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March 31, 2015 / 11 Nisan, 5775
At a Glance

Posts Tagged ‘Yesh Atid’

New Poll Shows All Parties Going Full Blast in Neutral

Thursday, January 29th, 2015

The oddest result of a month of polls is that there has been almost absolutely no change in the numbers.

The weekly Rafi Smith poll published Thursday night reveals that all parties are more or less stagnant and that national religious voters favoring the new Yachad party headed by Eli Yishai may be wasting their votes.

The new party has been on the edge of winning the minimum number of votes to enter the Knesset, but the Smith poll leaves Yachad under the radar. If polls in the next two weeks do not clearly show that the party has enough backing to win Knesset representation, voters are likely to abandon the sinking ship in favor of the Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home) party.

Labor-Livni, running under the banner of the “Zionist Camp” party, would win 25 seats in the Knesset if elections were held today, according  to the Smith survey. The number is unchanged from last week’s survey.

Similarly, the Likud party, headed by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, would win 24 seats, followed by Bayit Yehudi with 16, one more than last week.

Next in line are Yesh Atid, whose chairman is Yair Lapid, with nine seats, and Shas, headed by Aryeh Deri with eight Knesset Members. Both parties’ support is unchanged from last week.

Kulanu (All of Us) headed by Moshe Kahlon won enough backing for eight seats, one less than last week.

Yehadut HaTorah (United Torah Judaism), the Ashkenazi Haredi party, gained one seat and now has eight projected MKs. Both Meretz and Yisrael Beiteinu lost one seat and are down to five,

The joint Arab list of parties won 12 seats, one more than in the previous poll.

The changes of one seat up or down are relatively insignificant given the margin of error in surveys.

Pollsters insist there is a large bloc of undecided voters, but if that is the case, they appear to be decidedly undecided.

No matter how you spin the  numbers, the results still show that Labor-Livni, or the Zionist Camp if you prefer the official name, have no chance of forming a government.

One Jewish Press report last week suggested that the Arab parties are “natural partners” for a left-wing coalition and that even if they don’t join the coalition, they would give their support for it in critical votes. Arab parties never have agreed to be part of an Israeli government, and given the fact that several of the Arab MKs are blatantly pro-Palestinian Authority and openly against a Jewish State of Israel, they are not about to change the tradition.

However, it also is unlikely that Kulanu and Yesh Atid would accept demands of the Arab parties if push came to shove and Herzog and Livni were to propose a coalition needing support of Arab MKs.

No party has any momentum. The only likely changes in the strength of the left-wing or right-wing camp will come from lukewarm supporters of Kulanu and Yesh Lapid.

That leaves the undecided voters to make up their minds, and they have a little more than six weeks to do so.

Yesh Atid Announces Knesset List

Tuesday, January 27th, 2015

Yair Lapid has announced his candidate list for Yesh Atid for the upcoming elections:

1) Yair Lapid

2) Shai Piron

3) Yael German

4) Meir Cohen

5) Yaacov Peri

6) Ofer Shelach

7) Haim Yelin

8) Yoel Razbozov

9) Karin Elharar

10) Aliza Lavie

11) Miki Levy

12) Elazar Stern (formerly of Hatnua)

13) Pnina Tamnu-Shata

14) Dov Lipman (not final)

15) Ruth Calderon

MK Elazar Stern to Join Yesh Atid

Saturday, January 17th, 2015

MK Elazar Stern, who quit Tzipi Livni’s HaTnua party last month when she merged with Labor, will be joining Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party, according to Reshet TV.

Yesh Atid was actually Stern’s preferred choice before the previous election, but as he was late in making up his mind about running, the only realistic option left open to him at that point was the HaTnua party.

Israeli Anti-Bibi Media turn Four Election Polls into one Lie

Friday, January 16th, 2015

Four pre-election polls published Thursday night and Friday morning show varying results, but two of them reveal that the popularity of Labor-Livni has grown by a solitary seat in the Knesset. Nevertheless, Israel’s establishment media are reporting the trivial news as if there is a rush of support for the left.

Polls are not  meaningless, but when a party registers one seat more or one less from week to week, it is virtually insignificant, numerically as well as statistically when taking into account the margin of error in small samples.

That has not stopped Israel Radio, known by the misnomer in English as the Voice of Israel, from promoting the results of this week’s poll as a victory for the “Zionist camp,” a label now claimed by everyone except for Neturei Karta.

Similarly,  three television polls show that the lead party is the “Zionist camp,” whose list of candidates likely to be elected includes those who want to turn over all of Judea and Samaria as well as half of Jerusalem to the Palestinian Authority, which has said that no Jew will be allowed to live there.

The same poll trumpeted by Israel radio also shows that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has a 4 percentage lead over Labor party leaders Yitzchak Herzog and Tzipi Livni when voters are faced with the question of who should be Prime Minister. However, Rafi Smith, who carried out the poll, said this is insignificant because of the margin of error, which apparently does not apply to results in favor of the left.

But that was the secondary headline.

The big news, according to Israel Radio, is that Herzog-Livni is now leading the Likud party by two seats instead of one.

The gap is 2, 4 and 1 in three polls on television channels 2, 10 and 1.

More significant is that Herzog-Livni still have no chance to form a coalition government without an ungodly collection of Meretz and Yisrael Beiteinu or Yisrael Beiteinu and Haredi parties.

After adding up all the numbers, the picture has not changed from last week or even last month: There are two camps: the anti-Netanyahu parties of Labor-Livni, Meretz and Yesh Atid, headed by Yair Lapid; and the pro-Netanyahu camp of the Likud and the Jewish Home, which according to all polls is holding stable with 16-17 mandates.

The most significant changes in the numbers relate to Yisrael Beiteinu, which has been in a clear trend of a decline in the past month. The four polls give the party 5, 6 and 7 seats, far less than when the current Knesset was dissolved.

After taking into account small differences in poll results for the other parties, Kulanu, headed by Moshe Kahlon, Yesh Atid, Meretz and Shas are not moving up or down significantly.

Eli Yishai, who split from Shas and formed his own party, still is on the borderline of being shut out of the Knesset.

There are other very significant indications: If Labor-Livni picks up any more seats, it will be at the expense of Meretz or Yesh Atid, and vice-versa. If Kulanu attracts more voters, they likely will move over from Yesh Atid, Yisrael Beiteinu and possibly the Likud.

There still are two months left before voters go to the polls, and Israel Radio and most of the television channels will try to convince voters that Herzog and Livni have the best chance to win.

If the combined party comes out on top, President Reuven Rivlin will have little choice but to give it the first crack at forming a government, which brings back to mind the elections five years ago.

New Poll: Shows Netanyahu Will Lead Next Gov’t with Haredim

Monday, December 22nd, 2014

A new pre-election poll issued on Monday leaves no option for the next government other than one headed by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu with the help of Haredi parties.

Here is the lineup according to the “Panels” poll conducted the Knesset Channel :

Labor-Livni – 23

Likud – 21

Jewish Home – 16

Yesh Atid (Yair Lapid) – 11

Kulanu (Moshe Kahlon) – 9

Yisrael Beitenu – 7

Meretz – 7

Arab parties – 10

Yehadut HaTorah (Haredi) 7

Shas – 5

Eli Yishai – 4

The Labor party, headed by Yitzchak Herzog with his new sidekick Tzipi Livni, cannot form a majority the Haredi parties, which won’t happen unless it can convince two of four parties – Yair Lapid ,Yisrael Beiteinu’s Avigdor Lieberman and Meretz – to agree, which as likely as snow in July.

The center-right ring camp has less of a problem with the Haredi parties.

Adding up Likud, Jewish Home, Yisrael Beiteinu and Kahlon comes up with the non-magical number of 55, six less than the majority that is needed to form the government.

The three Haredi parties are in the driver’s seat for the time being, and if the results in March will be similar to those of today, they will dictate the terms of the next coalition.

If that happens, Lapid and Livni will rue the day they worked against the coalition of which they were a part.

The polls are not meaningless and actually are a factor in how people will vote. If voters see that the next government will be under the thumb of Haredi partiers, they might start shifting their votes.

Supporters of Yesh Atid and Labor-Livni might shift a bit to Kahlon, possibly enough to give Netanyahu a majority of 61 without the Haredi parties.

Herzog, Livni and Lapid have a problem because there is not much they can take from other parties.

Yesh Atid MK Accuses Netanyahu of Bombing Syria for Political Gain

Monday, December 8th, 2014

Yesh Atid Knesset Member Yifat Kariv Monday morning accused Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu of ordering a bombing attack on Syrian weapons headed for Hezbollah in order to scare Israelis that they need him as prime minister to protect the country.

“Netanyahu can’t put together an alternative coalition, so decided to choose the path of terror and fear-mongering to set fire to the Middle East,

What is really scary is that this woman, who was asocial worker before demoting to herself to the rank of Knesset Member, sits on the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee, whose chairman is privy to the most secretive information in the country.

Intelligence Minister Yuval Steinitz on Monday, without mentioning her name, said that it was “ludicrous” for anyone even to suggest that the government authorized the bombing of Syria to gain votes.

He was being very kind to Kariv, who could be described with a few other adjectives not fit for publication. She gave Syrian President Bassar al-Assad an excellent excuse to accuse Israel of carrying out the bombing raid. Officially, the government has maintained the usual” no comment” stance on counter-terrorist actions against Syria and other countries.

Zahava Gal-On, who heads the left-wing Meretz party,  has more sense than to accuse Netanyahu of jeopardizing the entire country by bombing Syria for political points, but added that Kariv’s reaction shows “how little faith there is in Netanyahu’s government.

MK Kariv’s idiotic accusation should cost Yesh Atid a few votes.

 

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Lapid and Labor Party’s Herzog to Discuss Anti-Bibi Merger

Monday, December 8th, 2014

Yair Lapid, chairman of the Yesh Atid party, is scheduled to talk with his Labor party counterpart with Yitzchak “Boujie” Herzog about the idea of merging their two parties to give a united ticket the chance of winning the most seats in the Knesset elections in March.

Herzog talked with Tzipi Livni, head of the HaTnua party, on Sunday with the same objective.

A Globes poll last week showed that Livni, whose party has only six Knesset Members and would probably win only half that much in the elections, would draw more voters if she were to run with Labor.

The Labor party has 15 seats in the current Knesset, and Herzog’s dull personality and the party’s lame platform do not appear to bode well for his attracting more voters.

Yesh Atid won 19 seats in the last election but even Lapid admits that the party is not likely to win much more than 15 next March, while polls so far show it will receive less than 10 seats.

Herzog probably could get along a lot easier with Livni, who should be happy to remain politically alive, rather than with Lapid, who still thinks he is the best thing that has happened to Israel since Theodore Herzl.

Herzog’s meeting with Lapid could make Livni a bit more nervous about making too many demands. She was thrilled to be de facto Minister of the Peace Process Follies in the Netanyahu government, but that portfolio now is worth as much as a letter of support from Mahmoud Abbas.

A three-way merger of Yesh Atid and Livni’s party with Labor would probably give them a commanding plurality after the votes are counted in March.

That would leave Herzog in exactly the same place as two years ago, when the Kadima party won one more seat than the Likud but could not form a coalition.

There is no way that the merged party could form a majority in the next government without inviting the Haredi parties, which Is about as likely as Avigdor Lieberman merging with the Arab parties.

Printed from: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/lapid-and-labor-partys-herzog-to-discuss-anti-bibi-merger/2014/12/08/

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