agreements that Rabin and Arafat signed – a leftist in every bone in his body, Joel Singer, a Jew- boy doing his duty, realized shortly after the signing it was all a lie. But in a way I believe that Israel and Jews had to go through another deadly exercise to understand, with no excuses of political correctness, the reality and power of the Arab dream of the destruction of Israel. Has the world changed that much since the 1930’s?

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/analysis/the-one-jewish-state-solution/2012/05/25/

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